Analysis of Chiefs vs Eagles Player Props: Passing, Rushing, and Receiving Prop Picks with Line Movement Updates

  • The Chiefs vs Eagles player props for Super Bowl 59 have been on the move over the last two weeks
  • Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards has dropped from 117.5 to 112.5, while Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards has grown from 45.5 to 52.5
  • See all the latest Chiefs vs Eagles player prop over/unders plus predictions

Super Bowl 59 between the Kansas City Chiefs (17-2, 8-10-1 ATS) and Philadelphia Eagles (17-3, 13-7 ATS) is just 24 hours away. The majority of the Super Bowl 59 odds have been open for nearly two weeks at this point, meaning the public and sharps alike have already wagered millions on the final NFL game of the season. As always, the Super Bowl player props are one of the most-bet markets, and the over/unders for all the QBs, running backs, and receivers have been on the move. The table below lists the current Chiefs vs Eagles player props (passing, rushing, receiving) in bold juxtaposed with the opening lines in italics. Under the table, find my favorite Super Bowl player-prop picks.

Updated Super Bowl 59 Player Props

The notable line movement in the KC/PHI player props over the last 13 days includes Eagles running back Saquon Barkley’s rushing prop dropping from 117.5 all the way to 112.5. Eagles dual-threat quarterback Jalen Hurts, on the other hand, has seen his rushing prop increase from 36.5 to 39.5. On the KC side, DeAndre Hopkins’ receiving total has dropped from an already-low 16.5 yards to just 11.5 yards.

NFL player props as of Feb. 8 at DraftKings. Claim the best Super Bowl betting promos to get a bonus to use on any Chiefs/Eagles wager.

KC vs PHI Prop Pick #1: Saquon Barkley Over 21.5 Rushing Attempts

Barkley’s rushing total wasn’t the only number of his to drop steeply over the last two weeks. The All-Pro’s rushing attempts also fell from 23.5 to 21.5 with the over now slightly favored at -127. I am betting the over and recent history is on my side. Barkley has rushed the ball at least 25 times in four of the last five games, and the only time he didn’t reach that number was in Philly’s 55-23 rout of the Commanders in the NFC title game. But remember that the Eagles were in full control of that game from about the midway mark and backup Will Shipley played most of the fourth quarter.

Barkley is the Eagles’ bread-and-butter on offense. Sure, we can expect KC defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo to scheme up ways to stop him. But Spags’ creativity and brilliance is more on the blitzing side of things. The Chiefs finished the regular season rated a solid-but-not-spectacular 10th in rush defense at PFF, compared to fifth in pass rush, fifth in coverage, and second in overall defense.

If the Chiefs’ D has a weak point, it’s the ground game, and I expect Barkley to be the focal point of Philly’s gameplan once again.

Pick: Barkley over 21.5 rush attempts (-127)

KC vs PHI Prop Pick #1: DeVonta Smith Under 52.5 Receiving Yards

The other prop I’m targeting is Philly wideout DeVonta Smith to stay under 52.5 receiving yards. As noted in the final Chiefs vs Eagles injury reports, Smith has been battling a hamstring injury and was limited at practice all week.

Even at full speed, he’s only gone over 52.5 yards in three of his last nine games. The Eagles are running the ball at almost every opportunity and, as touched on above, it would make sense that they would continue that trend in the Super Bowl, targeting KC’s relatively weak rush defense.

On top of that, it’s clear that Smith has become Jalen Hurts’ third-favorite target now that tight end Dallas Goedert is back and fully healthy. Goedert and AJ Brown have both been targeted 18 times in the postseason, while Smith has only been targeted 12.

In light of KC’s cornerback strength on the outside and the amount of pressure they generate on deep drops, it’s unlikely Smith breaks an explosive play downfield. That would be the case if he was fully healthy, and the fact that he’s clearly less than full speed due to his hamstring issue makes it all the more true.

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The highly anticipated matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles is set to take place this weekend, and fans are eagerly awaiting the outcome. As the game approaches, bettors are looking to get in on the action by placing wagers on player props for passing, rushing, and receiving.

When it comes to passing props, all eyes will be on Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes is known for his incredible arm strength and accuracy, and he has the ability to make big plays down the field. For this game, Mahomes’ passing yardage prop is set at 300.5 yards. Given Mahomes’ track record of putting up big numbers, many bettors may be inclined to take the over on this prop.

On the other side of the ball, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts will be looking to make a statement against the Chiefs’ defense. Hurts has shown flashes of brilliance in his young career, and his passing yardage prop is set at 250.5 yards for this game. While Hurts may not have the same level of experience as Mahomes, he has the ability to make plays with both his arm and his legs, which could make him a threat in this matchup.

In terms of rushing props, Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire will be a player to watch. Edwards-Helaire has the ability to break off big runs and make defenders miss in the open field. His rushing yardage prop is set at 65.5 yards for this game, and bettors may be tempted to take the over given his skill set.

For the Eagles, running back Miles Sanders will be looking to establish himself as a key contributor in the team’s offense. Sanders’ rushing yardage prop is set at 50.5 yards for this game, and bettors may see value in taking the over on this prop if they believe Sanders will get a significant number of carries.

When it comes to receiving props, Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce will be a player to keep an eye on. Kelce is one of the top tight ends in the league and has a strong connection with Mahomes. His receiving yardage prop is set at 85.5 yards for this game, and bettors may be inclined to take the over given Kelce’s ability to create mismatches against opposing defenses.

On the Eagles side, wide receiver DeVonta Smith will be a player to watch in the passing game. Smith has shown flashes of his potential as a playmaker and his receiving yardage prop is set at 60.5 yards for this game. Bettors may see value in taking the over on this prop if they believe Smith will be able to exploit the Chiefs’ secondary.

As bettors look to place their wagers on player props for this game, it’s important to keep an eye on any line movement updates that may occur leading up to kickoff. Line movement can provide valuable insights into where the betting public is placing their money and can help bettors make more informed decisions when placing their bets.

Overall, the Chiefs vs Eagles matchup is shaping up to be an exciting game with plenty of opportunities for bettors to get in on the action with passing, rushing, and receiving prop picks. By analyzing player props and staying up to date on line movement updates, bettors can increase their chances of making successful wagers on this highly anticipated showdown.