Analysis of Public Betting Splits and Injury Reports for Thursday Night Football (Week 3) Matchup Between Patriots and Jets

• The Patriots and Jets meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 3
• The Patriots vs Jets injury reports show NYJ thin at linebacker, and the Pats banged-up on the offensive line
• New England vs NY Jets public-betting splits strongly favor the Jets to win but the Pats to cover

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The New England Patriots (1-1, 2-0 ATS) visit the New York Jets (1-1, 1-1 ATS) on Thursday Night Football at MetLife Stadium in Week 3 (8:15 pm ET) with the home team a six-point favorite in the Jets vs Patriots odds.

The Jets opened as 6.5-point favorites in the Week 3 NFL odds but the public has been siding with New England when it comes to betting the spread, which has led most sportsbooks to lower the number to six flat. Despite the lowered spread, the NFL public betting trends still show the majority of ATS handle on New England for Thursday Night Football.

New England Patriots vs New York Jets Public Betting Splits

As of 2:41 pm ET on Thursday, the Pats were getting 53% of the money bet against the spread on just 39% of the tickets, indicating that significantly larger wagers are on New England to cover.

When it comes to the moneyline, however, the public isn’t buying a straight-up Patriots victory. A massive 79% of moneyline handle is on the Jets to win as -286 home chalk, with just 21% of money on New England to win as +225 road underdogs.

The game total is at a relatively low 38.5, which is proving a touch too low for the public’s taste. Roughly five hours before kickoff, 65% of the game-total handle was on the over (on just 53% of the bets), leaving just 35% of O/U handle on under 38.5.

Patriots vs Jets Injury Reports

Injury reports as of 2:35 pm ET on Sep. 19. 

When it comes to the injury reports, the Patriots are more banged-up, especially on the offensive line. Four of their five starters have an injury designation of some sort, with two would-be starters – left guard Sidy Sow and left tackle Vederian Lowe – listed as out. Lowe played 82% of snaps in New England’s 16-10 Week 1 upset win at Cincinnati, and 96% of snaps in his team’s Week 2 OT loss to Seattle (23-20) at home. Sow has yet to play a snap this season.

Despite the injuries on the O-line, SBD’s Patriots vs Jets player props and Patriots vs Jets same-game parlay both include a Rhomondre Stevenson touchdown among their top picks for tonight.

Rhamondre Stevenson forced 10 missed tackles while 118 of his 120 rushing yards came after contact on Sunday, via PFF.

Both rank first among any RB to play in Week 1. pic.twitter.com/Reu4tZehRq

— Brian Hines (@iambrianhines) September 9, 2024

On the New York side, the injury issues are all up front on the defensive side; OLB Jermaine Johnson, who had four tackles including one TFL in the first two weeks, is out with an Achilles injury. Starting mike CJ Mosley, who has 12 tackles through two games, is questionable with a toe injury.

Meanwhile, edge rusher Haason Reddick, who was acquired from the Eagles in the offseason, is continuing to holdout until the Jets sign him to an extension. Reddick has had double-digit sacks each of the last four seasons (50.5 total) and was expected to be a huge addition to an already-strong Jets defense.

As Thursday Night Football approaches in Week 3, all eyes are on the matchup between the New England Patriots and the New York Jets. Both teams are coming off of losses in Week 2 and are looking to bounce back with a win.

One key factor that bettors are considering when placing their wagers on this game is the public betting splits. These splits provide insight into where the majority of bets are being placed, which can help bettors make more informed decisions. As of now, the Patriots are favored to win by a significant margin, with over 70% of bets coming in on their side. This could be due to the Patriots’ strong performance in Week 1, where they defeated the Miami Dolphins 17-16.

However, it’s important to note that public betting splits are just one piece of the puzzle when it comes to making a bet. Bettors should also take into consideration other factors such as injuries, weather conditions, and recent performance of both teams.

Speaking of injuries, both teams have key players who are listed on the injury report. For the Patriots, wide receiver Julian Edelman is questionable with a chest injury, while defensive end Michael Bennett is also questionable with a shoulder injury. On the Jets side, linebacker C.J. Mosley is doubtful with a groin injury, which could have a significant impact on their defense.

Injuries can play a major role in the outcome of a game, so bettors should keep a close eye on the injury reports leading up to Thursday night. If key players are ruled out or limited in their playing time, it could shift the odds in favor of the opposing team.

Overall, Thursday Night Football’s matchup between the Patriots and Jets is shaping up to be an exciting game with plenty of betting opportunities. By analyzing public betting splits and staying informed on injury reports, bettors can make more educated decisions when placing their wagers.