Predictions for Week 14 College Football Games with Spreads (Rivalry Week)

• Check out my Week 14 college football betting predictions against the spread for Rivalry Week action
• Our CFB picks remain profitable at 24-18 heading into rivalry weekend
• We break down our best CFB ATS picks for Week 14’s rivalry week below

Coming off a tough 0-3 weekend in our college football spread predictions, we’re looking to bounce back with three underdog plays for rivalry week. Despite the setback, we’re still sitting at 24-18 on our college football picks against the spread this season. History shows that rivalry games frequently produce unexpected results, especially when it comes to covering the number.

My Week 14 college football selections against the spread focus on three underdogs in favorable spots. With challenging late November weather expected across the country, we’re targeting teams with strong ground games and proven track records in rivalry situations. The numbers point to a Michigan team that’s dominated this rivalry recently, a Nebraska squad finding its rushing identity, and a Fresno State team that’s historically played well at the Rose Bowl.

Let’s examine why these teams offer spread betting value during college football’s rivalry week.

Week 14 CFB ATS Picks (Rivalry Week)

Three rivalry matchups have caught my eye from a betting perspective for Saturday’s loaded slate. Let’s dive into the analysis behind my Week 14 college football spread selections.

Michigan vs Ohio State Odds

All odds as of November 26th at ESPN Bet. Check out the top college football betting sites for more CFB odds and rivalry week predictions.

Pick #1: Michigan (+21) (at Ohio State)

I’m kicking off my Week 14 college football picks with a hefty underdog that’s dominated this rivalry for three straight years. While Michigan faces some unprecedented circumstances, the numbers tell me they can keep this within three touchdowns.

The weather forecast is screaming Michigan football – temperatures in the high teens with 20 mph wind gusts. These conditions should favor their ground-heavy attack that ranks 26th nationally in rush play percentage. Their defense has been absolutely lights out, surrendering just 20.8 points per game.

The Michigan defense has allowed only 539 total yards in its last 10 quarters.#GoBlue pic.twitter.com/EwhPS1cOVZ

— Clayton Sayfie (@CSayf23) November 24, 2024

The betting market is backing this play, with Michigan drawing 69% of tickets and 78% of the money despite the large spread. Ohio State’s likely playoff berth regardless of the outcome could impact their urgency level. Their offensive line has shown some cracks against elite defensive fronts, similar to what they’ll face Saturday.

Historical trends back the underdog here – the last five meetings have been decided by an average margin of 15.2 points, with no game being decided by more than 20. Even in years with clear talent gaps, this rivalry tends to keep things tighter than expected.

Nebraska vs Iowa Odds

Pick #2: Nebraska +5.5 (at Iowa)

For my second Week 14 college football betting pick, I’m rolling with a Nebraska team that’s finally found its identity in the ground game. Their impressive 44-25 dismantling of Wisconsin showcased an offense hitting its stride at the perfect time, piling up 473 total yards against a typically stout Badgers defense.

W. pic.twitter.com/oU0uR7O6wa

— Nebraska Football (@HuskerFootball) November 23, 2024

Nebraska’s defense has been quietly dominant against the run, ranking 18th nationally while allowing just 110.9 yards per game. This sets up perfectly against an Iowa offense that’s become painfully one-dimensional with third-string quarterback Jackson Stratton managing just 76 passing yards against Maryland.

The numbers don’t lie – the Cornhuskers are 5-1 when averaging north of 4.3 yards per carry this season. With the mercury dropping to 24 degrees at kickoff in Iowa City, their power running attack should find plenty of lanes. Dylan Raiola’s recent emergence adds another wrinkle that Iowa’s defense will need to respect.

Fresno State vs UCLA Odds

Pick #3: Fresno State +8.5 (at UCLA)

I’m wrapping up my Week 14 college football predictions with another live dog that knows how to win at the Rose Bowl. Fresno State has owned this matchup recently, winning their last four against UCLA, including three straight in Pasadena. Their dramatic last-minute touchdown in 2021 showed exactly why they’re so dangerous in this spot.

The Bulldogs’ rushing attack has been a problem for opponents, ranking fourth-best among Non-Power Conference teams. They’re an impressive 9-2 when breaking three or more explosive runs and 5-1 when topping one hundred yards on the ground. Running back Bryson Donelson is coming in hot after gashing Colorado State for 150 yards.

The sharp money has already pushed this line down from +9.5 to +8.5, and I’m not surprised. With UCLA’s offense sputtering at 18.3 points per game and no postseason implications in play, watch for Fresno State’s balanced attack (27.8 points per game) to keep this one within the number.

Brady’s 2024 CFB ATS Picks Record: 24-18 (Last Week: 0-3)

As we head into Week 14 of the college football season, also known as Rivalry Week, there are several highly anticipated matchups on the schedule. With conference championships and bowl game bids on the line, these games are sure to be intense and competitive. Let’s take a look at some of the key matchups and make predictions for the outcomes with spreads in mind.

One of the biggest games of the week is the annual showdown between Ohio State and Michigan. The Buckeyes are currently ranked No. 2 in the country and are favored by 8 points over the Wolverines. Ohio State has been dominant all season, led by Heisman candidate quarterback Justin Fields. Michigan, on the other hand, has had an up-and-down season but has shown flashes of brilliance. This game is always a heated rivalry, and anything can happen, but I predict Ohio State will come out on top and cover the spread.

Another marquee matchup is the Iron Bowl between Alabama and Auburn. The Crimson Tide are favored by 10 points in this game, but Auburn has a history of playing spoiler in this rivalry. Alabama is coming off a tough loss to LSU and will be looking to bounce back strong. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is expected to play despite a recent injury, which should give Alabama an edge. I predict that Alabama will win this game but Auburn will cover the spread.

In the Big Ten, Wisconsin takes on Minnesota in a battle for Paul Bunyan’s Axe. The Golden Gophers are favored by 2.5 points in this game, but Wisconsin has been playing solid football all season. Minnesota has had a breakout year and is looking to secure a spot in the Big Ten Championship game. This game could go either way, but I predict that Wisconsin will pull off the upset and cover the spread.

In the SEC, Georgia faces off against Georgia Tech in a rivalry game with a 28-point spread. The Bulldogs are heavy favorites in this matchup and should have no trouble covering the spread against a struggling Yellow Jackets team.

Overall, Week 14 of college football is shaping up to be an exciting week with several key matchups that will have a big impact on conference standings and playoff implications. Keep an eye on these games and see how your predictions stack up against the final outcomes.