Analyzing the Odds for the Euro 2024 Quarterfinal Match between England and Switzerland: Predicting the Favorite to Advance

Analyzing the Odds for the Euro 2024 Quarterfinal Match between England and Switzerland: Predicting the Favorite to Advance
Harry Kane on his knees after missing a chance for England

Nov 25, 2022; Al Khor, Qatar; England forward Harry Kane (9) reacts after missing a header for a shot off of a corner kick against the United States of America during the second half of a group stage match during the 2022 World Cup at Al Bayt Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Yukihito Taguchi-USA TODAY Sports

  • England manufactured a miraculous stoppage-time escape to undo Slovakia’s upset bid on Sunday
  • The Three Lions now move onto face a dangerous Switzerland side in the Euro 2024 quarterfinals
  • See the opening England vs Switzerland odds for the match on Saturday, July 6

Just 90 seconds away from exiting Euro 2024, tournament-favorites England got a Jude Bellingham equalizer against underdog Slovakia in the second-to-last minute of stoppage time before winning the match 2-1 in extra time thanks to a go-ahead goal from Harry Kane.

The road doesn’t get easier for Gareth Southgate’s side, though, with a matchup against Switzerland waiting in the quarterfinals on Saturday, July 6. The Swiss dominated Italy 2-0 in the first round of 16 game on Saturday, allowing just one shot on target even though Italy was trailing from the 37th minute on.

The opening England vs Switzerland odds favor England advancing, but the line is much narrower than it was ahead of the Slovakia game.

England vs Switzerland Odds

Team Moneyline Total To Advance
England -120 Over 2.5 (+120) -225
Switzerland +300 Under 2.5 (-150) +175
Draw +250

England, which failed to cash as a heavy -250 favorite to beat Slovakia in regular time, enters the quarterfinals as -120 chalk in the three-way moneyline odds. Switzerland is +300 to win in regular time while a 90-minute draw is priced at +250.

Odds as of June 30 at bet365. Claim a bet365 bonus code to wager on the Euro 2024 quarterfinals. 

Bellingham and Kane have now scored all four of England’s goals at Euro 2024. Bellingham had the lone goal in a 1-0 tournament-opening win against Serbia, while Kane had the opener in a 1-1 draw with Denmark next time out. From Kane’s goal against Denmark to Bellingham’s equalizer against Slovakia, England went over 250 minutes without scoring a single goal.

But after Bellingham equalized, it took roughly three minutes of game time for Kane to score the winner early in the first extra-time period.

England finished the first 90 minutes with just 1.16 xGF compared to 1.20 for Slovakia, and Bellingham’s tying goal was their first shot on target.

Switzerland Dominates Italy

From the opening kick, Switzerland was the better side against Italy on Saturday, and they thoroughly deserved their 1-0 lead at halftime, which came courtesy of Remo Freuler in the 37th minute.

Credit the Swiss for not sitting back once they took the lead. An ill-advised play on the second-half kickoff from Italy resulted in an immediate turnover, and the Italians wouldn’t touch the ball again before Ruben Vargas made the score 2-0 in the 46th minute with a deft, curling strike from just inside the box.

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The impressive performance against Italy was just the latest from a Swiss side that pushed Germany to the limit for top spot in Group A during the knockout stage. Switzerland handled Hungary 3-1 in their tournament opener and then had two would-be go-ahead goals disallowed by VAR in a 1-1 draw with Scotland.

They led Germany 1-0 from the 28th minute until second-half stoppage time before a Niclas Fullkrug equalizer put the Germans level and back in top spot in Group A.

The Swiss didn’t pick up a single yellow card against Italy and will have Silvan Widmer back from suspension in the quarterfinals.

England will have to do without Marc Guehi in the quarters after the center back picked up another yellow in the first half against Slovakia.

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The Euro 2024 quarterfinal match between England and Switzerland is shaping up to be an exciting and closely contested game. Both teams have shown strong performances throughout the tournament, making it difficult to predict the favorite to advance to the next round.

When analyzing the odds for this match, several factors come into play. One of the key considerations is the form of the teams leading up to the quarterfinals. England has been in impressive form, winning all of their group stage matches and defeating a strong opponent in the round of 16. Switzerland, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results, with some impressive wins and a few lackluster performances.

Another important factor to consider is the head-to-head record between the two teams. Historically, England has had the upper hand in matches against Switzerland, winning the majority of their encounters. This could give them a psychological edge going into the quarterfinals.

In terms of individual talent, both teams have standout players who could make a difference in the match. England boasts a strong attacking lineup with players like Harry Kane and Raheem Sterling, while Switzerland has players like Xherdan Shaqiri and Granit Xhaka who can create scoring opportunities.

When it comes to betting odds, bookmakers may have England as the slight favorite to advance to the next round. However, in a knockout competition like the Euros, anything can happen on the day of the match. Switzerland has shown that they are capable of causing upsets and should not be underestimated.

Ultimately, predicting the favorite to advance in this quarterfinal match is a difficult task. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and it will come down to which team can perform on the day. Fans can expect an exciting and closely contested match between England and Switzerland, with the outcome likely to be decided by fine margins.