Analysis of Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3: Predictions, Odds, and Betting Trends

Analysis of Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3: Predictions, Odds, and Betting Trends
  • The LA Dodgers can take a commanding 3-0 lead on the Yankees in the 2024 World Series tonight
  • Walker Buehler starts for LAD against Cole Schmidt for NYY
  • See the Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 predictions, odds, and betting splits

Up 2-0 after holding serve in California, the Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 46-35 away) look to take a 3-0 on the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) in Game 3 of the best-of-seven World Series tonight at Yankee Stadium (8:08 pm ET).

Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 Predictions

  • LA Dodgers moneyline (+135) at ESPN Bet
  • Under 8.5 runs (+105) at
    Caesars

After Game 1’s emotional comeback victory on Freddie Freeman’s walk-off grand slam, the Dodgers largely dominated Game 2, doubling up on the Yankees in both runs (4-2) and hits (8-4) while chasing starter Carlos Rodon after just 3.1 innings.

While the sight of Walker Buehler on the bump has become panic-inducing for Dodgers fans, the 30-year-old showed signs of regaining his two-time All-Star form last time out. Buehler pitched 4.0 shutout innings in a pivotal Game 3 against the Mets, allowing just three hits and two walks with six strikeouts. He’d only fanned one batter in his previous ten innings.

YouTube video

The shutout performance lowered his postseason ERA from a ridiculous 10.80 to a still-ugly 6.00. He had a career-worst 5.38 ERA in 75.1 regular-season innings, as well.

Only three of the Yankee starters have ever faced Buehler before. Juan Soto is 4-for-15 with no extra-base hits and three Ks; Anthony Rizzo is 2-for-9 with a double; and Jazz Chisholm is 3-for-5 with a double.

The same is true of NYY starter Clarke Schmidt against the Dodger starters: Kike Hernandez is 1-for-7; Teoscar Hernandez is 0-for-3; and Shohei Ohtani is 1-for-3 with a home run.

Schmidt, who had a stellar 2.85 ERA in 85.1 regular-season innings, hasn’t been nearly as effective in two playoff starts against the Guardians and Royals. He went 4.2 innings in both and allowed two earned runs in both. He has a 1.28 WHIP in those 9.1 IP.

Buehler is a massive question mark heading into Game 3. But his last outing shows that he still has huge upside, and with the Dodger bats mashing the way they have been over the last eight games, I am hammering LAD at significant plus-money.

I’m also going to back the under based on the strength of both bullpens, which come into Monday well-rested after a day off on Sunday.

Best Dodgers vs Yankees Odds for Game 3

The odds for Dodgers vs Yankees Game 3 show a decent range as of Monday morning. The best Dodger moneyline is currently +135 at ESPN Bet (nowhere else as the line longer than +130) while the best price on a Yankee victory is -144 at FanDuel (no other book as NYY longer than -150).

On the runline, bettors can get LAD +1.5 at -155 at DraftKings, while NYY -1.5 is +140 at BetMGM.

There isn’t a ton of variety when it comes to the game total. Most books have it at 8.5 with the juice on the over. DraftKings has upped the run total to 9.0 but with -122 odds on the under.

The Dodgers moved to -417 favorites in the 2024 World Series odds after winning Games 1 and 2. The Yankees are +325 to pull off the comeback and win their first championship since 2009.

LAD vs NYY Public-Betting Splits (Game 3)

Team Moneyline ML Handle% ML Bet% Runline RL Handle% RL Bet% Run Total O/U Handle% O/U Bet%
LA Dodgers +130 52% 25% +1.5 19% 15% O 8.5 70% 69%
NY Yankees -144 48% 75% -1.5 81% 85% U 8.5 30% 31%

Monday’s MLB public betting splits show some interesting trends. On the moneyline, the Yankees are getting the vast majority of the bets (75%) but the Dodgers are actually getting slightly more of the money (52%), meaning that the Dodgers are getting significantly bigger wagers.

The runline shows no such discrepancy. The Yankees are getting 81% of runline handle and 85% of runline tickets as -1.5 favorites.

The public is also hammering the over. As of 11:15 am ET, 70% of run-total handle and 69% of bets were on over 8.5, despite the juice.

The highly anticipated Game 3 of the Dodgers vs Yankees series is set to take place this weekend, and fans and bettors alike are eagerly awaiting the outcome. Both teams have been performing well this season, making this matchup even more exciting.

In terms of predictions, it’s difficult to say which team will come out on top. The Dodgers have been on a hot streak lately, with strong performances from key players like Mookie Betts and Clayton Kershaw. On the other hand, the Yankees have been playing well too, with sluggers like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton leading the way.

When it comes to odds, the Dodgers are currently favored to win Game 3. However, the Yankees are not far behind, making this game a close call in terms of betting. Bettors may want to consider factors like recent performance, pitching matchups, and home field advantage when placing their bets.

In terms of betting trends, it’s important to note that both teams have been performing well against the spread this season. The Dodgers have a strong record of covering the spread, while the Yankees have been a solid bet as well. Bettors may want to consider these trends when placing their bets on Game 3.

Overall, Game 3 of the Dodgers vs Yankees series is shaping up to be an exciting matchup with plenty of betting opportunities. Fans and bettors alike will be watching closely to see which team comes out on top in this highly anticipated game.