Aug 7, 2024; Seattle, Washington, USA; Detroit Tigers starting pitcher Tarik Skubal (29) throws the ball to first base for force out on Seattle Mariners second baseman Jorge Polanco (7) during the sixth inning at T-Mobile Park. Mandatory Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports
- One of the best pitching matchups the AL has to offer goes on Tuesday as Seattle’s George Kirby faces Detroit’s Tarik Skubal
- Skubal is the odds-on favorite to win the AL Cy Young while Kirby is top ten in ERA and WHIP
- See the Seattle Mariners vs Detroit Tigers odds, player-prop picks, and predictions on Aug 13
While only one of the teams is still relevant in the playoff race, Tuesday’s game between the Seattle Mariners (63-56, 26-30 away) and Detroit Tigers (56-63, 26-31 home) features an outstanding matchup on the mound. Detroit sends ace Tarik Skubal – the favorite in the AL Cy Young odds – to the hill against budding Seattle superstar George Kirby.
First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm ET at Comerica Park in Detroit.
With Skubal on the hill at home, Detroit is a slight favorite in the Mariners vs Tigers odds, but neither team is in plus-money.
Mariners vs Tigers Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Mariners | -102 | -1.5 (+164) | O 7.0 (-115) |
| Detroit Tigers | -116 | +1.5 (-200) | U 7.0 (-105) |
Tuesday’s MLB odds list the Tigers at -116 with the M’s coming back at -102. On the runline, Seattle is priced at +164 to win by multiple runs while Detroit is -200 to keep the score within a run.
The over/under is a miniscule 7.0 with the over only slightly favored at -115. The low total isn’t just a product of the pitching matchup; Seattle has the third-best under record in the MLB this year at 51-62-6 O/U. That said, Detroit is 12 games to the over (63-51-5 O/U).
Odds as of Aug. 13 at FanDuel. Claim a FanDuel promo code to bet on Tuesday’s MLB games.
The Mariners are in a pitched battle with the Houston Astros for top spot in the AL West. The Astros, who own an MLB-best six-game win streak, hold a half-game lead on the M’s heading into Tuesday, which has dropped Seattle as far as +155 in the MLB division odds.
Winning the division may be Seattle’s only route to the postseason. Despite riding a four-game win streak of their own, the Mariners remain two games back of the final AL Wild Card with the Boston Red Sox also two back.
Seattle vs Detroit MLB Betting Splits
The public is divided when it comes to the Mariners/Tigers moneyline. As of 11:30 am ET, the Mariners are getting 55% of moneyline handle in the MLB public betting splits. On the runline, the public is siding more significantly with the Tigers, who are currently getting 69% of runline handle at +1.5 (-200).
The public’s biggest lean comes on the total, where 81% of handle has been wagered on over 7.0 runs.
Tuesday’s matchup between Skubal and Kirby will be their second meeting in less than a week. Skubal powered the Tigers to a 6-2 win in Seattle on Aug. 7, throwing seven innings of three-hit, two-run ball with nine strikeouts. Kirby lasted 5.0 innings, allowing three runs on seven hits and a walk with seven strikeouts.
George Kirby vs Tarik Skubal
| 8-8 | Record | 13-4 |
| 3.13 | ERA | 2.57 |
| 3.26 | xERA | 2.82 |
| 1.02 | WHIP | 0.93 |
| 24.3% | K% | 30.1% |
Kirby has been a pillar in the Seattle rotation since reaching the bigs two years ago, and he’s lowered his ERA each season (3.39 as a rookie in 2022, 3.35 in 2023, and 3.13 so far this season). He’s (mostly) been getting better as the season has gone on, as well. Kirby had an ERA of 4.05 on June 4, lowering almost a full run over his last 11 starts.
His last few starts against Detroit, however, have all been pretty ugly. As mentioned, last time out he was rocked for seven hits and a walk over just 5.0 innings (1.60 WHIP). His previous start against the Tigers (July 15, 2023) saw him give up six runs on eight hits and a walk over 5.0 innings of work.
The start prior, he allowed four runs on six hits and three walks over just 4.0 innings. Seattle is just 1-3 straight-up in Kirby’s four career starts against Detroit. The current iteration of the Tiger lineup has a .243 average and .769 OPS against Kirby in 37 ABs. Jake Rogers and Javy Baez have each taken him yard once.
For Skubal, last Wednesday’s gem against Seattle was a much-needed bounceback game. In his previous outing, he was rocked for five runs on seven hits and two walks by the Royals (though he still managed to strikeout eight over 6.1 innings). That marked his first loss since June 19 and ended a run of four straight wins, with four no-decisions mixed in.
Skubal has racked up excellent numbers against the Seattle hitters in his four-plus years in the bigs. Cumulatively, they are hitting just .197 with a .623 OPS in 61 ABs. Mitch Garvers, Jorge Polanco, and Cal Raleigh have each taken Skubal yard once, but as a group, the M’s have 19 Ks and just 12 hits.
Mariners vs Tigers Prediction
It’s always nerve-wracking backing this abysmal Detroit offense, which sits 26th in the majors in wRC+ (89) and 28th in wOBA (.294) but they have a solid-enough history against Kirby, while Skubal has absolutely owned the Seattle hitters.
Skubal is listed with a strikeout prop of 7.5 (-116o/-110u), a number he’s gone over in three straight. While deadline additions have slightly altered the face of the Mariner lineup, Seattle still owns the highest strikeout rate in the entire majors (27.8%). I expect Skubal to make it four straight with eight-plus strikeouts.
SEA vs DET picks:
- Tigers first 5 innings moneyline (-120)
- Skubal over 7.5 Ks (-116)
Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
The Seattle Mariners are set to take on the Detroit Tigers in a highly anticipated matchup on August 13th. Both teams have been performing well this season, making this game an exciting one for fans and bettors alike. In this article, we will take a closer look at the betting odds, expert predictions, and prop picks for the Mariners vs Tigers game, specifically focusing on the pitching matchup between Seattle’s Justus Sheffield and Detroit’s Tarik Skubal.
Betting Odds:
According to the latest odds, the Mariners are slight favorites to win this game, with a moneyline of -120. The Tigers, on the other hand, have a moneyline of +110. The over/under for total runs scored in the game is set at 8.5.
Expert Predictions:
Many experts are predicting a close game between the Mariners and Tigers, with both teams having strong pitching staffs. Justus Sheffield has been solid for the Mariners this season, posting a 4.18 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. On the other hand, Tarik Skubal has been impressive for the Tigers, with a 4.53 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Some experts believe that the Mariners will come out on top in this matchup, citing their slightly better offense and overall team performance. However, others believe that the Tigers have what it takes to pull off an upset, especially with Skubal on the mound.
Prop Picks:
For prop bets, there are several options to consider for this game. One popular prop bet is the over/under on total runs scored in the game. With both pitchers having solid performances this season, taking the under on 8.5 runs could be a good bet.
Another prop bet to consider is the first five innings moneyline, where you can bet on which team will be leading after the first five innings of the game. Given the close matchup between these two teams, this could be a good opportunity to capitalize on early momentum.
Overall, the Mariners vs Tigers matchup on August 13th promises to be an exciting game with plenty of betting opportunities. Whether you’re a fan of either team or just looking to make some extra cash, be sure to keep an eye on the latest odds and expert predictions before placing your bets.
