Top NBA Player Prop Bets for Friday, March 14th

• We’ve been gifted a wild ten-game NBA slate on Friday, March 14, 2025
• The NBA player prop markets are by far my favorite way to get in on the action
• See my favorite NBA player props, picks, and predictions today

Friday could easily be the greatest day of the week. Sure, Saturdays and Sundays are sweet, but there’s just something about a Friday. The whole weekend is in front of us and the possibilities are endless. On top of that, during basketball season, Fridays usually have really big NBA slates. We’re talking 10+ games here people and tonight is no different. That means we’ve got all the opportunity in the world to sift through every game and only pull out the finest NBA player props. Lucky for us, I’ve already done that so we’re all set. This could easily be the greatest Friday night of our lives. Keep reading.

Best NBA Player Prop Picks (March 14)

Odds as of March 14 at Fanduel and DraftKings. Claim the FanDuel promo code to get a bonus for Friday’s NBA games.

NBA Player Prop Pick #1: James Harden Drops Dimes

Playing point guard in the NBA is tough. Ask anybody. You have to be able to score on your own as well as set everyone else up to get theirs. On top of that, you have to be sure everyone is happy with how much they’re being fed. It’s the ultimate leadership role that only special people can do well.

Lucky for the Los Angeles Clippers, the boys are happy with James Harden’s leadership ability.

“(James Harden) leads by example, we follow” -Bogdan Bogdanović pic.twitter.com/9hLm59jXUR

— LA Clippers (@LAClippers) March 13, 2025

Here’s the thing with James, he’s a dime dropper. Always has been. So anytime we’re looking for an NBA bet, it’s wise to see where Harden’s assists are priced. Sometimes we can get lucky when Harden is in the right form against the right opponent. Like tonight.

Harden is certainly in great form at the moment. Over his last three games, he’s gone for 11+ assists in all three. What’s even better is, he’s averaging 17.3 potential assists over that stretch. That’s a healthy number for a guy like Harden when we need 10 actual assists. Especially since he’s going to see the Atlanta Hawks tonight.

Harden does his best work in uptempo environments and Atlanta is exactly that. They play at the NBA’s second-fastest pace which means more possessions for Harden to do his thing. That’s one reason why, over the last seven games, only two teams in the entire NBA have allowed more assists to the point guard position than the Hawks. We’re talking 11 per game. We only need 10. Feels easy.

• The Bet: James Harden Over 9.5 Assists (-104) – FanDuel

NBA Player Prop Prediction #2: Darius Garland Also Drops Dimes

If we’re sticking with the assist theme for the night, we need to find another point guard. Luckily with such a big slate, we’ve got plenty of guys to consider. There are literally 10 games tonight, there has to be somebody.

Lucky for us, Darius Garland is in action tonight and to top it off, he’ll be “the guy” in the Cleveland backcourt tonight since Donovan Mitchell is out.

Darius Garland needs to step tf up, especially whenever Mitchell sits. 🤦🏼‍♂️ #LetEmKnow #DraftKings

— kevin craighead (@kcraig1010) March 12, 2025

The assist market is a tricky one given the fact that most teams rotate guys in and out. We rarely find spots where one guy is facilitating the offense all night long racking up potential assists. So when we find a spot like that, we have to jump on it.

Darius Garland is in assist heaven tonight with Donovan Mitchell out. Sure he was in this spot the other night and only finished with eight dimes but the man had 20 potential assists. What the haters won’t tell you is that game was against the Brooklyn Nets who operate at the second slowest pace in the NBA. That’s not the case tonight.

The Cavs are in Memphis taking on the Grizzlies who literally run up and down the floor at 2000 mph. We’re talking the fastest pace in the NBA. So it’s no surprise, that over the last seven games, no team in the NBA has allowed more assists per game to the point guard position than they have. More possessions mean more opportunity. We shouldn’t be getting +235 for Garland to go for 10+ assists. Feels easy.

• The Bet: Darius Garland 10+ Assists (+235) – DraftKings

As the NBA season continues to heat up, fans and bettors alike are always looking for ways to add some excitement to the games. One popular way to do this is by placing player prop bets, which allow you to wager on specific individual performances rather than just the outcome of the game.

For Friday, March 14th, there are several intriguing player prop bets to consider. Here are some of the top options to keep an eye on:

1. James Harden – Points Over/Under: 30.5
James Harden has been on a tear since joining the Brooklyn Nets, averaging over 25 points per game. With his scoring ability and the Nets’ high-powered offense, Harden has a good chance of surpassing the 30.5 point mark in Friday’s game against the Orlando Magic.

2. LeBron James – Assists Over/Under: 8.5
LeBron James is known for his passing ability and court vision, averaging over 8 assists per game this season. With the Los Angeles Lakers facing off against the Indiana Pacers on Friday, James could easily surpass the 8.5 assist mark if he is able to get his teammates involved early and often.

3. Zion Williamson – Rebounds Over/Under: 9.5
Zion Williamson has been a force on the boards this season, averaging over 7 rebounds per game. With his size and athleticism, Williamson has a good chance of grabbing double-digit rebounds in Friday’s game against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

4. Luka Doncic – Points + Assists Over/Under: 45.5
Luka Doncic is one of the most dynamic players in the NBA, capable of putting up big numbers in both scoring and assists. With the Dallas Mavericks taking on the Denver Nuggets on Friday, Doncic could easily surpass the 45.5 combined points and assists mark if he is able to get hot early in the game.

5. Nikola Jokic – Triple-Double
Nikola Jokic is one of the best all-around players in the NBA, capable of putting up triple-doubles on any given night. With the Denver Nuggets facing off against the Dallas Mavericks on Friday, Jokic has a good chance of recording a triple-double if he is able to fill up the stat sheet in multiple categories.

When placing player prop bets, it’s important to consider factors such as recent performance, matchup history, and injury reports. By doing your research and staying informed, you can increase your chances of making successful wagers on Friday’s NBA games. Good luck!