Top NFL Player Prop Bets for Week 18 on Sunday, January 5th

• We have to start looking for moves for the NFL Week 18 slate on January 5th, 2025
• For Week 18 we should really look into incentives for our player prop bets
• Getting bets in on Friday is my favorite strategy, and it’s no different for this week

We’re finally to the last week of the NFL Season. It feels like just yesterday that we were locking into Week 1 with an entire season in front of us. Now, we’re looking ahead into the NFL playoffs and beyond. It’s kind of sad when we think about it but I choose not to be upset. We need not be sad that it’s over, but instead be happy that it happened. I saw that on a bumper sticker once and it changed everything for me. So instead of being sad, I say we lock in for one more full NFL slate and leave this regular season as the winners that we know we are. Feels like the move.

Week 18 NFL Player Props and Odds

Courtland Sutton Gets His On Sunday

Player incentives are all the rage in the final week of the NFL season. There was a time when these things were hard to figure out but now everyone with a Twitter account tweets about them. It kind of stinks in the sense that some of them are complete nonsense that we’re dumber for knowing about.

But, before we dismiss all of them as nonsense, we should definitely consider some to be pure gold.

Courtland Sutton needs 82 receiving yards to earn $500K bonus.

99% of money is on Sutton OVER 65.5 receiving yards at @BetMGM pic.twitter.com/1WJbE6d22R

— John Ewing (@johnewing) January 3, 2025

Here’s the thing with these player incentives, they aren’t the end all be all but they do matter. Of course these teams care more about winning than one player’s pocket getting fatter. Still, whenever we can find incentives that are good for both, we should get loose on them. It’s just the way.

In the case of Courtland Sutton, I think the smoke is real. For starters, he’s the best receiver in the Denver Broncos’ receiver room. That’s important because the Denver Broncos are in a must-win situation. On top of that, 80+ receiving yards out of this guy is definitely doable since he’s an absolute beast.

What makes it even better is the fact that the Kansas City Chiefs are resting their starters. Sure some will be out there but it won’t be the main guys. We’re getting a softer secondary playing a team that is hellbent on winning. On top of that, their best receiver only needs 82 yards to get paid. At +120, it would be irresponsible of us to not bet this.

• The Pick: Courtland Sutton 80+ Receiving Yards (+120) – DraftKings

Mike Evans Is A Lock

There is no such thing as a “lock” in the world of sports betting. In fact, the term “lock” is dumb and has been since the first time it was used to describe a sports bet. It literally has no place in this industry.

With all of that being said, Mike Evans is an absolute lock to go over 98.5 receiving yards this week.

Bucs WR Mike Evans is not just 85 receiving yards shy of extending his record for most consecutive 1,000 yard seasons to begin a career, he’s also 5 catches and 85 yards away from earning a $3M escalator on his 2025 base salary.

A chance for the playoffs and big💰 in Week 18.

— Field Yates (@FieldYates) January 2, 2025

Here’s the thing, this guy has gone over 1000 yards every single season he has been in the NFL. It’s literally what he does. The man holds the record for most 1000 receiving yards to begin an NFL career. He’s never NOT gone over 1000 yards in his entire career and all he needs is 85 more yards and he’ll do it again this season.

On top of that, the Buccaneers need to win this game. It will be an all hands on deck approach from these guys on Sunday. Lucky for them, they’re playing the New Orleans Saints who are literally playing for nothing. Some will be flying to Cancun directly from the game. All I am saying is, there is no chance Mike Evans finishes with less than 100 yards on Sunday. This is almost too easy.

• The Pick: Mike Evans Over 98.5 Receiving Yards (-110) – BetMGM
• 2024 SBD Friday Release Results – 13-18 (+0.56 Units)

As the NFL regular season comes to a close, Week 18 is shaping up to be an exciting one with several playoff implications on the line. With so much at stake, it’s no surprise that there are plenty of player prop bets available for Sunday’s matchups. Here are some of the top NFL player prop bets to consider for Week 18:

1. Tom Brady – Over/Under 300.5 Passing Yards
Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will be facing off against the Carolina Panthers in Week 18. Brady has been on a tear this season, throwing for over 300 yards in 10 of his 16 games. With the Buccaneers needing a win to secure their playoff spot, look for Brady to have a big game against the Panthers’ defense.

2. Jonathan Taylor – Over/Under 125.5 Rushing Yards
Jonathan Taylor has been one of the most dominant running backs in the league this season, leading the NFL in rushing yards with 1,734. In Week 18, Taylor and the Indianapolis Colts will be taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have one of the worst run defenses in the league. Look for Taylor to have a big game and easily surpass the 125.5 rushing yard mark.

3. Cooper Kupp – Over/Under 100.5 Receiving Yards
Cooper Kupp has been a standout wide receiver for the Los Angeles Rams this season, leading the league in receiving yards with 1,829. In Week 18, the Rams will be facing off against the San Francisco 49ers in a crucial matchup with playoff implications. Look for Kupp to continue his dominant play and easily surpass the 100.5 receiving yard mark.

4. Jalen Hurts – Over/Under 250.5 Passing Yards
Jalen Hurts and the Philadelphia Eagles will be taking on the Dallas Cowboys in Week 18 in a game with playoff implications for both teams. Hurts has been a dual-threat quarterback this season, excelling in both passing and rushing yards. Look for Hurts to have a big game against the Cowboys’ defense and easily surpass the 250.5 passing yard mark.

5. Deebo Samuel – Over/Under 75.5 Receiving Yards
Deebo Samuel has been a versatile weapon for the San Francisco 49ers this season, excelling as both a wide receiver and running back. In Week 18, the 49ers will be facing off against the Los Angeles Rams in a crucial matchup with playoff implications. Look for Samuel to have a big game and easily surpass the 75.5 receiving yard mark.

Overall, Week 18 is shaping up to be an exciting one with plenty of player prop bets to consider. Whether you’re looking to bet on passing yards, rushing yards, or receiving yards, there are plenty of opportunities to make some money on Sunday’s matchups. Good luck and happy betting!