- We now have NFL TD props available for every game in Week 14 of the 2024-25 NFL season
- I have spent the time to go through all of the NFL touchdown odds and relevant stats/data for every player in Week 14
- See the nine players I am betting to score a TD in Week 14 below
Sportsbooks have released NFL touchdown odds for all 13 games of Week 14 in the 2024-25 NFL season. Every sportsbook will tell you NFL TD props are by far the most popular among their bettors, but sustaining profitability in this betting market takes a lot of time and effort towards research – plus, some luck. I have taken the time to go through all of the NFL touchdown odds for Week 14, along with the pertinent player and team stats, to come up with my favorite NFL TD picks for Week 14.
Last week’s TD picks were ugly, as I went 4-8 to lose 1.32 units. The losses were frustrating, as I watched Jahmyr Gibbs fumble near the goal line, Jonnu Smith have a pass go through his hands near the goal line and into Tyreek Hill’s for a touchdown, and DeAndre Hopkins see a few targets in the endzone, but unable to come down with any of them. If any of those three go the other way, it would have been a winning week.
But that’s in the past now and my focus is on making some money in Week 14 with these nine NFL TD props.
Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 14
Player | Anytime TD Odds |
---|---|
David Montgomery | -145 (FanDuel) |
Bucky Irving | +100 (bet365) |
Kenneth Gainwell | +850 (DraftKings) |
Bijan Robinson | -105 (bet365) |
De’Von Achane | -138 (bet365) |
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | +200 (BetMGM) |
James Cook | -115 (Caesars) |
Xavier Worthy | +340 (FanDuel) |
Tee Higgins | +135 (DraftKings) |
I am betting nine players to score a touchdown in Week 14. Each of the above are a half-unit bet, except for David Montgomery, James Cook, and Bucky Irving, who are each full-unit bets.
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Though you are only seeing NFL anytime TD scorer picks in this article, SBD does offer a lot more player prop coverage. You can find all the passing, rushing, and receiving over/unders for each player in Week 14 on our NFL props page.
I have provided some brief analysis below on why I like each of the nine players listed above to score a TD in Week 14.
David Montgomery
Week 13 marked the first time this season that neither David Montgomery nor Jahmyr Gibbs found the endzone. I don’t think we see that happen again the rest of the season.
Montgomery has scored a touchdown in nine of 12 games this season, and 20 of his 26 games as a Detroit Lion. That’s a touchdown in 77% of his games with the Lions. He has also been held out of the endzone in back-to-back games just once over the past two seasons. So, I like him to respond well after not scoring a touchdown last week.
He will also be looking to make up for not scoring a TD in the first game between the Lions and Packers (his opponent in Week 14), which came back in early November. Montgomery did, however, out-touch and out-gain his backfield mate both on the ground and through the air in that contest.
In a crucial game for NFC North standings, I like the Lions to lean on their strengths, which is their running game. We have also seen that when it’s time for Detroit to close out a game, Montgomery is the RB they lean on. I suspect that’s what we’ll be seeing on Thursday.
- Pick: David Montgomery Anytime TD (-145 at FanDuel)
Bucky Irving
One of the most electric players in the NFL over the last few weeks has been Bucky Irving. The rookie RB has scored a touchdown in each of his last three games, as well as five of the last seven. But last week was a massive step forward for Irving, as he was given 25 of the 36 running back rushing attempts. He touched the ball 28 times and recorded 185 yards from scrimmage. Both of these were season-highs. His previous high for touches came in Week 12, when he saw 18 touches, which he turned into 152 yards from scrimmage – his previous high in that category as well.
The Buccaneers are clearly starting to favor Irving over Rachaad White in their backfield, and it sounds like 28 touches may not be the ceiling for Irving. After last week’s big performance, Head Coach Todd Bowles said, “the more comfortable he gets, the more you can give him, the more he can do.”
Irving’s next opportunity will come against the Raiders, who have allowed the fifth-most points in the NFL. Las Vegas has been decent against the run, only allowing 4.3 yards per carry, but they have also given up 11 touchdowns on the ground. I like them to give up at least one more this Sunday!
- Pick: Bucky Irving Anytime TD (+100 at bet365)
Kenneth Gainwell
This is by far the biggest longshot anytime TD bet I have placed this season. I might be getting a little too cute with this one, but I don’t see any value in betting either Saquon Barkley or Jalen Hurts at their very short odds to score a TD against the lowly Panthers.
