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- With just ten more games to be played in Week 17, our NFL parlay options are slightly limited for Sunday
- I still managed to put together two NFL parlays I feel good about
- Check out my higher-probability and longshot NFL parlays for Week 17
With six games already having been played in Week 17, we are left with nine games today (Sunday) and one more on Monday. The lack of games, along with some matchups carrying no meaning besides draft order, resulted in me having to dig a little deeper to find some good NFL parlay legs for Week 17. I still managed to put together a longshot parlay with 154-1 odds, though, as well as my higher-probability parlay.
I hit three of five legs in my longshot NFL parlay last week, making it profitable again to bet each leg as a single, but missed my higher-probability parlay because of an inefficient game from Khalil Shakir. Here’s my next attempt at hitting a big parlay this season.
Longshot NFL Parlay for Week 17
Parlay Legs | Odds |
---|---|
Cowboys Moneyline | +280 |
Bucky Irving 125+ Rushing & Receiving | +175 |
Ameer Abdullah 30+ Receiving Yards | +230 |
Bijan Robinson Anytime TD | -150 |
Michael Penix 225+ Passing Yards | +200 |
TOTAL 5-LEG PARLAY | +15418 |
My longshot NFL parlay for Week 17 includes the five legs above and the best odds you can find are +15418 at bet365. The only other sportsbook where I could put this parlay together was DraftKings, but their payout was way behind at 98-1. A $5 bet on this NFL parlay would stand to win $770.91 and return $775.91.
I’m getting this longshot NFL parlay started with a big swing, taking the Cowboys moneyline. I discussed in detail why I like Dallas to pull off the upset in the Week 17 NFL picks. The gist is that I don’t think Kenny Pickett is a good quarterback, and don’t believe the Eagles offense can operate effectively with him under center.
Next up is Bucky Irving for 125+ rushing and receiving yards. The rookie has only accomplished this feat in two of 15 games this season, but both of those performances have come in the last five weeks and one of those games was against the same Panthers defense Irving faces in Week 17. Irving gashed Carolina’s defense for 185 yards from scrimmage, and I like him to have another big performance in what’s a must-win game for the Buccaneers.
The third leg of this parlay is Ameer Abdullah for 30+ receiving yards. Abdullah has cleared this milestone easily in each of his last two games, as well as three of his last five. The Raiders RB has also seen at least six targets in three of his last five games. I like Abdullah to continue working as Las Vegas’ passing-down back at the very least, but with Alexander Mattison being incredibly ineffective since returning, it wouldn’t surprise me if Abdullah saw some extra snaps. I don’t think the Raiders offense is good enough to ever play with too much of a positive game script, so I like Abdullah to get his opportunities again.
The next leg is a Bijan Robinson anytime TD. I went into why I like Robinson to score in my Week 17 NFL touchdown picks.
The final leg of my longshot parlay is from the same game as above, and is Michael Penix to throw for 225+ yards. The rookie only threw for 201 yards in his NFL debut last week, but that was his first start and came in a game where they had a two-score lead by halftime. I think the Falcons will find themselves playing from behind, or at the very least with a lot more urgency than last week, leading to more than 27 pass attempts and Penix being forced to push the ball downfield a little more.
Higher-Probability Week 17 NFL Parlay
Parlay Legs | Odds |
---|---|
Brock Bowers 50+ Receiving Yards | -330 |
Browns Under 20.5 Points | -340 |
Lions Moneyline | -198 |
TOTAL 3-LEG PARLAY | +153 |
My three-leg higher-probability NFL parlay for Week 17 is best played at DraftKings, where you can get +153 odds. It just slightly beats out bet365’s +151 odds for this parlay.
The first leg of this parlay is Brock Bowers for 50+ receiving yards. In the three games Aidan O’Connell has started and finished this season, Bowers has posted 71 receiving yards, 140, and 99. The rookie tight end is O’Connell’s favorite target, and I don’t believe the Saints will be able to remove him from the game.
Next up is the Cleveland Browns’ team total under 20.5 points. In Dorian Thompson-Robinson’s first start of the season, he scored six points against a Bengals defense that’s allowing the fifth-most points in the league. The Dolphins, their opponent today, rank 11th in points allowed and have only given up more than 20 points in seven of 15 games this year. Cleveland has scored more than 20 points in just three of 15 games, and all three were Jameis Winston starts. DTR is not Winston. He is not a good QB, and I am confident he will struggle again.
The last leg is the Detroit Lions moneyline. Detroit is currently laying 3.5 points in San Francisco on Monday Night Football. The 49ers are not the team they have been over the last few years, and I think the Lions are going to be out for revenge after last year’s NFC Championship game collapse. I appreciate San Francisco’s offense will benefit from having Isaac Guerendo back in the lineup, but I don’t think they’ll be able to keep up with the Lions this time. Detroit will dominate the line of scrimmage and run the ball at will.
As the NFL regular season comes to a close, Week 17 presents bettors with plenty of opportunities to cash in on some potentially lucrative parlay picks. One intriguing option to consider is a 5-leg parlay with odds of 154-1. Let’s break down each leg of this parlay and why it could be worth a shot.
Leg 1: Kansas City Chiefs (-10) vs. Denver Broncos
The Chiefs have been one of the hottest teams in the league, winning their last eight games. They are facing a struggling Broncos team that has lost three straight. With the Chiefs looking to secure the top seed in the AFC, they should have no problem covering the spread at home.
Leg 2: Green Bay Packers (-6.5) vs. Detroit Lions
The Packers are coming off a statement win against the Vikings and are looking to secure the top seed in the NFC. They face a Lions team that has struggled all season and should have no problem covering the spread at home.
Leg 3: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-8.5) vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Buccaneers are coming off a dominant win against the Panthers and are looking to secure a playoff spot. They face a Falcons team that has struggled on both sides of the ball and should have no problem covering the spread at home.
Leg 4: Buffalo Bills (-16.5) vs. New York Jets
The Bills are coming off a blowout win against the Patriots and are looking to secure the second seed in the AFC. They face a Jets team that has struggled all season and should have no problem covering the spread at home.
Leg 5: Arizona Cardinals (-3) vs. Los Angeles Rams
The Cardinals are coming off a disappointing loss to the Colts but are still in the hunt for a playoff spot. They face a Rams team that has been inconsistent all season and should have no problem covering the spread at home.
While parlay bets can be risky, this 5-leg parlay offers a potential payout of 154-1, making it a tempting option for those looking to take a chance on Week 17 NFL action. With each leg offering strong reasons for confidence, this parlay could be worth considering for those looking to cash in on some big winnings.