Analyzing Public-Betting Splits, Trends, and Money Percentages in Houston vs Florida

• The Houston vs Florida public-betting splits show the Gators getting most of the ATS money
• The public is hammering the over in tonight’s national championship game between the Cougars and Gators
• See all of the Houston vs Florida public-betting trends on gameday (April 7)

The Midwest #1 Houston Cougars (35-4, 21-17-1 ATS, 15-22-2 O/U) and West #1 Florida Gators (35-4, 28-11 ATS, 21-18 O/U) are set to meet in the 2025 national championship game on Monday night at the Alamodome in San Antonio at 7:50 pm CT/8:50 pm ET. The Gators opened as slight 1.5favorites after the Final Four and the odds have stayed relatively consistent over the last 36 hours.

But on the morning of gameday, the public has had ample time to weigh-in, and the Florida vs Houston public-betting splits show some interesting betting trends for the 2025 national championship game.

Florida vs Houston ATS Betting Splits

The Florida/Houston ATS splits are currently pretty heavily in the Gators’ favor. Florida is getting 57% of ATS wagers and, with it, a significant 63% of ATS handle, meaning just 37% of money bet against the spread is on the Cougars to cover as 1.5-point underdogs.

March Madness public betting splits as of 10:40 am ET, April 7.

Florida has been one of the best ATS bets in the nation all season, posting a 28-11 record against the spread so far, a highly profitable 71.8% cover rate. Only four teams in the country covered at a higher rate than the Gators, who had a +15.5 average margin of victory (85.3 PPG vs 69.8 PAPG), and none of those four teams.

The Cougars have been ever-so-slightly profitable for bettors as well, going 21-18 (53.8% cover rate), but that includes a 5-2 ATS record in their last seven and two straight covers in the Elite Eight and Final Four. In the Elite Eight, Houston obliterated Midwest #2 Tennessee (69-50) as 2.5-point favorites. In the Final Four, they looked dead-in-the-water, trailing East #1 Duke by nine with under two minutes to play. But a furious comeback not only allowed Houston to cover as 4.5-point underdogs, but cash as +205 moneyline underdogs.

Houston failed to cover in the second round against #8 Gonzaga, winning 81-76 as 5.5-point chalk, and in the Sweet 16 against #4 Purdue, winning 62-60 as 8.5-point favorites. They covered a massive 28.5-point spread in the first round against SIU Edwardsville (78-40).

Florida is just 2-3 ATS in the NCAA Tournament. They didn’t cover as 29-point favorites in the first round against #16 Norfolk State (95-69) or as 9.5-point favorites in the second round against #8 UConn (77-75). The Gators got back in the ATS win column with a consummate 87-71 victory over #4 Maryland as 6.5-point favorites but narrowly missed covering as 6.5-point chalk against #3 Texas Tech in the Elite Eight (84-79).

In the Final Four, they overcame a nine-point second-half deficit to not only beat South #1 Auburn (79-73) but also cover as 2.5-point chalk (

Florida/Houston Moneyline Betting Splits

The Houston/Florida moneyline splits are almost dead-even. The Gators are getting slightly more wagers (54%) and handle (52%) but there is very little to choose between the teams in this market. Houston rides an 18-game win streak into Monday’s national championship game, its last loss coming on Feb. 1st at home against Texas Tech in OT (82-81). That was also Houston’s only loss of the year in Big 12 play, either regular season or conference tournament.

Nine of the wins in Houston’s current streak came against teams rated 24th or higher at KenPom.

Florida has won 11 straight games dating back to an 88-83 true-road loss at Georgia on Feb. 25th. Nine of those 11 wins have come against teams ranked 22nd or better at KenPom.

Houston vs Florida O/U Betting Splits

So far, the public’s strongest take on the title game is the over. The game total opened at 140.5 and has already been bet up a full point to 141.5. But the public is still hammering the over at that increased number. A massive 92% of tickets and 91% of game-total handle is on the over currently.

There are likely a couple reasons why the public is betting the over so heavily. First, KenPom projects the game to hit 143 points (72-71 Florida victory). Second, Florida had been on a torrid over streak before the Auburn game. The Gators had hit the over in 11 straight games before their 78-73 win over the Tigers stayed under the 158.5 total.

Check out SBD’s other Florida vs Houston coverage for the national championship game:

When it comes to sports betting, analyzing public-betting splits, trends, and money percentages can provide valuable insights for bettors looking to make informed decisions. In the upcoming matchup between Houston and Florida, understanding these factors can help bettors make more strategic wagers.

Public-betting splits refer to the percentage of bets placed on each team in a particular game. By analyzing these splits, bettors can get a sense of where the public sentiment lies and potentially identify opportunities for contrarian betting. In the case of Houston vs Florida, bettors may find that the public is heavily favoring one team over the other, which could indicate a potential value play on the less popular team.

Trends, on the other hand, refer to patterns or tendencies that have emerged in previous matchups between two teams. By looking at historical data, bettors can identify trends that may influence the outcome of the current game. For example, if Houston has a strong track record of performing well against Florida in past matchups, bettors may consider this trend when making their wager.

Money percentages, also known as betting percentages, indicate the amount of money wagered on each team. By analyzing these percentages, bettors can gauge where the larger bets are being placed and potentially follow the money to make more informed decisions. If a significant amount of money is being wagered on one team in the Houston vs Florida matchup, bettors may want to consider whether this reflects insider knowledge or simply public sentiment.

Overall, analyzing public-betting splits, trends, and money percentages can provide valuable insights for bettors looking to make strategic wagers on the Houston vs Florida matchup. By considering these factors alongside other relevant information such as injuries, weather conditions, and recent performance, bettors can increase their chances of making successful bets.