- The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Buffalo Bills in the AFC title game
- The Chiefs have opened as slight home favorites
- See the opening Bills vs Chiefs odds for AFC Championship Game on Jan. 26
After a thrilling Divisional Playoff weekend, the two-time defending Super Bowl-champion Kansas City Chiefs (16-2, 9-0 home, 8-10 ATS) are set to host the Buffalo Bills (14-4, 5-4 away, 12-7 ATS) in the AFC Championship Game. The Chiefs are in the AFC title game for the seventh straight season, while the Bills are making their first appearance since the 2020-21 season and just their second since 1993.
Opening Bills vs Chiefs Odds for AFC Championship
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Over/Under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +1.5 (-115) | -105 | O 49.5 (-110) |
| Kansas City Chiefs | -1.5 (-105) | -115 | U 49.5 (-110) |
The opening Bills vs Chiefs odds establish Kansas City as a 1.5-point home favorite and -115 on the moneyline. The Bills come back as slim -105 road underdogs, while the over/under has opened at 49.5 with -110 odds each way.
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Odds as of January 19 at DraftKings. See the full list of DraftKings legal states.
The Chiefs head into conference-championship weekend as the +250 second-favorite in the Super Bowl 59 odds, closely followed by the Bills at +260. The Eagles are +175 favorites with the Commanders +650 longshots. Philadelphia opened as a 4.5-point home favorite in the Commanders vs Eagles odds.
Chiefs’ Path to the AFC Championship Game
As the AFC’s #1 seed, the Chiefs received a bye to the Divisional Round, where they were matched-up with the Houston Texans for the second time this year. The Chiefs offense looked shockingly anemic, generating just 212 yards of total offense. Patrick Mahomes was sacked an eye-popping eight times.
Luckily for Mahomes and company, the KC defense came to play. The unit held CJ Stroud to just 187 passing yards on 19-of-28 completions and allowed just one touchdown in the game. The Chiefs had a 23-12 lead in the waning seconds before conceding a safety in order to run off as much clock as possible. But with Kansas City closing as a 9.5-point favorite, the safety generated a massive bad beat for a certain group of Chiefs bettors.
Bills’ Path to the AFC Championship Game
Buffalo dominated the Denver Broncos in the Wild Card Round, 31-7, absolutely shutting down Bo Nix and the Denver offense. The Broncos mustered just 224 total yards against a Buffalo defense that had looked vulnerable at times during an injury-plagued regular season. Josh Allen was nearly perfect, going 20-of-26 for 272 yards and two touchdowns through the air (plus another 46 yards on the ground), while James Cook added 120 yards and a TD on the ground on 23 carries.
In the Divisional Round, Buffalo survived a tough test from the Baltimore Ravens (27-25), taking a 21-10 lead into halftime before the Ravens narrowed the gap to 21-19 by the end of the third quarter. Buffalo’s defense forced a massive turnover on a drive that could have given Baltimore the lead early in the fourth quarter.
MARK ANDREWS DROPPED THE GAME-TYING PASS 😳
(via @NFL) pic.twitter.com/dGHC30xxun
— ESPN (@espn) January 20, 2025
Baltimore tight end Mark Andrews, the man who coughed up the aforementioned fumble, also dropped a wide-open catch on a two-point conversion attempt that would have tied the game with a minute-and-a-half remaining.
Bills Won Regular-Season Meeting … in Buffalo
These teams met back in Week 11 at Orchard Park and it was Buffalo walking away with a 30-21 victory as 2.5-point home favorites. After five lead changes in a tight first half, which ended 16-14 in the Bills’ favor, Buffalo scored two second-half touchdowns to ice the victory. Head coach Sean McDermott was ultra-aggressive late in the game. The moves paid dividends, as a fourth-down TD run made it a two-score game with just over two minutes to play.
🏈 2024 PLAY OF THE YEAR VOTE! 🥳
1 like = 1 vote@BuffaloBills Josh Allen taking it all the way to the house on fourth down to seal a crucial win against the Chiefs! pic.twitter.com/khk4r4fVdx
— NFL UK & Ireland (@NFLUKIRE) December 27, 2024
That Week 11 victory was Buffalo’s third in four tries against the Chiefs. The Bills also won 20-17 in the 2023 regular season, and 24-20 in the 2022 regular season. But the last time these teams met in the postseason, in last year’s Divisional Round, the Chiefs ended up on the right end of a 27-24 decision at Arrowhead.
Bookmark SBD’s NFL public betting splits to see where the early money is going in the latest iteration of Bills/Chiefs.
The AFC Championship Game is one of the most highly anticipated matchups in the NFL playoffs, and this year’s opening matchup between the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs is no exception. As the two top teams in the AFC face off for a chance to advance to the Super Bowl, fans and bettors alike are eagerly awaiting the outcome.
According to the latest odds released by sportsbooks, the Chiefs are currently favored to win the game. The defending Super Bowl champions have been dominant all season, led by star quarterback Patrick Mahomes and an explosive offense that can score at will. The Chiefs are currently listed as 3.5-point favorites over the Bills, with an over/under set at 54.5 points.
On the other hand, the Bills are not to be underestimated. Led by quarterback Josh Allen and a strong defense, Buffalo has been on a hot streak in the playoffs, defeating the Baltimore Ravens in the divisional round to advance to the AFC Championship Game. The Bills will be looking to pull off an upset and punch their ticket to the Super Bowl for the first time since 1994.
As with any high-stakes game, there are plenty of factors that could influence the outcome of this matchup. Injuries, weather conditions, and coaching decisions will all play a role in determining which team comes out on top. Both teams have talented rosters and experienced coaching staffs, so it’s sure to be a closely contested battle.
For bettors looking to get in on the action, there are plenty of betting options available for this game. In addition to traditional point spread and over/under bets, prop bets on individual player performances and game outcomes are also popular choices. With so much on the line, this game is sure to be a thrilling showdown between two of the best teams in the NFL.
No matter which team you’re rooting for, the AFC Championship Game between the Bills and Chiefs is shaping up to be a must-watch event for football fans everywhere. So grab your snacks, settle in on the couch, and get ready for an exciting matchup that will determine who advances to the biggest game of the year – the Super Bowl.