Analysis of Public-Betting Splits and Injury Reports for Broncos vs Saints Thursday Night Football

• The Denver Broncos are 2.5-point road favorites at the New Orleans Saints on TNF
• Saints QB1 Derek Carr is officially doubtful with an oblique injury
• See the Broncos vs Saints public-betting splits and final injury reports for Thursday Night Football

The injury-riddled New Orleans Saints (2-4, 3-3 ATS) hope to stem a four-game losing streak tonight when they host the Denver Broncos (3-3, 4-2 ATS) at the Superdome on Thursday Night Football at 8:15 pm ET.

Denver, which is in much better shape on the injury front, heads into the Big Easy as 2.5-point favorites in the Broncos vs Saints odds (with the line as high as a field goal at some sportsbooks).

The NFL public betting splits for TNF show the public strongly favoring the Broncos to cover the small number. But the really significant numbers are on the total, where the public is loving the over on a miniscule total of 37.0.

Jump to: Broncos vs Saints Public Betting Splits   |   Broncos vs Saints Injury Reports

Broncos vs Saints Public Betting Splits

As of 3:19 pm ET, the Broncos were getting 78% of ATS handle as 2.5-point favorites on just 58% of the ATS wagers. The moneyline splits are also in Denver’s favor but are much narrower. The Broncos are currently getting 58% of moneyline handle as -152 road favorites, leaving 42% for the Saints as +123 home underdogs.

The game-total splits are massively skewed to the over. With the O/U sitting at just 37.0, the lowest on the board in the Week 7 NFL odds by a full point (Jets/Steelers is 38.5 O/U), the public is hammering the over: 83% of handle is on the over along with 88% of the game-total tickets.

The Broncos are 3-3 O/U on the season while New Orleans is 4-2 and averaging 52.3 PPG, third highest after the Ravens (54.3) and Buccaneers (53.2).

See SBD’s picks for TNF:

Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Injury Reports

One of the main reasons the Broncos are road favorites on Thursday, even with rookie QB Bo Nix leading an anemic offense, is all the significant injuries on the New Orleans side of the ball.

The biggest absence is likely to be starting QB Derek Carr, who missed last week with an oblique injury and is doubtful to play in on TNF. Rookie fifth-rounder Spencer Rattler started in Carr’s place against Tampa Bay last Sunday, going 22-of-40 for 243 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. He was solid in the first half, leading the Saints back from a 17-0 hole to take a 27-24 lead at the break. But the New Orleans attack was shutout in the second half of an embarrassing 51-27 loss.

Also missing from the Saints lineup tonight will be receivers Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed, the WR1 and WR2 on the New Orleans depth chart. Olave (349 yards) and Shaheed (280 yards) are first and second on the team in receiving yards.

Crucially, Alvin Kamara, who was limited in practice all week, doesn’t carry an injury designation.

On the Denver side, starting right tackle Alex Palczewski is out with an ankle injury, while starting corner Patrick Surtain II is sidelined with a knee injury.

Three other Denver players are listed as questionable – Baron Browning, Damarri Mathis, and Mike McGlinchey – but all three got in a full practice on Wednesday and are likely to play.

As the Denver Broncos prepare to face off against the New Orleans Saints in Thursday Night Football, fans and bettors alike are eagerly anticipating the matchup. One key factor that can influence the outcome of the game is the analysis of public-betting splits and injury reports.

Public-betting splits refer to the percentage of bets placed on each team by the general public. This information can give insight into which team is receiving more support from bettors and can help predict how the betting lines may shift leading up to the game. In the case of the Broncos vs Saints matchup, monitoring public-betting splits can provide valuable information on where the majority of bettors are placing their money.

In addition to public-betting splits, keeping an eye on injury reports is crucial when analyzing a game. Injuries can have a significant impact on a team’s performance and can sway the outcome of a game. For the Broncos, key players such as quarterback Drew Lock and wide receiver Jerry Jeudy have been dealing with injuries throughout the season. On the other hand, the Saints have been without star quarterback Drew Brees due to a rib injury, which has forced backup Taysom Hill to step in as the starter.

When combining public-betting splits and injury reports, bettors can make more informed decisions when placing their bets. For example, if the public-betting splits heavily favor one team but that team is dealing with significant injuries, it may be wise to consider betting on the underdog. Conversely, if a team is receiving strong support from bettors and is relatively healthy, it could be a good opportunity to place a bet on the favorite.

Ultimately, analyzing public-betting splits and injury reports for the Broncos vs Saints Thursday Night Football game can provide valuable insights for bettors looking to make informed decisions. By staying informed on these factors leading up to the game, bettors can increase their chances of making successful bets and potentially cashing in on the outcome of the matchup.