- Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson prop bets are rolling in as we approach their highly anticipated fight on Friday night
- Will this exhibition bout go the distance? How will it end? We break down the odds and best prop bets
- Check out our expert Paul vs Tyson props predictions, odds and best bets, below
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson prop bets are popping up left and right ahead of their clash this Friday, November 15th at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas.
The YouTuber-turned-boxer Paul was originally scheduled to face Tyson in July, but the fight was postponed due to Tyson suffering an ulcer flare-up. Now, the 58-year-old former heavyweight champion steps into the ring against the 27-year-old Paul in a sanctioned professional bout with modified rules.
The boxing betting odds favor Paul at around -210, with Tyson a +170 underdog. But digging into the prop betting market is where you’ll find the real value for Friday night. Let’s dive into our best Paul vs Tyson props and predictions for Friday’s heavyweight showdown.
Will Paul vs Tyson Go the Distance?
| Goes the Distance | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | +155 |
| No | -190 |
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of November 14, 2024. Check out available DraftKings promos for Paul vs Tyson. The fight is not available for betting in the following states: PA, Vermont & Colorado.
One of the most popular prop bets for any boxing match is whether the fight will go the full scheduled distance or end inside the limit. For this 8-round bout with two-minute rounds, oddsmakers favor an early finish, with “No” at -190.
However, I’m backing this fight to go the distance at appealing +155 odds. Despite his age, Tyson has taken this fight seriously and gotten himself into impressive shape. His legendary toughness and resolve should help him last the full 16 minutes.
On the other side, Paul has shown improvements in his boxing and the ability to adjust mid-fight. Look for him to utilize his youth, reach, and movement to stay on the outside and outbox Tyson en route to a decision win. Paul has gone eight rounds before and knows how to pace himself.
Prediction:
- Fight Goes the Distance – Yes (+155)
Make sure to browse the best boxing sites for Paul vs Tyson before placing a bet.
Paul vs Tyson Method of Victory
| Method of Victory | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jake Paul by KO/TKO/DQ | +150 |
| Jake Paul by Decision | +280 |
| Mike Tyson by KO/TKO/DQ | +250 |
| Mike Tyson by Decision | +1100 |
| Draw | +800 |
In line with my prediction of the fight going the distance, I like Jake Paul to win by decision at +280 (26.3% implied probability).
Paul’s youth, stamina, and technical boxing skills should enable him to outpoint Tyson over the 8 rounds. He’ll likely use his jab and footwork to control the pace and rack up points, while Tyson may struggle to cut off the ring and land consistently.
Even with the modified rules benefitting him, it’s a tall task to expect Tyson to stop a younger, taller, rangier opponent at this stage of his life. Paul is likely to avoid any dangerous exchanges and cruise to a points win.
Pick:
-
- Jake Paul by Decision (+280)
Jake Paul vs Mike Tyson Round Betting
| Jake Paul Wins in… | Odds |
|---|---|
| Round 3 | +1000 |
| Round 4 | +1000 |
| Round 5 | +1100 |
| Round 6 | +1200 |
| Round 7 | +1400 |
| Round 8 | +1600 |
With the expectation of a full-distance fight and decision win for Paul, I don’t have a strong lean on the round betting props. The odds are tempting for a late Paul stoppage, but I’ll stick with the fight going to the scorecards.
However, if you do think Paul stops Tyson late, the odds are worth sprinkling on. I could see a scenario where Tyson starts strong but fades down the stretch, allowing Paul to pour it on and force a late stoppage.
If you wanted to sprinkle a little on a late-rounds prop just in case, Paul in Round 8 at +1600 is probably the best value. But for me personally, I’m passing on the round betting in favor of the distance and method of victory props.
- Sprinkle Bet: Paul in Round 8 (+1600)
Other Paul vs Tyson Props to Consider
One other prop bet caught my eye:
- Jake Paul wins by unanimous decision (+320) – In line with my predicted outcome at even better odds than the standard decision prop
Expert Paul has made some bold prop bets against Tyson in their upcoming fight, predicting that ‘Problem Child’ will win by decision. But is this a realistic outcome, or is Paul just taking a gamble?
To analyze this prediction, we must first consider the strengths and weaknesses of both fighters. Tyson is known for his power and aggressive fighting style, while ‘Problem Child’ is more of a strategic and technical fighter. In a decision victory, it is likely that ‘Problem Child’ would rely on his defensive skills and counter-punching to outscore Tyson over the course of the fight.
Another factor to consider is the judges’ scoring criteria. In boxing, judges typically award points based on clean punches landed, effective aggression, ring generalship, and defense. If ‘Problem Child’ is able to effectively control the pace of the fight and land clean shots while avoiding Tyson’s power punches, he could potentially win on points.
However, it is important to note that predicting a decision victory in boxing is always risky, as judges’ scoring can be subjective and influenced by a variety of factors. One judge may favor aggressive fighters like Tyson, while another may value technical skill and defense.
Ultimately, Expert Paul’s prop bet on ‘Problem Child’ winning by decision is a bold prediction that could pay off if the fight plays out in a certain way. However, it is important to remember that anything can happen in boxing, and there are no guarantees when it comes to predicting the outcome of a fight. Fans will have to tune in to see if Expert Paul’s prediction comes true or if Tyson proves him wrong with a knockout victory.