Analyzing the Odds for the NFC Championship Game between Commanders and Eagles

  • The Washington Commanders will face the Philadelphia Eagles in the 2025 NFC Championship Game on Jan. 26
  • The Eagles have opened as 4.5-point home favorites after splitting their two regular-season meetings with the Commanders
  • Below, see the opening Commanders vs Eagles odds, including spread, moneyline, and game total

The NFC Championship Game matchup is set, and it will be an all-NFC East affair with the Philadelphia Eagles (16-3, 10-1 home, 13-6 ATS) hosting the Washington Commanders (14-5, 7-3 away, 12-6-1 ATS) at Lincoln Financial Field on Sunday, January 26. Philadelphia, which has won ten straight home games, has opened as favorites in the Commanders vs Eagles odds.

Opening Commanders vs Eagles Odds for NFC Championship

Team Spread Moneyline Over/Under
Washington Commanders +4.5 (-110) +195 O 48.5 (-110)
Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 (-110) -238 U 48.5 (-110)

The opening spread for the NFC Championship Game lists the Eagles as 4.5-point home chalk and -238 on the moneyline. The Commanders come back as +195 road underdogs. The game total has opened at 48.5 with -110 odds both ways.

 Odds as of January 19 at DraftKings. See the DraftKings minimum deposit amount for your state/province. 

The Eagles head into the NFC title game as +175 favorites in the latest Super Bowl odds. Though they’re just two wins away from the fourth Super Bowl title in franchise history, the Commanders remain +650 longshots to win the Lombardi Trophy.

Commanders’, Eagles’ Road to the NFC Title Game

Washington is the only team remaining in the NFL playoffs that hasn’t played a home game. The Commanders upset the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay – 23-20 as 3.5-point underdogs – in the Wild Card Round on the strength of 268 passing yards from Jayden Daniels. The defense held the Bucs to just 284 yards of total offense.

In the Divisional Round, Washington overcame an even bigger spread, trouncing the #1 seed Detroit Lions 45-31 as 9.5-point underdogs. Daniels was superb, once again, with 299 passing yards, two touchdowns, and no turnovers. The defense, meanwhile, generated five takeaways to send the Lions packing.

The Eagles, meanwhile, took care of the Packers, 22-10, as 5.5-point home favorites before running away from the Rams in the snow at the Linc (28-22) in the Divisional Playoffs. Saquon Barkley set an Eagles postseason record with 205 rushing yards against the Rams, which included TD runs of 78 and 62 yards.

The Eagles looked to have the game in complete control in the fourth quarter, holding a 28-15 lead with just six minutes to play. But the Rams turned it into a thriller with a touchdown and a last-minute drive into the red zone that stalled at the Philadelphia 20-yard line.

Washington/Philadelphia Split Regular-Season Series

The Commanders and Eagles split their two regular-season meetings with each holding serve on their home field. Philadelphia took a 26-18 decision in Week 11, using a 23-0 run to overcome a 10-3 second-half deficit. The Eagles were full value for the win, outgaining Washington 434 yards to just 264 in the victory. The Commander defense was powerless against Saquon Barkley and the Philly ground game, which accounted for 228 yards and three touchdowns on 40 carries (5.7 YPC). Barkley had 146 of those yards and two TDs on 26 carries.

The Commander defense wasn’t much better in the Week 16 rematch. The Eagles rushed for  211 yards, led by another 150 from Barkley, and put up 33 points at Northwest Stadium. But rookie QB Jayden Daniels led the Commanders to 22 fourth-quarter points en route to a 36-33 comeback victory. The prohibitively short favorite in the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year odds, Daniels threw for 258 yards and five touchdowns in the win while also leading the Commanders with 81 rushing yards.

Washington managed to win despite committing a stunning five turnovers (two picks from Daniels plus three lost fumbles).

Keep an eye on SBD’s NFL odds page to see the latest NFC Championship Game lines.

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The NFC Championship Game between the Washington Commanders and the Philadelphia Eagles is shaping up to be an exciting matchup between two talented teams. As we approach game day, many fans and analysts are analyzing the odds and trying to predict the outcome of this highly anticipated game.

Both teams have had successful seasons, with the Commanders finishing with a record of 12-5 and the Eagles finishing with a record of 11-6. The Commanders have a strong defense led by standout players like Chase Young and Montez Sweat, while the Eagles have a dynamic offense led by quarterback Jalen Hurts and running back Miles Sanders.

When it comes to analyzing the odds for this game, there are several factors to consider. One key factor is the performance of each team’s offense and defense throughout the season. The Commanders have a top-ranked defense that has been able to shut down some of the best offenses in the league, while the Eagles have a high-powered offense that has been able to put up big numbers against tough defenses.

Another factor to consider is the health of each team heading into the game. Injuries can play a significant role in determining the outcome of a game, so it will be important to monitor the injury reports leading up to kickoff.

Additionally, home-field advantage could also play a role in determining the outcome of this game. The Commanders will have the advantage of playing in front of their home crowd at FedExField, which could give them an edge over the Eagles.

Ultimately, predicting the outcome of this game is difficult as both teams are evenly matched and have shown that they are capable of beating top opponents. However, based on their strong defense and home-field advantage, the Commanders may have a slight edge in this matchup.

As we countdown to kickoff, fans can expect an intense and competitive game between two talented teams vying for a spot in the Super Bowl. Regardless of the outcome, one thing is for certain – this NFC Championship Game is sure to be a thrilling and memorable matchup for football fans everywhere.