Analysis and Preview: David Benavidez vs. David Morrell Jr. Fight – Predictions, Betting Odds, and Viewing Information

• David Benavidez is a -240 favorite over David Morrell (+190) in their February 1st light heavyweight clash
• The WBA (Regular) and interim WBC light heavyweight titles are on the line in this battle of unbeaten rising stars
• Read on for a complete Benavidez vs Morrell preview with expert predictions and latest betting odds

The light heavyweight division takes center stage on February 1st when David “The Mexican Monster” Benavidez and David Morrell Jr. put their undefeated records on the line at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. Both fighters are coming off decision wins in their 175-pound debuts last year and are eager to prove they’re the next big thing in boxing’s glamour division.

Benavidez (29-0, 24 KOs) is a two-time super middleweight champ making his second appearance at light heavy after outpointing Oleksandr Gvozdyk last June. Morrell (11-0, 9 KOs) also stepped up in his last outing, claiming the WBA (Regular) title against Radivoje Kalajdzic.

Oddsmakers see Benavidez’s experience advantage giving him a clear edge. Here’s an updated look at the Benavidez vs Morrell betting odds, plus my prediction for this can’t-miss collision.

Latest Benavidez vs Morrell Odds

David Benavidez is priced as a solid -240 favorite over David Morrell (+190) at ESPN Sportsbook. The 28-year-old knockout artist has roughly a 70.6% implied win probability in this light heavyweight title tilt.

A $240 wager on Benavidez would return $100 if he gets his hand raised, while a $100 bet on Morrell would net $190 if the Cuban stylist pulls off the minor upset.

Odds as of January 30, 2025, at ESPN. Get the best ESPN promo code when betting on Benavidez vs. Morrell.

This Premier Boxing Champions mega-fight headlines a stacked pay-per-view card on Prime Video, 8 p.m. ET. The winner will be first in line to challenge for undisputed light heavyweight supremacy against the Artur Beterbiev-Dmitry Bivol rematch victor.

Benavidez vs Morrell Tale of the Tape

David Benavidez Betting Outlook & Analysis

Benavidez will be the more proven commodity when he steps through the ropes on February 1st. The relentless pressure fighter has already picked up interim gold in two divisions and boasts wins over former champions like Demetrius Andrade and Caleb Plant.

Facing a similarly aggressive foe in Morrell, look for “El Bandera Roja” to do what he does best: march forward and let his hands go. Benavidez’s high-volume attack is built around a piston-like jab that sets up blistering combinations to the head and body. He landed 38% of his total punches to the body against Oleksandr Gvozdyk and the blueprint will be the same here.

To keep the momentum rolling, Benavidez needs to tidy up his footwork and not get overly reliant on being the bigger man. The 28-year-old can still lunge into shots or rely too much on his head movement when things get hairy. But if he can cut off the ring consistently and force the action, Morrell will have a hard time keeping up with his output.

David Morrell Betting Outlook & Analysis

Morrell may only have 11 pro fights, but don’t get it twisted – the Cuban expat is the real deal. The former amateur standout has found his rhythm as a pro and continues racking up statement wins with his slick southpaw style.

While not a one-punch knockout artist, Morrell gets the job done with his punch variety and sniper-like accuracy. He’s especially dangerous countering in the pocket, where he fires off razor-sharp combos and piercing uppercuts.

Size and reach will be an issue against the hulking Benavidez though. Morrell didn’t seem bothered by the extra pounds in his light heavyweight debut, but Gvozdyk made him work harder than expected down the stretch. Expect him to stay mobile early, darting in and out of range to disrupt Benavidez’s rhythm.

If he’s going to beat the odds, Morrell needs to pot-shot from the outside and make Benavidez pay every time he tries to bull his way inside. Steering clear of the ropes and circling to his right will also be key to avoiding those thudding Benavidez body shots.

Benavidez vs Morrell Prediction & Pick

I’m backing Benavidez to pull away late and hand Morrell his first pro loss in a grueling battle.

This one will be nip and tuck early, with Morrell banking the first few rounds on activity and clean punching. But there’s a reason Benavidez is the oddsmakers’ pick – over 12 rounds, his suffocating pressure and body work are going to take a toll.

By the midway point, look for Benavidez to start walking Morrell down and unloading his patented combos. The Cuban’s footwork will start betraying him as his gas tank dips, and that’s when Benavidez goes to work with hooks and uppercuts in close.

If it gets to the scorecards, I think Benavidez will pull out a close but clear decision by sweeping the back half of the fight. He just keeps too intense a pace and has the chin to walk through Morrell’s counters. I wouldn’t completely rule out a late stoppage either if Benavidez really pours it on.

Ultimately, for my Saturday boxing prediction, I’ll say Benavidez wins a competitive but convincing 8 rounds to 4 type fight. He’s been to the big dance before, and I trust him to dig deep if needed. That said, don’t count out a motivated Morrell, who will certainly come to fight.

• Pick: David Benavidez by unanimous decision (+115)

On March 19th, boxing fans will be treated to an exciting matchup between two talented fighters as David Benavidez takes on David Morrell Jr. in a highly anticipated bout. Both fighters are undefeated and have shown tremendous skill and determination in their respective careers, making this fight one that is sure to deliver fireworks in the ring.

David Benavidez, the former WBC super middleweight champion, boasts an impressive record of 24 wins with 21 knockouts. Known for his aggressive style and powerful punches, Benavidez will be looking to make a statement in this fight and prove that he is still a force to be reckoned with in the super middleweight division.

On the other hand, David Morrell Jr. is a rising star in the sport of boxing with a perfect record of 5 wins and 0 losses. The Cuban fighter has shown great skill and speed in his fights, and many believe that he has the potential to become a world champion in the near future. Morrell will be looking to make a name for himself by defeating a seasoned veteran like Benavidez.

In terms of predictions for this fight, it is expected to be a closely contested battle between two skilled fighters. Benavidez will likely look to impose his power and pressure Morrell early on in the fight, while Morrell will rely on his speed and technical skills to outbox his opponent. Ultimately, it could come down to who can implement their game plan more effectively on fight night.

As for the betting odds, Benavidez is currently the favorite to win the fight with odds of -200, while Morrell is the underdog with odds of +150. This indicates that oddsmakers believe Benavidez has a slight edge heading into the matchup, but anything can happen in boxing and Morrell should not be underestimated.

For fans looking to watch the fight, it will be available on Showtime pay-per-view with coverage starting at 9:00 PM ET. It promises to be an exciting night of boxing action, so be sure to tune in and witness these two talented fighters go head-to-head in the ring.