This is basically a bet that the Eagles will be up big in this game. They’re favored by 12 points at the time of writing this, and I suspect that spread will continue to grow to 14+ before kickoff.
Carolina allows the most points in the NFL and the second-most yards. They rank 27th in yards allowed per rushing attempt and have surrendered 18 touchdowns on the ground this season. Barring injury, Saquon Barkley is going to score a touchdown in this game. There’s a good chance Hurts get in on the action as well, but that’s a little more dependent on the Panthers defense being able to drag Barkley down near the goal line.
After all the starters have had their fun, and the Eagles have a three-score (or more) lead, I think Philadelphia will do the smart thing and preserve Barkley. The next man up in their backfield is Kenneth Gainwell. We saw the 25-year-old get five carries in Philadelphia’s blowout of the Rams, and he took one of them for a score, which is his only TD this season.
I like Gainwell to see a good amount of work in the second half of this game, and think the Eagles will continue to steamroll the Panthers even with their backups in the game.
- Pick: Kenneth Gainwell Anytime TD (+850 at DraftKings)
Bijan Robinson
Let me start this pick off by clarifying that I am well aware how good the Vikings have been against the run this season. Minnesota only allows 3.7 yards per rushing attempt (3rd) and have only given up five touchdowns on the ground. The reason I am betting Bijan Robinson to score a touchdown in Week 14 is because he is used in a variety of ways, not just as an old school RB who takes handoffs up the middle.
Only three running backs have seen more targets than Robinson this season, and only two have caught more passes. The second-year pro has seen at least six targets in three of his last five games, and he has caught all but one pass in that timeframe.
Following a horrendous four-interception outing from Kirk Cousins last week, where he was trying to push the ball downfield while under pressure, I expect the Falcons to try and make things easier on their aging QB against an arguably better defense in Week 14. With the pressure the Vikings defense is going to bring, I think we’ll see plenty of opportunities for Robinson in the pass game, and I like the explosive back to make good with the ball in his hands.
Robinson has scored a touchdown in five of his last seven games, and I like him to add another TD in Week 14.
- Pick: Bijan Robinson Anytime TD (-105 at bet365)
De’Von Achane
While I was very tempted to come back to Jonnu Smith for a second straight week, I couldn’t say no to the -138 odds for De’Von Achane to score a TD against the Jets in Week 14.
With Tua Tagovailoa in the lineup, Achane has been a touchdown monster. Achane has scored at least one touchdown in seven of eight games with Tagovailoa in the lineup, and has a total of nine TDs in those eight games. The Dolphins’ low-risk, quick passing game since Tua’s return from his latest concussion has greatly benefitted Achane. Six of his nine TDs this season have been receiving touchdowns, and he is coming off a season-high nine targets last week.
Achane faces a beatdown Jets team on Sunday, who have given up 17 rushing touchdowns but only nine through the air. The way Miami utilizes Achane in the passing game is similar to a handoff, though. The Jets defense could be without star corner Sauce Gardner, and I would like this bet even more if they were. If Gardner can’t go, I think the Jets would need to give their corners a little extra help against the likes of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, leaving more space for Achane around the line of scrimmage.
- Pick: De’Von Achane Anytime TD (-138 at bet365)
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine
At the time of writing this, there was a 52% chance of rain showers during the Jaguars vs Titans game, but it didn’t sound to be concerning rain that could have a dramatic effect on the passing game. If the weather report gets worse, you may want to consider laying off this pick.
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight games, and he had two against the Commanders last week. While Calvin Ridley has been Will Levis’ favorite target, NWI has been the big-play threat. Three of his last four TDs have been at least 27 yards, with the longest being 98 yards.
Westbrook-Ikhine will see the Jaguars in Week 14, who are giving up more net yards per pass attempt than any other team. They have also allowed 24 touchdowns through the air, which is second-most in the NFL. Jacksonville’s defense has been crushed by big plays this season, as they have given up seven plays of 50+ yards (second-most), and ten plays of 40+ yards (fourth-most).
I’ll take the big-play threat to score another touchdown against a defense that can’t stop giving up big plays.
- Pick: Nick Westbrook-Ikhine Anytime TD (+200 at BetMGM)
James Cook
James Cook leads the Bills with 12 touchdowns this season, which is also tied for fourth-most in the NFL. He has at least one TD in eight of 11 games, which includes a touchdown in each of his last three.
