Predictions and Best Odds for the Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Thanksgiving Day Matchup

  • Worst-meets-first in the NFC North when the Chicago Bears visit the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving
  • The Lions, who own the NFL’s longest win streak at nine in a row, are double-digit favorites
  • See the Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions predictions and best available odds for Nov. 28

The hard-luck Chicago Bears (4-7, 0-4 away, 5-4-2 ATS) get no respite on Thanksgiving as they travel to the Motor City to face the NFC-best Detroit Lions (10-1, 4-1 home, 9-2 ATS) at Ford Field at 12:30 pm ET. The red-hot Lions range from 9.5 to 10.5-point home favorites, with most sportsbooks listing Detroit as ten-point chalk.

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Predictions

The Bears are on a brutal slide, losing five straight games after starting the season 4-2. But they’re not a brutal team by any stretch of the imagination. Chicago still has a +4 point differential despite sitting three games under .500. Their last two Ls – against good Minnesota and Green Bay teams – came by a combined margin of four points. They were also on the wrong end of Jayden Daniels’ game-winning Week 8 Hail Mary.

PFF ranks the Bears right in the middle of the league (17th with a 77.5 overall rating).

The Lions, of course, are an absolute freight train that rank first at PFF (93.4) and in DVOA (47.5%), which is better than any team in the last five years. But this is a fierce division rivalry against a quality opponents.

Detroit’s first two division games this season resulted in a two-point win over the Vikings (31-29) and a ten-point win over the Packers (24-14), a game in which Green Bay actually out-gained Detroit 411 yards to 261. The Lions benefited from a pick-six and ten Packer penalties.

The Lions are also in worse shape, injury-wise. David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kalif Raymond, and Taylor Decker are all questionable on offense on a short week, while 11 different defensive players have already hit the IR for Detroit this season.

I don’t expect the Lions to run away with this as they tend to do against bad teams.

Best Bears vs Lions Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Chicago Bears +10.5 (-110) at FanDuel +400 at Caesars O 48.5 (-105) at FanDuel
Detroit Lions -9.5 (-115) at DraftKings -470 at DraftKings U 48.5 (-110) at ESPN Bet

Most books have the Bears vs Lions point spread at Detroit -10 but there are two outliers. FanDuel has the spread half a point higher at 10.5 (albeit with -122 juice on the Bears to cover) while DraftKings has is it half a point lower at 9.5 (with -115 odds on the Lions to cover).

DraftKings also has the best moneyline price on the Lions by a pretty wide margin in the Week 13 NFL odds. Detroit it listed at -470 at DK and -520 or shorter everywhere else. The best moneyline price on the Bears is +400, which is available at BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel.

There isn’t any real variety in the game total; all books list the O/U at 48.5 with only minor differences in price. FanDuel has the best odds on the over at -105, while four books (bet365, BetMGM, Caesars, and ESPN Bet) have the best under odds at -110.

The Thanksgiving NFL public betting splits are all over the Lions. Detroit is currently getting 71% of ATS handle as 10-point chalk and 76% of moneyline handle.

Detroit has also emerged as the outright favorite in the Super Bowl 59 odds, as short as +250 at some books. The Bears, are on the other hand, have faded to +3000 longshots just to make the postseason in the latest NFL playoff odds.

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The Chicago Bears and Detroit Lions will face off in a highly anticipated Thanksgiving Day matchup, and fans are eager to see which team will come out on top. Both teams have had their ups and downs this season, but they are both hungry for a win in this divisional showdown.

The Bears are coming off a tough loss to the Baltimore Ravens, but they have shown flashes of brilliance throughout the season. Quarterback Justin Fields has shown promise as a rookie, and the defense has been solid at times. However, injuries have plagued the team, with key players like Khalil Mack and Akiem Hicks missing time. The Bears will need to be at their best if they want to come away with a victory on Thanksgiving Day.

On the other side, the Lions have yet to secure a win this season, but they have been competitive in many of their games. Quarterback Jared Goff has had his struggles, but he has shown the ability to lead the offense when needed. The defense has also shown improvement as the season has progressed, and they will be looking to shut down the Bears’ offense in this matchup.

When it comes to predictions and best odds for this game, the Bears are currently favored to win by a slim margin. However, the Lions have shown that they can hang tough with any team, so this game could go either way. The key for the Bears will be to establish a strong running game with David Montgomery and take advantage of opportunities in the passing game. The Lions will need to limit turnovers and make plays on defense if they want to pull off the upset.

In terms of betting odds, the over/under for this game is set at 44 points, with the Bears currently favored by 3 points. This could be a low-scoring affair, given both teams’ struggles on offense at times. However, anything can happen on Thanksgiving Day, so fans should be prepared for a competitive and exciting matchup.

Overall, this Thanksgiving Day matchup between the Bears and Lions is sure to be a thrilling game for fans of both teams. With playoff implications on the line, both teams will be looking to secure a much-needed win. Whether you’re rooting for the Bears or Lions, this game is sure to be one to remember.