Analysis of Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Matchup: Prediction, Odds, and Line Movement for Jan. 19 Game

• The Baltimore Ravens visit the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Divisional Round on Sunday, Jan. 19
• The Bills opened as slight home favorites but now the Ravens are roach chalk
• See the Ravens vs Bills prediction, best available odds, and line movement

The marquee matchup of the 2025 NFL Divisional Round sees the Baltimore Ravens (13-5, 6-3 away, 11-6-1 ATS) visiting the Buffalo Bills (14-4, 9-0 home, 11-7 ATS) in Orchard Park on Sunday, Jan. 19, at 6:30 pm ET. The Ravens dominated the regular-season matchup between the teams in Baltimore (35-10) and they have gone from slight underdogs in the opening Divisional Round odds to slight favorites in the latest NFL odds.

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills Predictions

• Bills moneyline (+100) at FanDuel
• Josh Allen anytime TD scorer (+110) at BetMGM  Odds as of January 16. If you’re new to football wagering, check out SBD’s NFL betting strategies ahead of the Divisional Round.

There’s no denying that Buffalo was the second-best team on the field when these teams met back in Week 4 (Sep. 29), and it wasn’t close. Baltimore outgained Buffalo 427 yards to 236 and ran away with a 35-10 victory despite committing twice as many penalties (eight for 79 yards compared to four for 38 yards) and finishing even in turnover margin.

But there’s also no denying that Baltimore is better at home (6-2 with a +10.9 point differential per game) than on the road (6-3 with a +6.5 point differential) and Buffalo is considerably better at home (9-0 with a +17.5 differential) than on the road (5-4 with a +2.7 differential).

The Bills have also gotten healthier on defense and are coming off one of their most stifling performances of the season in the Wild Card round. Buffalo held Bo Nix and the Broncos to just 224 total yards (145 passing, 79 rushing) at 5.3 yards per play.

Another reason I’m leaning towards the Bills is the weather. The forecast is calling for temperatures in the teens with a brutal wind chill and likely snow. The Ravens aren’t exactly a warm-weather team; they see plenty of ugly conditions in Maryland in December and January. But Orchard Park in the middle of winter is a different beast. And I fully expect the hometown Bills to handle the conditions better.

With passing likely at a premium, I’m targeting a Josh Allen anytime touchdown at plus-money (+110). The Buffalo pivot had just three rushing TDs in his first nine games of the regular season. But he finished with nine majors in his last eight games. There won’t be any messing around near the goalline in the Buffalo snow.

Best Ravens vs Bills Odds

The Ravens vs Bills point spread has moved from Buffalo -1.5 at opening to as much as Baltimore -1.5 as of Thursday night. The best option for Bills ATS bettors is currently DraftKings, where Buffalo +1.5 is priced at -118. The best option for Ravens ATS bettors is BetMGM or bet365, where Baltimore -1.0 is listed at -110.

The best Buffalo moneyline is even-money at FanDuel, while BetMGM and bet365 also have the best moneyline price on Baltimore at -115.

The game total is 51.5 across the board with only minor variations in price. DraftKings has the best over odds at -105 while Caesars is one of a few sites with the best under odds at -110.

The NFL public betting splits for Ravens vs Bills show the public almost evenly split on the moneyline, spread, and game total. Baltimore is currently getting 54% of moneyline handle and 58% of ATS handle, while the over has attracted 51% of O/U handle as of 7 pm ET on Thursday night.

The highly anticipated matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the Buffalo Bills is set to take place on January 19th, and football fans are eagerly awaiting the outcome of this game. Both teams have had successful seasons, with the Ravens finishing with a 11-5 record and the Bills finishing with a 13-3 record.

In terms of prediction, this game is expected to be a close one. The Ravens have been on a hot streak, winning their last six games in a row, while the Bills have also been playing well, winning their last seven games. Both teams have strong offenses, with the Ravens averaging 29.3 points per game and the Bills averaging 31.3 points per game.

On the defensive side, the Ravens have been solid, allowing an average of 18.9 points per game, while the Bills have allowed an average of 23.4 points per game. This could be a key factor in determining the outcome of the game.

In terms of odds, the Bills are currently favored to win by 2.5 points, with an over/under of 50 points. This means that the oddsmakers believe that the Bills will win by at least three points, and that the total combined score of both teams will be over 50 points.

In terms of line movement, the odds for this game have been relatively stable, with the Bills remaining as the favorites throughout the week leading up to the game. However, as game day approaches, there could be some movement in the odds depending on any last-minute injuries or other factors that could impact the outcome of the game.

Overall, this matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the Buffalo Bills is shaping up to be an exciting and closely contested game. Both teams have strong offenses and solid defenses, making it difficult to predict the outcome with certainty. However, based on current odds and line movement, the Bills are favored to come out on top in what promises to be a thrilling playoff matchup.