Sep 10, 2024; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Media and security watch the Presidential Debate in the spin room. Mandatory Credit: Megan Smith-USA TODAY Network via Imagn Images
- Kamala Harris and Donald Trump participated in their first (and likely only) 2024 presidential debate on Tuesday night
- Trump was slightly favored in the 2024 election odds before the debate but Harris’ odds improved as the night went on
- Below, see the updated 2024 presidential election odds, both before and after Tuesday’s debate
The first and so far only scheduled debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump took place in Philadelphia on Tuesday night, moderated by David Muir and Linsey Davis on ABC.
Heading into Tuesday’s debate, Trump was slightly favored in the presidential election odds at bet365, sitting at -125 with VP Harris at even money.
After the debate, the two are now in a dead-heat, both sitting at -110 as of 10:43 pm ET on Tuesday night.
2024 Presidential Election Odds
| Candidate | Current Odds | Pre-Debate Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala Harris | -110 | +100 |
| Donald Trump | -110 | -125 |
Trump had been as short as -278 in the 2024 presidential election odds back in mid-July when incumbent Joe Biden was still seeking re-election. Harris has made (mostly) steady gains in the election markets since becoming the presumptive nominee when Biden abandoned his re-election campaign, reaching as short as -125 odds, on average, on August 21.
Odds as of September 10, 2024, at bet365. Note that American betting sites do not currently accept wagers on political markets.
Harris Wins Debate, Overcoming Low Bar
The beginning of the end of Biden’s re-election bid was the first presidential debate on June 27 when he appeared confused and incoherent at times. Expectations were certainly higher for the 59-year-old Vice President on Tuesday night, but with Biden’s performance still the backdrop, Harris had a much lower bar to clear than most recent Democratic nominees.
The official polls on who won the debate won’t be out for a day or two at least, but pundits are predicting a fairly resounding debate victory for Harris.
“Not everybody got handed 400 million dollars on a silver platter and then filed bankruptcy six times.”
— Kamala Harris on Donald Trump during the debate. pic.twitter.com/bUny2e7lDJ
— Pop Base (@PopBase) September 11, 2024
The most amicable part of the debate was the introductory handshake. The two candidates verbally sparred over every topic, finding little to no common ground, not that any was expected.
The general feeling on Elon Musk-owned X was that the ABC moderators – Linsey Davis and David Muir – were pro-Kamala Harris throughout the course of the debate.
Donald Trump gets fact-checked after claiming that immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, are eating pets.
Kamala Harris is yet to be fact checked. pic.twitter.com/cEUYT8rII1
— FearBuck (@FearedBuck) September 11, 2024
Vice-Presidential Debate Scheduled for October 1 on CBS
Harris and Trump do not have a second presidential debate on the books at the moment and time is running out to schedule one. However, on October 1, their running-mates Tim Walz and JD Vance will debate on CBS with Margaret Brennan and Norah O’Donnell moderating.
The odds at UK bookmaker William Hill strongly favor Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, Harris’ VP nominee, winning the debate. He is currently priced at -300 with Trump’s running-mate, Ohio Governor JD Vance, a +225 longshot at Will Hill.
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The recent presidential debate between Vice President Mike Pence and Senator Kamala Harris has sparked a flurry of activity in the world of political betting. Prior to the debate, Harris was seen as the underdog in the race, with odds favoring Pence to win the election. However, following her strong performance in the debate, Harris has seen a significant increase in her odds of winning the presidency.
According to several prominent betting websites, Harris’s odds of winning the election have increased by as much as 10% since the debate. This surge in support for Harris can be attributed to her confident and composed performance during the debate, where she effectively countered Pence’s arguments and presented a clear vision for the future of the country.
In addition to her strong debate performance, Harris’s odds have also been boosted by recent polling data that shows her gaining ground on President Trump in key swing states. This combination of factors has led many political analysts to believe that Harris now has a real shot at winning the election in November.
While it is still early in the election cycle and anything can happen between now and November, Harris’s increased odds are certainly a positive sign for her campaign. With less than a month to go until Election Day, it will be interesting to see how these odds continue to fluctuate as the race heats up even further.
In conclusion, the analysis of presidential election odds before and after the debate shows that Kamala Harris has seen a significant increase in her chances of winning the presidency. Her strong debate performance and recent polling data have boosted her odds, making her a serious contender in the race against Vice President Mike Pence. As the election draws closer, all eyes will be on Harris as she continues to campaign for the highest office in the land.
