- See where the public money is going for Canada vs USA on Thursday night
- The public is backing Team USA to win the 4 Nations Championship game against Canada
- Read below for Canada vs USA public betting trends and updated odds
The betting public is putting their faith in the Americans to take down the Canadians in the 4 Nations championship tonight. ESPN Sportsbook has released their public betting splits and percentages for the big game, and it’s clear where the money is going.
Let’s analyze the Canada vs USA public money splits, along with the most bet player props, such as anytime goalscorer.
Canada vs USA Public Betting
| Team | Spread | ATS Bet% | ATS Handle% | Moneyline | ML Bet% | ML Handle% | Total Points | O/U Bet% | O/U Handle% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team USA | -1.5 | 52.5% | 53.4% | -110 | 58% | 52.3% | O 5.5 | 76.6% | 81.1% |
| Team Canada | +1.5 | 47.5% | 46.6% | +110 | 42% | 47.7% | U 5.5 | 23.4% | 18.9% |
Bet and Money percentages courtesy of ESPN Sportsbook on Feb. 20, 2025. Bet on Canada vs USA with the ESPN Bet promo code.
USA Getting Majority of Bets + Handle
According to ESPN Bet, 58% of the bets and 52.3% of the handle are on Team USA to beat Team Canada at -110 odds. This line has lengthened after USA opened as -115 favorites. The discrepancy in bet and money on Team USA indicates there are slightly larger wagers on Canada.
The puck line betting money is a bit tighter, as only 52.5% of bets and 53.4% of the handle are on the Americans to cover. In order for the American puck line to cash, they must win by two goals or more.
When it comes to the over/under, bettors are slamming the “Over”. Despite only four total goals being scored in the first matchup, ESPN Bet reports 76.6% of bets and 81.1% of handle are on OVER 5.5. Our betting expert is fading the public and betting the “Under” in his Canada vs USA prediction.
Adrian Horton, the director of North American Sports Trading for ESPN BET, expects massive betting interest for this game.
The first USA-Canada matchup was our most bet hockey event of the season so far. With anticipation building for tonight’s rematch on ESPN, this feels like a Stanley Cup final game from a trading perspective.
Why The Public is Betting Team USA
If you want to fade the public tonight, betting Team Canada and the “Under” is the way to go. However, there are very valid reasons why the money is on the blue and white. First and foremost, they won the first game 3-1 thanks to stellar defense.
Top-pair USA defenseman Charlie McAvoy is out per the USA injury report, but the goaltending remains the exact same. Connor Hellebuyck is arguably the best goalie in the entire world, posting a .957 save percentage in this tournament. He turned away 25 shots in the round-robin showdown.
Canada’s goaltending is shaky with Jordan Binnington, who owns a .892 save percentage in the tournament. You never know what type of performance you will get from the Blues’ goaltender, which is why bettors are bullish on Hellebuyck’s USA.
The US has shown they can dictate the pace of this game and utilize their physicality to slow down Canada’s offensive superstars. There were 31 hits in the first period of the round-robin, 17 of which came from the US. As long as they can keep things tight and not let Canada get to the middle, they have a great shot at winning once again.
Outside of McAvoy, it appears Team USA’s other injured/questionable players in Matthew Tkachuk, Brady Tkachuk and Auston Matthews, are all trending towards playing. Canada will get a boost, however, from the return of star blueliner Cale Makar, who didn’t suit up in the first meeting but is now healthy.
Anytime Goalscorer Betting Trends
| Most Bet Anytime Goalscorer | |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | +220 |
| Nathan MacKinnon | +190 |
| Sidney Crosby | +350 |
| Auston Matthews | +190 |
| Brayden Point | +290 |
This table shows the top 5 most bet anytime goalscorers in order of betting popularity, with Connor McDavid being the most popular bet at +220 odds.
McDavid Popular Bet to Light Lamp
Canada vs USA player props are also available, and bettors are hammering the popular “anytime goalscorer” market. Although Team USA is getting the majority of money to win, the four most bet anytime goalscorers all reside from the Great White North.
ESPN Bet shares that Connor McDavid at +220 is the most bet anytime goalscorer tonight at their sportsbook, followed by Nathan MacKinnon (+190) and Sidney Crosby (+350). Auston Matthews, the only American on the list, is the fourth-most bet anytime goalscorer.
It’s hard to argue with McDavid being the most bet goalscorer, as he paces Canada with a pair of goals in this tournament. He opened the scoring for Canada early against the Americans on Saturday, showcasing his trademark speed and precision with a backhand finish over Connor Hellebuyck.
One player we will point out here is MacKinnon, who has had plenty of success scoring against Hellebuyck. The Avs’ superstar has netted 14 goals in 34 career regular-season games against the Vezina favorite, including four in Round 1 of the 2024 Playoffs.
If you’re an American looking to follow the public by adding Auston Matthews anytime goalscorer to your Canada vs USA same-game parlay, tread lightly. Matthews has been battling an injury all season and hasn’t looked like himself lately. He’s capable of lighting the lamp when he’s on, but so far this tournament, he has only two assists and three shots.
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Analyzing Public Betting Trends in Canada and the USA: Discover Where the Money is Flowing
When it comes to sports betting, understanding public betting trends can be a valuable tool for bettors looking to make informed decisions. By analyzing where the money is flowing, bettors can gain insights into which teams or players are receiving the most support from the betting public.
In both Canada and the USA, sports betting is a popular pastime, with millions of dollars wagered on sporting events every year. With the rise of online sportsbooks and betting apps, it has never been easier for bettors to place a bet on their favorite teams or players.
One of the key indicators of public betting trends is the movement of betting lines. When a large amount of money is placed on one side of a bet, sportsbooks will adjust the odds to try to balance out the action. By tracking these line movements, bettors can get a sense of where the public money is flowing.
In Canada, popular sports for betting include hockey, football, and basketball. With the success of the Toronto Raptors in the NBA and the Toronto Blue Jays in MLB, Canadian bettors often show strong support for their hometown teams. In the USA, football is king, with the NFL attracting the most betting action. College basketball and baseball also draw significant betting interest.
When analyzing public betting trends, it’s important to consider factors such as injuries, weather conditions, and recent performance. Bettors should also be wary of “sharps,” or professional bettors who may be betting against the public trend.
Overall, understanding public betting trends can help bettors make more informed decisions and potentially increase their chances of winning. By keeping an eye on where the money is flowing, bettors can stay ahead of the game and make smarter bets.
