- Two more Divisional Round games of the 2025 NFL playoffs are scheduled for Sunday, January 19
- My SBD formula has predicted the scores for both the Rams at Eagles and Ravens at Bills games
- See the best NFL playoff bets to make based on the score predictions
We’re halfway through the Divisional Round of the 2025 NFL Playoffs, leaving us with two more games today. The first sees the Rams take on the Eagles, and the second is the Ravens at Bills. My SBD formula has used the data it has collected on all four of these teams this season to predict the scores for both games. I am taking those score predictions and putting together my NFL Divisional Round picks.
I will also share a little extra insight into how my SBD formula has performed with these four teams below.
NFL Divisional Round Score Predictions
Divisional Round Matchup | Predicted Score |
---|---|
LA Rams at Philadelphia Eagles | PHI 27 – 12.1 |
Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills | BAL 27.5 – 25.7 |
My SBD formula is predicting the Eagles to beat the Rams by two scores, and the Ravens to beat the Bills by less than a field goal. It’s calling for the under in Rams at Eagles and the over in Ravens at Bills.
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In a regular season, I would tail everything my SBD formula had above. However, it hasn’t been the best against the spread when it comes to the four teams listed above. Here’s its ATS record in their respective games:
- LA Rams: 6-12 ATS | 5-9 ATS picking against them | 1-7 ATS in their road games
- Philadelphia Eagles: 7-11 ATS | 6-5 ATS picking them | 3-7 ATS in their home games
- Baltimore Ravens: 5-12-1 ATS | 3-4 ATS picking them | 3-6 ATS in their road games
- Buffalo Bills: 8-10 ATS | 0-3 ATS picking against them | 4-5 ATS in their home games
I would also like to note that my formula incorrectly picked the Bills to cover in their Week 4 matchup with the Ravens, but did have the Eagles to cover in their Week 12 matchup with the Rams, which did cash.
Looking away from ATS, though, it has a pretty good feel for the over/under in Ravens games, going 12-5-1 against the total. It has been even more impressive/profitable when picking the over in Baltimore games, going 9-2 when doing so. It gets even better when you isolate just the Ravens road games too, as it is 7-1 against the total in those games.
My formula is also 10-8 against the total in Eagles games, and a very impressive 8-2 when Philadelphia is playing at home. It’s a solid 8-5 when predicting the total to go under.
NFL Divisional Round Picks
In making my picks for Sunday of the NFL Divisional Round, I am considering my SBD formula’s score predictions, but also keeping in mind its performance when it comes to these teams. Here’s my favorite bet for each of Sunday’s NFL playoff games!
*All of the lines below were available at the time of writing this. Check our NFL odds tool before locking in any bets to make sure you’re getting the best line available.
Rams at Eagles Picks
If the Vikings had any quarterback not named Sam Darnold under center last week, I would likely be giving the Rams a lot more credit for their dominant win. But Darnold has a history of this and the tape from last week looks really bad for him.
Jalen Hurts is not going to fold the way Darnold did, but I also don’t believe Hurts will be forced to throw the ball too much. LA cannot stop the run – they allow 4.6 yards per carry (26th) – and the Eagles are not a team you can give up yards on the ground to. When these two met in Week 12, Philadelphia rushed for 314 yards on 45 attempts, which is nearly seven yards per carry.
I think we see the Eagles build a lead early and don’t look back. (
- Pick: Eagles -6 (-110) at bet365
Ravens at Bills Picks
What the Ravens did to the Steelers last week was more or less what I expected to see from them all season. Derrick Henry carried the ball 26 times and racked up 186 rushing yards with two touchdowns, one of which was a vintage King Henry dagger from 44 yards out. Lamar Jackson ran the ball 15 times as well, totaling 81 rushing yards of his own, and the two gave Pittsburgh’s defense fits all night as they tried to protect against both rushing threats.
That performance came against a defense that ranked fifth in yards per carry allowed, and allowed the sixth-fewest rushing yards in the regular season. The Bills rank 19th in yards allowed per rushing attempt, and I think it’s fair to say their defense is just objectively not as good as Pittsburgh’s.
Buffalo’s defense only allowed seven points to the Broncos last week, and the touchdown came on the opening drive of the game, but that was a rookie quarterback in his first playoff game and his rookie wide receivers dropped a lot of balls on him. The Ravens are a completely different challenge, and I don’t think Buffalo’s defense is going to be able to slow the duo of Henry and Lamar, just as they couldn’t in Week 4 when Baltimore ran for 271 yards on 34 attempts.
Josh Allen is incredible and has put together an amazing season, but I don’t believe he has the receivers to consistently beat an improving Ravens pass defense, or to play from behind against one of the league’s best teams.
- Pick: Ravens -1 (-110) at Caesars
As the NFL playoffs continue, football fans are eagerly anticipating the Divisional Round games on Sunday. With four exciting matchups on the schedule, there are plenty of opportunities for bettors to get in on the action and make some money. Here are the best bets and score predictions for each game:
1. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Cleveland Browns
The Chiefs are the defending Super Bowl champions and are coming off a bye week, while the Browns are riding high after a thrilling upset win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Chiefs are heavy favorites in this game, but the Browns have shown that they can compete with anyone. Look for a high-scoring game with the Chiefs ultimately coming out on top. Prediction: Chiefs 35, Browns 28
2. New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
This matchup features two future Hall of Fame quarterbacks in Drew Brees and Tom Brady. The Saints have had the Buccaneers’ number this season, winning both regular-season meetings. However, Brady is known for his playoff success and could lead the Buccaneers to an upset win. This game could go either way, but I’m giving the slight edge to the Saints at home. Prediction: Saints 31, Buccaneers 27
3. Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Packers have been one of the best teams in the NFL all season, led by MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers. The Rams have a strong defense that could give the Packers some trouble, but their offense may struggle to keep up with Rodgers and company. Look for the Packers to win a close game and advance to the NFC Championship. Prediction: Packers 24, Rams 20
4. Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Bills are coming off their first playoff win in 25 years and are looking like a legitimate Super Bowl contender. The Ravens have a dynamic rushing attack led by Lamar Jackson, but their passing game has been inconsistent. The Bills have a high-powered offense that should be able to outscore the Ravens in what could be a shootout. Prediction: Bills 38, Ravens 31
Overall, Sunday’s Divisional Round games are shaping up to be some of the most exciting matchups of the playoffs. Whether you’re a fan looking to root for your favorite team or a bettor looking to make some money, these games are sure to deliver plenty of excitement and drama. Good luck with your bets and enjoy the games!