- Jake Paul’s odds have surged to -225 over Mike Tyson after opening at -170
- We’re sticking with our early pick of Paul to win by decision, now at +275 odds
- Read below for expert Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson prediction and latest betting odds
After months of hype and speculation, the Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson boxing match is finally here. The 27-year-old YouTube star will square off against the 58-year-old former heavyweight champion on Friday night at AT&T Stadium (Netflix).
When this intergenerational showdown was first announced, Paul opened as a modest -170 favorite, with Tyson coming back at +130. But as the weeks have passed, the betting markets have made it clear who they think will have their hand raised.
Here are the latest Paul vs Tyson odds, along with our expert prediction.
Latest Paul vs Tyson Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jake Paul | -225 |
| Mike Tyson | +175 |
Jake Paul is now a solid -225 favorite to defeat Mike Tyson after opening at just -170 when the fight was first announced. Based on his current odds, The Problem Child has about a 69% implied probability to get his hand raised.
On the flip side, Tyson’s underdog price has stretched from +130 to +175 during that same timeframe. Iron Mike now has only about a 36% implied probability of victory in his first sanctioned bout since 2005.
The fact that the odds have trended so heavily in Jake Paul’s direction isn’t a big surprise. At 27 years old, he’s in the prime of his athletic career and will have major advantages in size, reach, and stamina against the 58-year-old boxing legend.
Odds as of Nov. 15, 2024 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Visit our guide to the best boxing betting sites to ensure you’re getting the top odds and promos for your wagers. Fight isn’t available for betting in Colorado, PA and Vermont.
Paul vs Tyson Tale of the Tape
Paul
VS
Tyson
| 27 | Age | 58 |
| 6’1″ (185 cm) | Height | 5’10” (178 cm) |
| 76″ (193 cm) | Reach | 71″ (180 cm) |
| 10-1 | Pro Boxing Record | 50-6-2 |
| 7 | Knockout Wins | 44 |
Jake Paul Betting Analysis
Jake Paul has made serious strides since lacing up the gloves for the first time in 2018. He’s racked up wins over former MMA champions and experienced boxers, showing legitimate one-punch knockout power along the way.
To score the signature win of his young career, Paul needs to make the most of his physical advantages against Tyson. He has youth, size, and reach on his side, and his gas tank should be significantly deeper than Iron Mike’s at this stage.
Look for The Problem Child to utilize his jab and movement to keep Tyson on the end of his punches. If he can control the distance and avoid getting drawn into a firefight, he can methodically break the boxing legend down and rack up rounds in the process.
As the fight goes on, Paul’s conditioning could become a major factor. After all, Tyson hasn’t gone past six rounds in nearly 20 years. If Jake is still standing in the later frames, there’s a great chance he’ll be landing the cleaner, harder shots.
Mike Tyson Betting Analysis
“Iron” Mike Tyson hasn’t fought as a professional since 2005, but he’s still in phenomenal shape and has competed in exhibition bouts as recently as 2020. While his stamina and reflexes have undoubtedly diminished, his legendary power and ring IQ remain intact.
For Tyson to turn back the clock and stun Paul, he simply needs to be Mike Tyson. The head movement, footwork, and devastating combinations that made him an icon could still be a nightmare for Jake if he’s able to get inside and unload.
MIKE TYSON SLAPS JAKE PAUL 😮🥊 #PaulTyson pic.twitter.com/8gFH7wCMto
— Helen Yee (@HelenYeeSports) November 15, 2024
With 58 fights under his belt against numerous all-time greats, Tyson has forgotten more about boxing than Paul will ever know. He only needs to land one vintage combination to change the complexion of the fight, and his experience in high-pressure situations could be invaluable.
If he’s going to get the job done, Iron Mike’s best chance is to bring relentless forward pressure from the opening bell. He must impose his will on the younger, less experienced Paul and refuse to let him settle into a rhythm. The shorter the fight, the better for Tyson.
Expert Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Prediction
- Pick: Jake Paul to win by decision or technical decision (+275 at
DraftKings
)
As much as the nostalgic fight fan in me would love to see Mike Tyson turn back the hands of time, I just don’t see it happening. I’ve got to ride with Jake Paul to get the job done and continue his ascent up the boxing ladder.
The Problem Child simply has too many physical advantages to ignore. He’s bigger, younger, and faster than Iron Mike at this stage, and his gas tank should be significantly deeper. As long as he fights a smart, disciplined battle and doesn’t fall into the trap of trading haymakers, he’s well-equipped to win this fight.
A customer of @CaesarsSports has a lot of faith in Jake Paul tonight, vs. Mike Tyson.
$1 million Paul -220 to beat Tyson.
Bet would win $454,545.45. pic.twitter.com/yKOMarjVjJ
— Patrick Everson (@PatrickE_Vegas) November 15, 2024
I expect Paul to control range behind his jab, pick his spots to unleash combinations, and incrementally break Tyson down as the rounds tick by. Iron Mike will be dangerous for as long as this fight lasts, but if Jake is still standing by the halfway point, he’ll be in the driver’s seat.
Barring a vintage Tyson blitz that ends matters early, look for Paul to put his stamp on the fight in the second half. He should be able to pull away down the stretch and win no less than six rounds on the scorecards. That makes his decision prop of +275 very enticing.
If you want a little insurance, pairing the over 5.5 rounds at -120 with Paul to win on points is the way to go. No matter what happens, it’s going to be a crazy scene in Dallas when these two step into the ring tonight.
The highly anticipated exhibition fight between YouTube sensation Jake Paul and boxing legend Mike Tyson has been generating a lot of buzz in the sports world. With the fight scheduled for November 15th, fans and bettors alike are eagerly awaiting the outcome of this matchup.
Jake Paul, known for his brash personality and social media presence, has been making waves in the boxing world with his recent victories over fellow YouTuber AnEsonGib and former NBA player Nate Robinson. Despite his lack of professional boxing experience, Paul has shown impressive skill and power in the ring, leading many to believe he could hold his own against a seasoned fighter like Tyson.
On the other hand, Mike Tyson is a former heavyweight champion with a storied career that includes wins over some of the biggest names in boxing. Although Tyson is now in his 50s and has been retired for over a decade, he has been training rigorously and has shown that he still possesses the speed and power that made him a formidable opponent in his prime.
As the fight draws closer, betting odds have been fluctuating as fans and analysts weigh in on who they believe will come out on top. Currently, the odds favor Mike Tyson as the favorite to win, with many experts citing his experience and skill as key factors in his potential victory. However, Jake Paul’s youth and determination cannot be underestimated, and some bettors are placing their money on the underdog to pull off an upset.
Ultimately, the outcome of the fight remains uncertain until the two fighters step into the ring on November 15th. Whether you’re a fan of Jake Paul or Mike Tyson, this matchup is sure to be an exciting event that will keep viewers on the edge of their seats. Stay tuned for updates on the fight prediction and betting odds as the big day approaches.
