Analysis of Hawks vs Magic Matchup: Picks, Predictions, and Best Odds for Play-In Tournament

  • The Orlando Magic host the Atlanta Hawks in the 7-vs-8 play-in game in the East on Tuesday
  • Orlando is a five-point home favorite in the Hawks vs Magic odds
  • See my favorite Hawks vs Magic picks and predictions, plus the best available ATL vs ORL odds for the moneyline, spread, and total

The Atlanta Hawks (40-42, 19-22 away, 41-41 ATS, 50-31-1 O/U) travel to Florida for a date with the Orlando Magic (41-41, 22-19 home, 40-41-1 ATS, 35-47 O/U) in the 7-vs-8 play-in game in the Eastern Conference on Tuesday night (7:10 pm ET). The winner will earn a date with the reigning-champion #2 Boston Celtics in the first round, and oddsmakers expect the Magic to hold serve at home.

The Magic are currently five-point favorites and around -200 on the moneyline in Tuesday’s NBA odds while the game total has been steadily decreasing over the last 24 hours, coming down from 219.5 to 217.0 at most books. Neither team is given any thought as a title threat, with Orlando at +10000 in the latest NBA Championship odds and Atlanta at +20000.

Hawks vs Magic Picks & Predictions

  • Orlando ML (-200) at FanDuel
  • Under 217.0 (-110) at Caesars

Odds as of April 14. Download the top NBA betting apps for the 2025 playoffs.

The Magic have had a rollercoaster of a season in which no team was more decimated by injuries. Back at the start of the season when they were mostly healthy (with the exception of Paolo Banchero), the Magic won ten straight home games to open the year, and looked like they could be a true NBA title threat once their leading scorer returned. But the injury gods had other plans, and none of Orlando’s top-four scorers wound up playing more than 60 games. That quartet – Paolo Banchero (25.9 PPG), Franz Wagner (24.2 PPG), Jalen Suggs (16.2 PPG), and Mo Wagner (12.9 PPG) – averaged just 42.3 games played this year and the shorthanded Magic went through significant slumps as a result.

Heading into the postseason, Suggs and Mo Wagner are shelved with season-ending injuries but Banchero and Franz Wagner – by far the two-most important players on the Orlando roster – are at or near full health. And the Magic won five straight games to close the year (before a meaningless matchup with Atlanta on the final day of the regular season when both teams rested their starters).

When these teams met on April 12 in Orlando, the Magic jumped out to a nine-point halftime lead and kept the Hawks at arm’s length for the entire second half. Banchero dominated with 33 points, 10 rebounds, and four assists, while Wagner added 22-6-6 while logging a heavy 40 minutes.Onyeka Okongwu had a season-high 30 points in a losing effort while Young added 28 and 10 dimes.

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Atlanta won the first meeting of the season (112-106 away) on Feb. 10 but Orlando answered back just ten days later with their own road victory in ATL (114-108). Atlanta and Orlando also played on the final day of the regular season with Atlanta taking a 117-105 decision but both teams rested the vast majority of their significant players so the result means little when handicapping Tuesday’s matchup.

When their not scraping the bottom of the bench for active bodies, the Magic are a beast at home. They won all three of their home games in the 2024 postseason against Cleveland by an average margin of 19.3 PPG. It would be nice if Suggs and Mo Wagner were healthy, but head coach Jamahl Mosley is plenty used to going deep into his rotation at this point, and as long as Banchero and Franz Wagner are both in the lineup, Orlando has enough firepower and – especially – defensive acuity to take down the Hawks again.

ATL vs ORL Advanced Stats

As the analytics starkly illustrate, Tuesday’s game will be fascinating coaching battle. The Hawks want to run as much as possible and play at the third-fastest tempo in the league, while the Magic play at the slowest tempo of all 30 teams.

Orlando’s defense wound up rated second in the NBA in efficiency, trailing only the OKC Thunder.

Best Available Hawks vs Magic Odds

The Hawks vs Magic spread has stayed fairly consistent since opening on Sunday afternoon. Orlando was a five-point favorite and remains at that number at most books, though the number has ticked up half a point to 5.5 at BetMGM, which makes it the best option for Atlanta bettors.

The vast majority of books have the Hawks’ moneyline at +170, which is also the longest price you can get at the moment. The best Orlando moneyline is -200 at FanDuel.

The game total, as mentioned, has moved significantly since opening at 219.5. The number is now as low as 216.5 at bet365, but is still a full point higher at BetMGM.

Keep an eye on the NBA public betting splits to see the latest odds movement and where the public is putting its money for the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament.

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The NBA Play-In Tournament is heating up as the Atlanta Hawks face off against the Orlando Magic in a crucial matchup. Both teams are fighting for a spot in the playoffs, making this game a must-watch for basketball fans.

The Hawks come into this game with a record of 38-31, sitting in the 8th seed in the Eastern Conference. Led by star point guard Trae Young, Atlanta has been playing some of their best basketball as of late. Young has been putting up impressive numbers, averaging 25.3 points and 9.4 assists per game. The Hawks also have a strong supporting cast with players like John Collins and Clint Capela contributing on both ends of the floor.

On the other side, the Magic have had a tough season with a record of 21-48. Despite their struggles, Orlando has shown flashes of potential with young players like Cole Anthony and Wendell Carter Jr. stepping up in the absence of key players due to injuries. The Magic will look to play spoiler in this matchup and potentially knock off the Hawks to keep their playoff hopes alive.

In terms of predictions, the Hawks are favored to win this game with their superior talent and experience. However, the Magic have shown that they can compete with top teams on any given night, so this game could go either way. It will be important for Atlanta to contain Orlando’s young stars and not take them lightly.

As for picks, betting odds currently favor the Hawks to win this game. The spread is set at -6.5 in favor of Atlanta, indicating that oddsmakers believe they will win by at least seven points. The over/under for total points scored is set at 220.5, suggesting that this could be a high-scoring affair.

Overall, this matchup between the Hawks and Magic is sure to be an exciting one with playoff implications on the line. Fans can expect a competitive game with both teams giving it their all to secure a spot in the postseason. Be sure to tune in and see who comes out on top in this Play-In Tournament showdown.

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