Analysis of Michigan and Auburn Betting Lines, Odds, and Picks for Sweet 16 Matchup

  • The #1 Auburn Tigers are 8.5-point favorites vs the #5 Michigan Wolverines in Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament play
  • The winner advances to an Elite Eight matchup vs the winner of Ole Miss – Michigan State
  • See the Michigan vs Auburn odds, player props, and predictions for March 28

It’s all about the Big Ten vs the SEC in the South Region of the NCAA Tournament Friday night.

That’s when the top-seeded Auburn Tigers (30-5, 19-16-0 ATS) battle the Michigan Wolverines (27-9, 18-18-0 ATS) for a spot in the Elite Eight. Action for this one tips off at 9:39pm ET from State Farm Arena in Atlanta, GA, in a game that will be broadcast by CBS.The winner will take on the winner of another Big Ten vs SEC battle: Ole Miss and Michigan State.

Check below for the Michigan vs Auburn odds, player props and my betting prediction.

Michigan vs Auburn Odds

The fifth-seeded Wolverines enter as lengthy 8.5-point favorites in the college basketball odds, including a distant +330 on the moneyline. The total comes in at a decent 153 points, abut neither school has been pouring in points: Auburn has hit the Under in three of its last four, while Michigan has gone Under the total in two of its last three.

Odds as of March 25 at DraftKings. Read SBD’s guide to the March Madness betting strategy.

Auburn didn’t face much resistance during the opening week, dispatching of Alabama State by 30, and handling the Creighton Bluejays by 12.

They’ve done this without Johni Broome, a candidate in the 2025 Wooden Award odds, putting up just 22 points across the two games, though he has picked up double-digit rebounds in each. His production is due for a burst – he’s just too talented to be kept down.

Michigan came close to a Day 1 upset candidate, but they did hang on to dump UC San Diego 68-65 in their opener. They cruised in Round 2, dumping Texas A&M 91-79, powered by Roddy Gayle’s 21 second-half points, en route to a team-high 26 and four rebounds.

Big man Vladislav Goldin, who will likely have to deal a lot with Broome on Friday, had 23 points and 12 boards against the Aggies.

Michigan vs Auburn Picks

The Tigers have their sea legs again after a rough end of year stretch, where they dropped three of their final four, including to Tennessee in the semifinals of the SEC Tournament.

While that would be concerning to most teams, Auburn’s losses came to all ranked teams, including #8 Alabama and #8 Tennessee.

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They’ve looked a lot like the wrecking ball that was a top-ranked team for long stretches this season, and the one that finished Top 4 in both scoring (83.8 points) and scoring defense (69.4) in the ultra-competitive SEC.

The challenge Friday will be to execute against a Michigan side that’s ripped off five wins in a row, keeping three of those teams under 68 points.

The Tigers are 27th in the nation in field goal shooting at 48.1%, but will be challenged by the Wolverines, who hold teams to 40.1% (39th). Auburn is also a Top 50 school shooting the 3-ball at 36.6%, but Michigan limits opponents to a 30.9% clip.

KenPom has Michigan as the fourth-lowest rated team still standing in March Madness, as they possess the second-lowest offesnive efficiency in the field, ahead of only the upstart Arkansas Razorbacks. Defensively, they’re right in the mix, just a spot behind these same Auburn Tigers.

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Board work might be the deciding factor Friday. The Wolverines were fourth in the Big Ten in overall rebounding and third on the offensive side, where Auburn was sixth on both in the SEC.

The Wolverines have been a terrific bet of late, going 5-0-0 against the spread in its las five. While Auburn has gone 7-3 over its last 10, they are just 3-7-0 ATS, including just 1-5-0 ATS in their last six.

While I am backing the Tigers to advance, Michigan won’t make this one easy.

  • Michigan vs Auburn pick: Michigan +8.5 (-105)

Michigan vs Auburn Public Betting Splits

The March Madness public betting splits are split when it comes to betting Michigan vs Auburn. The moneyline is all Tigers, with 89% of the bets on Auburn, with 69% of the money.

The tides turn when it comes to the spread, where a healthy 62% of the bets and 54% of the money are siding with the Wovlerines. While Auburn is only getting 38% of the bets, they are receiving 46% of the money.

As for the total, a large 80% of the bets and 80% of the money are going for the Under of 153.5 points. The Over consists of 20% of the best and 20% of the money.

Michigan vs Auburn Player Props

Michigan vs Auburn player props from bet365 on Mar 25. Claim the current bet365 bonus code to get a bonus for Friday’s NCAAM slate.

Can Vlad Goldin match Johni Broome offensively? The Michigan big man has a scoring line of 17.5 Friday, just a point behind Broome. He’s topped his total in eight of the last 12 outings, cracking 20+ points eight times.

Broome has both the highest scoring and rebounding props for Friday. He’s grabbed 11+ rebounds in three of his last four, but his scoring touch has been off in the tournament. Prior to March Madness, he’d scored 19 or more points in six of nine games.

One player to watch is Auburn’s Tahaad Pettiford. He led the team in scoring against Creighton with 23 points, and he’s gone over his total twice in two tourney games.

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The Sweet 16 matchup between Michigan and Auburn is shaping up to be one of the most exciting games of the NCAA tournament. Both teams have had impressive runs so far, with Michigan coming off a dominant win against Tennessee and Auburn defeating Houston in a thrilling overtime game. As the two teams prepare to face off, let’s take a closer look at the betting lines, odds, and picks for this highly anticipated matchup.

Michigan comes into this game as the slight favorite, with most sportsbooks giving them a slight edge over Auburn. The Wolverines have been playing some of their best basketball of the season, led by star player Hunter Dickinson who has been a dominant force in the paint. Their defense has also been impressive, holding opponents to just 64.2 points per game on average. Michigan’s strong play on both ends of the court has made them a tough team to beat, and they will look to continue their success against Auburn.

On the other hand, Auburn has been riding high on their momentum from the SEC tournament, where they upset top-seeded Alabama and went on to win the championship. The Tigers are known for their fast-paced, high-scoring offense led by guards Sharife Cooper and Allen Flanigan. Auburn’s ability to push the pace and create turnovers has been a key factor in their success, and they will look to use their speed and athleticism to their advantage against Michigan.

In terms of the betting lines, Michigan is currently favored by around 2.5 points, with the over/under set at 148.5 points. This suggests that oddsmakers are expecting a close, high-scoring game between these two talented teams. Bettors will need to consider factors such as each team’s recent performance, key player matchups, and coaching strategies when making their picks for this game.

As for our pick, we believe that Michigan’s strong defense and inside presence will give them the edge in this matchup. While Auburn’s fast-paced style of play can be difficult to defend against, we think that Michigan’s ability to control the tempo and limit turnovers will ultimately lead them to victory. Look for Dickinson to have a big game in the paint, while Michigan’s perimeter shooters will also play a key role in securing the win.

Overall, this Sweet 16 matchup between Michigan and Auburn promises to be a thrilling contest between two talented teams. With both teams hungry for a spot in the Elite Eight, expect a hard-fought battle that could come down to the wire. Bettors should keep a close eye on the betting lines and odds leading up to the game, as they may shift based on player availability and other factors. Regardless of the outcome, this game is sure to be a must-watch for college basketball fans everywhere.