May 8, 2021; Arlington, Texas, USA; Boxer Canelo Alvarez celebrates defeating Billy Joe Saunders during a super middleweight boxing title fight at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports
- Canelo Alvarez vs Edgar Berlanga goes down Saturday, September 14
- The latest boxing odds are heavily in favor of “Cinnamon” at -180
- Read below for Canelo vs Berlanga prediction, odds, and tale of the tape
The boxing world is gearing up for a super middleweight showdown for the ages as Canelo Alvarez puts his WBC, WBO, and WBA titles on the line against rising Puerto Rican star Edgar Berlanga. This all-action affair is set to light up T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on September 14.
Canelo, the pound-for-pound king, is looking to add another impressive win to his decorated resume. But Berlanga, a knockout artist with a perfect record, has other plans.
Who will come out on top in this Mexico vs Puerto Rico clash? Let’s break it down in our Canelo vs Berlanga prediction.
Fight Details
- Date: Saturday, September 14, 2024
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada
- Ring Walks: Around 11 PM ET
- TV: DAZN PPV ($89.99)
Canelo vs Berlanga Odds
| Fighter | Moneyline Odds | Over/Under Rounds |
|---|---|---|
| Canelo Alvarez | -1800 | O 8.5 (-115) |
| Edgar Berlanga | +1000 | O 8.5 (-115) |
Canelo comes in as a sizable favorite at -1800, with Berlanga a +1000 underdog. The oddsmakers are expecting a Canelo win, but with Berlanga’s power, an upset isn’t out of the question. The total rounds sit at 8.5, with the over and under both at -115.
Odds as of Sep. 10, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Claim the DraftKings promo code to wager on the Canelo vs Berlanga fight.
Canelo Alvarez Betting Analysis
The face of boxing today, Canelo Alvarez, is on a mission to clean out the 168-pound division. The 34-year-old Mexican superstar is riding a four-fight winning streak, but he hasn’t scored a stoppage victory since his 11th-round TKO of Caleb Plant back in November 2021.
Canelo’s last outing saw him defeat Jaime Munguia by unanimous decision in May. It was a solid win, but some critics questioned whether Canelo was losing a step. “Cinnamon” will be looking to silence the doubters with a statement victory over Berlanga.
Strengths
Canelo is a complete boxer with few weaknesses. His elite counterpunching and head movement make him a defensive wizard, while his body attack and combination punching are among the best in the sport. The Mexican also has a granite chin and has never been knocked down in his career.
Weaknesses
Father Time waits for no man, and there are whispers that Canelo may be on the decline. His lack of stoppages in recent fights and his loss to Dmitry Bivol at light heavyweight in 2022 have raised some eyebrows. Canelo can also be a slow starter, which could be dangerous against a puncher like Berlanga.
Edgar Berlanga Betting Analysis
Edgar “The Chosen One” Berlanga has been touted as the next Puerto Rican boxing star. The Brooklyn-born puncher made a name for himself with a remarkable 16 straight first-round knockouts to begin his pro career.
Though he’s gone the distance in his last few fights, Berlanga’s power remains a significant threat to anyone at 168 pounds. There’s a reason he’s not a heavier underdog in the Csanelo fight odds.
Berlanga punched his ticket to this title shot with a sixth-round stoppage of Padraig McCrory in his last bout in February. Now, he gets the chance to shock the world and dethrone the king of the division.
Strengths
Berlanga’s biggest asset is his game-changing power. The 27-year-old has dynamite in both fists and can end a fight with a single shot. He’s also a physically strong fighter who isn’t afraid to mix it up on the inside.
Weaknesses
For all his power, Berlanga is still relatively untested at the elite level. He can be wild with his punches and has yet to prove he can go deep into a championship fight. There are also questions about his defense and chin, which will be put to the ultimate test against Canelo.
Tale of the Tape
| 61-2-2 | Record | 22-0 |
| 39 | Knockouts | 17 |
| 5’7.5″ (171 cm) | Height | 6’1″ (185 cm) |
| 70.5″ (179 cm) | Reach | 78″ (198 cm) |
| Orthodox | Stance | Orthodox |
Canelo vs Berlanga Prediction
This is a classic boxer vs puncher matchup, and it should produce fireworks for as long as it lasts. Berlanga will be gunning for the early knockout, but Canelo’s experience and ring IQ should help him weather the early storm.
Look for Canelo to use his superior footwork and defense to make Berlanga miss and pay in the early rounds. As the fight goes on, Canelo will start to land his signature body shots and combinations, slowing Berlanga down.
Loading…🪫🔋 #CaneloBerlanga pic.twitter.com/vWlpXS8RQE
— Canelo Alvarez (@Canelo) September 5, 2024
Berlanga’s best chance is to catch Canelo with something big early, but the Mexican’s chin is one of the best in the business. If Canelo can avoid the big shots, he should be able to take over down the stretch and stop a tiring Berlanga in the championship rounds.
It won’t be easy, but Canelo’s class and experience will prove too much. Expect the pound-for-pound king to make a statement and remind everyone why he’s the face of boxing.
- Pick: Canelo Alvarez by KO/TKO/DQ (-290)
- Bonus Prop Bet: Canelo in Round 10 (+900)
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Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
On September 14th, boxing fans around the world will be treated to an exciting matchup between two of the sport’s rising stars: Canelo Alvarez and Edgar Berlanga. Alvarez, the current unified super middleweight champion, will be defending his titles against the undefeated Berlanga in what promises to be a thrilling bout.
The fight is set to take place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, with a start time of 9:00 PM ET. Fans can catch all the action live on DAZN, the streaming service that has become a popular destination for boxing fans looking to watch their favorite fighters in action.
As for the odds, Alvarez comes into the fight as the heavy favorite, with most sportsbooks listing him as a -300 favorite to win. Berlanga, on the other hand, is seen as the underdog, with odds of +250 to pull off the upset. Despite the odds, Berlanga has shown tremendous skill and power in his fights leading up to this matchup, making him a dangerous opponent for Alvarez.
In terms of predictions, many experts believe that Alvarez’s experience and skill will be too much for Berlanga to handle. Alvarez is known for his powerful punches and relentless pressure in the ring, and it will be up to Berlanga to try and weather the storm and find a way to land his own shots.
Ultimately, this fight has all the makings of a classic showdown between two talented fighters with a lot on the line. Whether you’re a die-hard boxing fan or just looking for some exciting sports action, be sure to tune in on September 14th to see who comes out on top in this highly anticipated matchup.
