Arch Manning is the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy at several online sportsbooks

• Arch Manning has opened as the Heisman Favorite at ESPN Bet ahead of Garrett Nussmeier
• Only two first-year starting QB’s have ever won the Heisman
• Check out the updated 2025 Heisman Trophy odds, plus our favorite bet to win the award

Has the Arch Manning hype gone too far? If you ask Texas’s new starting QB, it absolutely has. Manning told the media this week he hasn’t done nearly enough on the field to earn the notoriety he’s receiving. Online sportsbooks apparently disagree. Several books, including ESPN BET and DraftKings, have opened Manning as the frontrunner to win Player of the Year next season.

2025 Heisman Trophy Odds

*Odds as of January 31 at ESPN Bet.

Manning is the +750 favorite in the Heisman Trophy odds, just ahead of LSU pivot Garrett Nussmeier at +800. Nussmeier was the initial top choice last week at several books, but it looks like the shine has already worn off.

Penn State QB Drew Allar and Clemson quarterback Cade Klubnik round out the top-four on the oddsboard, while Ohio State stud receiver Jeremiah Smith is the first position player listed at +1600.

Manning Looking to Buck Family Trend

Believe it or not, no Manning has ever won the Heisman. Arch’s uncle Peyton never finished higher than sixth in the voting, while both his uncle Eli and grandfather Archie’s best finishes were third.

There are a few things working in Arch’s favor. Quarterbacks have dominated this award over the past 23 years, winning 18 times. Corner/receiver Travis Hunter snapped a run of four straight QB winners this past season, while wideout Devonta Smith broke another 4-year QB run in 2020.

The Heisman winner usually comes from a team in the National title hunt. Since 2000, 14 winners have made it to the National Championship Game. That bodes well for Manning, as his Longhorns will be among the preseason favorites. Five of the past eight winners were selected first overall in the NFL Draft, and Arch is the early favorite to go number 1 in 2026.

What’s working against him is a lack of experience. Yes, he’s been a backup to Quinn Ewers in college for two years, but the 2025 campaign will mark his first as a starter. He has only two career starts under his belt, and those came against lightweights Louisiana-Monroe and Mississippi State. Just two first-year starters (Johnny Manziel and Jameis Winston) have ever won the Heisman, and no one has done it since 2013.

Another reason to be bullish on his Heisman chances is his wideout corps. Texas is losing its top-two receivers and their number one tight end to the NFL. Yes, they’re returning a pair of promising pass catchers, and adding some new recruits, but it will take time to build chemistry with a young receiving room.

Arch certainly has the talent to be a future star, but there are more experienced quarterbacks (Nussmeier and Allar among others) who are poised to put up much better stats. Like Manning, they’ll also suit up for ranked programs, and boast more favorable odds with similar ceilings.

Buy Stock in Smith

Since 2016, only quarterbacks and wide receivers have won the Heisman. The quarterback class is strong in 2025, but it’s hard to imagine any of those players becoming a bigger star in the NFL than Smith. Does that alone make him a good bet to win the Heisman? No, but there are plenty of reasons that do.

For one, he plays like a man among boys already at the age of 18. Smith put up 1,315 receiving yards and 15 TD in his freshman season. He dominated the College Football Playoffs, scoring five times, while amassing 381 yards.

Smith is the ideal combination of size, speed and athleticism. He’s good enough to play in the NFL today, and is only going to get better. His Buckeyes will once again be a National Championship odds contender next season, and he’ll be in the running for the first overall selection in the 2027 NFL Draft. At +1600 on DraftKings, he’s a screaming value.

Arch Manning, the highly touted high school quarterback and nephew of NFL legends Peyton and Eli Manning, has emerged as the favorite to win the prestigious Heisman Trophy at several online sportsbooks.

Despite still being in high school, Manning has already garnered significant attention from college football scouts and analysts for his impressive skills on the field. The 6’4″ quarterback has shown exceptional poise, accuracy, and decision-making abilities, leading many to believe that he has the potential to be a future star in the sport.

Manning comes from a long line of football greatness, with his grandfather Archie Manning being a former NFL quarterback and his uncles Peyton and Eli both winning multiple Super Bowl championships. With such a strong football pedigree, it’s no surprise that Arch Manning is already being considered a top contender for the Heisman Trophy.

Online sportsbooks have taken notice of Manning’s talent and potential, with many listing him as the favorite to win the prestigious award. While it’s rare for a high school player to be in contention for the Heisman Trophy, Manning’s exceptional skills and family history make him a unique and exciting prospect.

Of course, there are still many variables at play that could impact Manning’s chances of winning the Heisman Trophy. He will need to continue to excel on the field, stay healthy, and make a smooth transition to college football when he eventually chooses a school to attend.

Regardless of the outcome, Arch Manning’s rise to prominence in the world of football is a story worth following. With his combination of talent, pedigree, and potential, he has the makings of a future star in the sport. Only time will tell if he can live up to the high expectations set for him, but one thing is for certain – Arch Manning is a name that football fans will be hearing for years to come.