Cook is preparing to face a pretty lousy Rams defense in Week 14, who ranks 21st in points allowed and 25th in total yards allowed. LA is surrendering 4.6 yards per carry and the sixth-most net yards per pass attempt. Buffalo should have no problem moving the ball against this Rams defense, and Cook has been the Bills’ go-to threat in the red zone. Cook has received 35 of Buffalo’s 119 red zone looks this season.
With all that in mind, I can’t believe we’re getting -115 odds on Cook to score a touchdown in this one. I figured it would be closer to -150.
- Pick: James Cook Anytime TD (-115 at Caesars)
Xavier Worthy
If you told me at the beginning of the season that Xavier Worthy would be leading the Chiefs in touchdowns entering Week 14, I would have assumed he’d be the NFL OROY favorite. But that’s not the case, because Worthy hasn’t been that good, just as the Chiefs offense hasn’t been that good this season.
Worthy’s six touchdowns is one more than Kareem Hunt for the team-high, but the Chiefs have also seen 13 different players score touchdowns for them this season. Kansas City has needed to rely on contributions from so many different players this year partially due to injuries, but I also think it has to do with them being older and slower than we have seen before.
DeAndre Hopkins is 32 years old and Travis Kelce is 35. They have also been forced to lean on a 29-year-old Hunt in the backfield, who is averaging 3.7 yards per carry. Getting Isiah Pacheco back definitely helps, but I think the long week will have Andy Reid looking to try and inject a little more explosion into this offense ahead of a tough matchup with a good Chargers defense, especially after a sluggish performance against the Raiders, where they only managed 19 points and failed to close out the game with their offense.
Their most explosive player is without a doubt Worthy. The rookie has been getting more looks lately, as he has seen at least five touches in each of his last three games. It’s worth noting that he scored one of Kansas City’s two touchdowns in their first matchup with the Chargers back in Week 4. I think Reid knows they’ll need some creativity and explosion to put up points against an LA defense that has allowed the fewest in the league.
- Pick: Xavier Worthy Anytime TD (+340 at FanDuel)
Tee Higgins
As I wrote last week, Tee Higgins has been a touchdown-scorer when he’s been on the field for the Bengals this season. Higgins has scored a TD in each of his last three games, and four of his last five.
What I find even more encouraging is that Higgins is seeing more targets per game this season than Ja’Marr Chase – the former averages 9.7 targets per game, while the latter averages 9.1. Higgins also averages more red zone looks per game with 1.71, compared to Chase’s 1.67.
In Week 14, Cincinnati will face a Cowboys defense that allows the fourth-most points and seventh-most yards in the NFL. Dallas has given up 26+ points in six of their last seven, with the Giants being the outlier who only scored 20.
I think we’ll be seeing a good amount of points from the Bengals offense on MNF, and I like Higgins to score at least one of those touchdowns.
- Pick: Tee Higgins Anytime TD (+135 at DraftKings)
As we head into Week 14 of the NFL season, there are several intriguing matchups that could provide bettors with opportunities to cash in on anytime touchdown scorer bets. These bets allow you to wager on which player will score a touchdown at any point during the game, regardless of when it happens.
One player to keep an eye on for anytime touchdown scorer bets in Week 14 is Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce. Kelce has been a favorite target of quarterback Patrick Mahomes all season long and has found the end zone in seven of the Chiefs’ 12 games so far. With a matchup against the struggling Las Vegas Raiders defense, Kelce could be in line for another touchdown in Week 14.
Another player to consider for anytime touchdown scorer bets is Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones. Jones has been a consistent scoring threat for the Packers this season, finding the end zone in eight of their 12 games. With a favorable matchup against the Detroit Lions in Week 14, Jones could be poised for another strong performance.
On the defensive side of the ball, Pittsburgh Steelers linebacker T.J. Watt is always a threat to score a touchdown. Watt has already scored two defensive touchdowns this season and faces a favorable matchup against the Minnesota Vikings in Week 14. Bettors looking for a longshot bet on a defensive player to score a touchdown could consider placing a wager on Watt.
Overall, Week 14 of the NFL season presents several enticing opportunities for anytime touchdown scorer bets. Whether you’re looking to bet on a star player like Travis Kelce or Aaron Jones, or take a chance on a defensive player like T.J. Watt, there are plenty of options to consider. As always, be sure to do your research and consider factors like matchups, injuries, and recent performance before placing your bets. Good luck!