Analysis of NBA Play-In Tournament Betting Lines, Odds Movement, and Public-Betting Splits for Heat vs Hawks and Mavs vs Grizzlies

• The Miami Heat visit the Atlanta Hawks for the #8 seed in the East on Friday
• In the West, the Memphis Grizzlies host the Dallas Mavericks for the #8 seed later on Friday night
• See the latest NBA Play-In Tournament betting lines, odds movement, and public-betting splits for both games

The final two games of the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament take place Friday night, starting with the Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks (7:10 pm ET) to decide the #8 seed in the East, and culminating with the Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies (9:40 pm ET) to determine the #8 seed in the West.

The betting lines for both games have been open for nearly 24 hours at this point and money has been pouring in. As a result, both the opening Heat/Hawks odds and opening Mavs/Grizzlies odds have moved significantly. In the tables below, the opening odds are listed in parentheses next to the current odds.

MIA Heat vs ATL Hawks Odds & Line Movement

The Heat vs Hawks spread has flipped in the last day. The Hawks opened as 1.5-point home favorites and -125 on the moneyline. But as of 3:15 pm ET on Friday, the Heat are one-point chalk and -112 road favorites on the moneyline.

Odds as of April 17 at DraftKings. Claim the top NBA betting promos for Friday’s play-in games.

The game total has also moved significantly; after opening at 221.5 (-110 both ways), the O/U has dropped 1.5 points to 220 flat (-110 odds both ways).

This is a similar trend to what bettors saw in the Heat vs Bulls odds for the 9-vs-10 play-in game on Wednesday: the total opened at 224.5 before being bet down as low as 219. It closed at 220 and the 109-90 final score stayed under by 21 points.

Atlanta’s 117-105 loss to Orlando in Tuesday’s 7-vs-8 game went over its total of 216.

Heat vs Hawks Public Betting Splits

The NBA public-betting splits for Heat vs Hawks show the public hammering the Heat so far, hence the line movement in their direction. Miami is getting 86% of ATS handle on 81% of ATS tickets, along with 87% of moneyline handle on just 59% of ML wagers.

The game total is showing reverse line movement, however. The number has come down despite 93% of game-total handle and wagers going to the over so far.

DAL Mavericks vs MEM Grizzlies Odds & Line Movement

The Mavericks vs Grizzlies spread hasn’t moved much; it opened at Memphis -6.5 and is still at that number. The price on Dallas to cover has shortened from -110 to -112, while the odds on Memphis to cover have grown from -110 to -108. On the moneyline, the Grizzlies remain a -270 favorite with Dallas a +220 longshot to win a second straight road game.

The total, however, has moved considerably, dropping from 222.5 on Wednesday night to 221.5 on Friday afternoon.

Dallas’ 120-106 rout of Sacramento on Wednesday went over its total of 214.0, while Memphis’ 121-116 loss at Golden State went over its total of 226.5

Mavericks vs Grizzlies Public Betting Splits

The Mavericks/Grizzlies betting splits are strongly in favor of Dallas so far. The Mavs are getting 69% of ATS money and 69% of ATS wagers. (Nice!) Dallas is also getting 84% of moneyline handle, but on just 47% of the ML tickets, indicating some large bets are on the Mavericks to win straight-up.

As with the Heat/Hawks total, the public is crushing the over with respect to the Mavs/Grizzlies total, putting 94% of money and 92% of bets on the over so far.

The NBA Play-In Tournament has added an extra layer of excitement to the end of the regular season, with teams fighting for their playoff lives in a winner-takes-all format. Two intriguing matchups in the Eastern and Western Conferences are the Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks and the Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies. Let’s take a closer look at the betting lines, odds movement, and public-betting splits for these games.

In the Heat vs Hawks matchup, the betting lines opened with the Heat as slight favorites, but the odds have since shifted in favor of the Hawks. The Hawks have been playing well down the stretch and have a dynamic young core led by Trae Young. The public seems to be backing the Hawks, with a majority of bets coming in on Atlanta to cover the spread.

On the other hand, the Mavericks vs Grizzlies game has seen a similar trend in terms of odds movement. The Mavericks opened as favorites, but the Grizzlies have since become the popular choice among bettors. The Grizzlies have been one of the surprise teams of the season, led by Ja Morant and a gritty defensive mindset. The public seems to believe in Memphis pulling off the upset in this matchup.

When looking at the public-betting splits, it’s clear that both underdogs are getting a lot of love from bettors. The Hawks and Grizzlies have been receiving a majority of bets to cover the spread, indicating that there is confidence in both teams to perform well in these do-or-die games.

As always, it’s important to take into consideration all factors when placing bets on these games. While the odds and public-betting splits can provide some insight, anything can happen in a single-game elimination scenario. Both matchups are sure to be highly competitive and could go either way.

In conclusion, the NBA Play-In Tournament has brought a new level of excitement to the end of the regular season, and these matchups between the Heat vs Hawks and Mavericks vs Grizzlies are no exception. Keep an eye on the odds movement and public-betting splits as these games approach, but remember to make informed decisions when placing your bets. Good luck!