Analysis of Public Betting Splits and Money Percentages for Super Bowl 59 Matchup between Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles

• The Super Bowl 59 public betting splits show the Chiefs getting the vast majority of moneyline handle
• The public is hammering the under in Chiefs vs Eagles
• Below, see the Chiefs vs Eagles public betting splits for Super Bowl 59, including spread, moneyline, and game total

The Super Bowl is not only the most-heavily bet sporting event of the year, it’s also the only times that bettors have an entire two weeks to drill down on one game. The Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles odds, which opened with KC as a 1.5-point favorite, haven’t changed all that much since the lines opened a fortnight ago. But the Super Bowl 59 public betting splits show a fascinating divide when it comes to the spread and moneyline.

Chiefs vs Eagles Public Betting Splits (Super Bowl 59)

NFL public betting splits as of 12:19 am ET, Feb. 9. Download the best Super Bowl betting apps to get a bonus to use on Chiefs vs Eagles.

Public Loves the Chiefs Moneyline

As I predicted when the odds first opened, the public is hammering Kansas City – the two-time defending champion – to win outright as slight -115 favorites in the current NFL odds. That wasn’t always the case over the last two weeks; as of last Sunday, Philadelphia was getting 60% of moneyline handle. But fast forward seven days and a massive 71% of moneyline handle is on the Chiefs to win an unprecedented third straight Super Bowl title.

What makes that number all the more impressive is that KC is getting 71% of handle on just 61% of wagers. That means. on average, KC is getting bigger bets to win, not just more tickets.

While the spread is a miniscule KC -1.5, it’s hard to fault the public for flocking to the Kansas City moneyline. Even though the Chiefs went an NFL-best 15-2 in the regular season (tied with the Detroit Lions), they are an ugly 8-10-1 ATS including playoffs. The Eagles, on the other hand, backed up their 14-3 regular-season record and trio of playoff victories with a 13-7 mark against the spread, including covering the spread in four of their last five.

The Eagles Are Getting Most of the ATS Money

What makes the moneyline splits all the more fascinating is that the ATS splits are almost the inverse, despite the spread being about as small as it can be. The Super Bowl odds still show the Chiefs as slight 1.5-point chalk against the spread, which is exactly the same number as the opening line. That number has come down to -1.0 at some books, but the majority still have KC laying one-and-a-hook.

While the public doesn’t have the stomach to bet against Mahomes and the Chiefs, who have won nine straight playoff games straight-up, on the moneyline, they are strongly leaning to the Eagles to cover. On the morning of gameday, Philadelphia is getting 67% of ATS handle on 58% of ATS wagers. So, just like KC with respect to the moneyline, the Eagles are getting more tickets to cover the spread and comparatively bigger ATS bets.

Philly’s only ATS loss in its last five games was as 6.5-point home favorites in their 28-22 win over the Rams in the Divisional Round. Many bettors would have gotten that number at six-flat during the week. As I’ve pointed out many times this week, the Eagles rate better in DVOA, rank higher at PFF, and had a way better point differential in the regular season. If the names Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid hadn’t already reached legendary status, Philadelphia would be the favorite.

Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Splits Favor the Under

The Super Bowl 59 game total opened at 48.5, went up as high as 49.5 in the next few days, and has steadily been bet back down to 48.5 ever since. As of early Sunday morning, the public had put 79% of game-total handle and 82% of game-total tickets on the under.

While these teams combined for a massive 73 points when they collided in Super Bowl 57 two years ago, the overarching Super Bowl over/under trends have skewed to lower-scoring games over the last six years. In fact, Super Bowl 57 is the only one of the last six championship games to hit the over. Last year, the Chiefs and Niners combined for 47 points, staying under by half a point.

Kansas City has stayed under in six of its last eight games, overall. Philly is 4-4 O/U in that same span.

SBD has dozens of other articles to get you ready for Super Bowl 59. See the full list, below:

As Super Bowl 59 approaches, football fans and bettors alike are eagerly anticipating the matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. With both teams boasting talented rosters and strong performances throughout the season, the game is shaping up to be a thrilling showdown.

One key aspect of the lead-up to the Super Bowl is the analysis of public betting splits and money percentages. This data provides valuable insights into how bettors are placing their wagers and can help inform predictions for the game.

In the case of the Chiefs vs. Eagles matchup, early public betting splits show that there is a fairly even distribution of bets between the two teams. This suggests that bettors see the game as a close and competitive one, with both teams having a legitimate chance of coming out on top.

However, when looking at the money percentages, a different picture emerges. Despite the even split in bets, a larger percentage of the total money wagered is on the Chiefs. This indicates that while more individual bets may be placed on the Eagles, the larger wagers are being placed on Kansas City.

This discrepancy in money percentages can be interpreted in a few different ways. It could suggest that sharps or more experienced bettors are favoring the Chiefs, leading to larger wagers being placed on them. It could also indicate that there is a belief among bettors that the Chiefs have a stronger chance of winning, leading to more money being placed on them despite an even split in bets.

Ultimately, the analysis of public betting splits and money percentages is just one piece of the puzzle when it comes to predicting the outcome of a game. While this data can provide valuable insights, it is important to consider other factors such as injuries, weather conditions, and recent performance when making betting decisions.

As Super Bowl 59 approaches, football fans and bettors will continue to monitor public betting splits and money percentages in anticipation of what promises to be an exciting and closely contested matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles.