A Comprehensive Guide to Oregon vs Michigan State Matchup in the Big Ten Tournament: Odds, Picks, Predictions, and Props

• The #1 Michigan State Spartans are sizable betting favorites over the #8 Oregon Ducks in the Big Ten quarterfinals on Friday afternoon
• The Spartans won the only regular-season meeting by 12 in East Lansing
• See the Oregon vs Michigan State odds, predictions, and player prop picks for March 14

Hoping to pair a Big Ten Tournament crown with the regular-season title already on their resume, the top-seeded Michigan State Spartans (26-5, 17-3 Big Ten, 21-9-1 ATS) face the #8 Oregon Ducks (24-8, 12-8 Big Ten, 15-16-1 ATS) in the quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament on Friday morning at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis (12:00 pm ET). The Ducks are coming off a resounding 72-59 win over Indiana last night but they now find themselves laying a bucket-full of points to the Spartans in Friday’s college basketball odds.

Oregon vs Michigan State Odds

Michigan State is listed as a 6.5-point neutral-court favorite and -292 on the moneyline, giving the Spartans a 74.49% implied win probability. The Ducks are +235 underdogs (29.85%) despite riding an eight-game win streak into the Big Ten quarters. The game total is sitting at 142.5 with -110 odds on both the over and the under.

Odds as of March 14 at Caesars. Claim the top NCAAM bonus codes with SBD’s March Madness betting promos.

The Ducks are 16-16 O/U on the season but the Spartans have been one of the best under bets in the nation all year. MSU enters the Big Ten Tournament 10-21 O/U, hitting the under in 67.9% of their first 31 games.

As the top-seed in the conference, Michigan State received a double-bye directly to the quarterfinals. Tom Izzo’s team has had a five-day layoff since trouncing arch-rival Michigan (79-62) at home on the final day of the regular season.

As the #8 seed, Oregon was pitted against #9 Indiana in the second round on Thursday. The Ducks battled back from an early 17-11 deficit to take an eight-point lead into halftime. The Hoosiers pulled within two twice in the second half but never closer and Oregon pulled away late for a 72-59 win. The Ducks’ backcourt proved the difference; sophomore guard Jackson Shelstad (13.4 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 2.7 APG) had a team-high 18 points while senior guard TJ Bamba (10.4 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 2.9 APG) added 17.

Oregon’s defense was the real MVP of the game, limiting IU to just 36.2% shooting from the field

The Spartans earned an 86-74 home win over the Ducks in the team’s only regular-season meeting but it didn’t come without serious tribulations. Oregon ended the first half on an 11-1 run to take a massive 50-36 lead into the break. But MSU started the second on a 12-0 run and pulled away with a 17-2 run later in the half.

Freshman guard Jase Richardson (11.6 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 1.9 APG) cued the comeback with 29 points and five rebounds, helping the Spartans finish +14 on the glass.

ORE vs MSU Player Props

Oregon vs Michigan State player props from bet365 on March 14. If you’re new to college basketball betting, learn how to bet on March Madness with SBD’s handy guide

Both the Ducks and Spartans feature balanced offenses. No player on either team averaged more than Nate Bittle’s 13.9 PPG. The Spartans have seven different players clustered between 7.0 and 12.9 PPG. Jase Richardson, MSU’s leading scorer, has the highest point total on Friday at 15.5, almost three higher than his season average. He’s followed closely by both Bittle and Shelstad at 14.5.

MSU 6’9 forward Jaxon Kohler (8.1 PPG, 7.8 RPG) has the highest rebound total at 7.5. He absolutely dominated the glass the first time these teams met, grabbing 12 boards in 31 minutes.

Oregon vs Michigan State Picks & Predictions

• Oregon +6.5 (-110) at Caesars
• Kohler over 7.5 rebounds (-125) at bet365

Sascha Paruk’s 2024-25 NCAAM betting record: 48-35 (+9.58 units). All wagers 1 unit unless expressly stated otherwise.

The two bets I’m targeting in this game are Oregon to cover the 6.5-point spread, and Jaxon Kohler to go over his rebound total of 7.5.

As mentioned, Oregon found a ton of first-half success against the Spartans in their first meeting in East Lansing. They poured in 50 first-half points before a second-half collapse. Dana Altman’s team should come in with plenty of confidence that they can hang with the top team in the Big Ten, and that should be supplemented by their extant eight-game win streak, which includes quality road wins at Wisconsin (77-73 OT) and Iowa (80-78).

This play isn’t a fade of the Spartans. I like the Spartans to not only win the Big Ten Tournament but also make a deep run in the 2025 NCAA Tournament. Their 19-1 run through an arduous Big Ten schedule vaulted them to fifth in the latest March Madness odds. But 6.5 is a significant number. I see this game being competitive throughout.

I’m also targeting the over on Kohler’s rebound total. The success he had on the glass in the first game against Oregon should be replicable. The Ducks rated just 152nd in OREB% and 150th in DREB%. Kohler is a big part of the reason MSU ranks 20th and 13th in DI, respectively, in those two categories.

The Big Ten Tournament is one of the most highly anticipated events in college basketball, and this year’s matchup between Oregon and Michigan State is sure to be a thrilling one. Both teams have had successful seasons so far, with Oregon boasting a 20-6 record and Michigan State sitting at 19-8. As they face off in the quarterfinals of the tournament, fans are eagerly awaiting to see which team will come out on top.

When it comes to the odds, Michigan State is currently favored to win the game by 3.5 points. However, Oregon has proven to be a tough competitor this season and should not be underestimated. The Ducks have a strong offense led by guard Chris Duarte, who is averaging 17.1 points per game, and forward Eugene Omoruyi, who is averaging 16.7 points per game. On the other hand, Michigan State is known for its tough defense, led by forward Aaron Henry, who is averaging 15.3 points and 5.7 rebounds per game.

In terms of picks and predictions, it’s a tough call as both teams have shown they are capable of pulling off big wins. However, Michigan State’s experience in the tournament may give them a slight edge over Oregon. The Spartans have a history of performing well in postseason play, and head coach Tom Izzo is known for his ability to prepare his team for tough matchups. That being said, Oregon has been playing some of their best basketball as of late and could easily pull off an upset.

For those looking to add some excitement to the game, there are also a number of prop bets available for this matchup. Some popular prop bets include over/under on total points scored, first team to score, and player props such as total points scored by Chris Duarte or Aaron Henry.

Overall, the Oregon vs Michigan State matchup in the Big Ten Tournament is shaping up to be a must-watch game for college basketball fans. With both teams hungry for a win and a spot in the semifinals, it’s sure to be a competitive and intense battle on the court. Be sure to tune in and see which team comes out victorious in this exciting showdown.