Analyzing the Odds, Spread, and Prediction for the Giants vs Cowboys Thanksgiving Matchup

• The Cowboys are 3.5-point home favorites over the Giants on Thanksgiving
• New York is the NFL’s lowest scoring team
• Check out the Giants vs Cowboys odds, spread and prediction for MNF

The second game of Thursday’s NFL Thanksgiving tripleheader pits the 2-9 New York Giants versus the 4-7 Dallas Cowboys. Two of the most disappointing teams of the 2024 season, and each enters this contests riding ugly streaks. New York has dropped six straight overall, while the Cowboys have lost all five of their home games to date. Dallas did break its five-game losing streak last week in Washington, and online sportsbooks are expecting another victory per the latest football betting lines.

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys Odds

The Cowboys are currently favored by 3.5 points after opening as 4-point favorites. At the current number the spread action is completely one-sided, with Dallas drawing 78% of the wagers and 91% of the handle. Total-wise, a low scoring game is on deck. The over/under opened at 38.5, and has already been bet down to 37.5 according to the NFL public betting percentages. That makes it the lowest total of the Week 13 slate, and the only over/under below 40. 

Odds as of November 26 at BetMGM. Be sure to check out the best BetMGM promo code before placing a bet on any NFL game.

Kickoff for this NFC East rivalry game is set for 4:30 pm ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, TX, with FOX providing the broadcast coverage.

Home Not So Sweet for Cowboys

The Cowboys love on the spread is more of a fade of the Giants, rather than a confident backing of Dallas. Mike McCarthy’s team has been downright awful this season, and are one loss away from locking up the under on their NFL win total odds. They’ve been especially bad at home, where they haven’t won since December 30^th of last year.

As mentioned, they’ve dropped all five home contests so far, getting outscored 187 to 69. If you include last January’s home playoff loss to Green Bay, the Cowboys have been outscored 235 to 101 in their last six outings at Jerry’s World, which nets out to a -22 point differential per game.

Tom Brady finding out he has to give up his Thanksgiving to watch the Giants @ Cowboys. pic.twitter.com/CS6Ifii8gq

— William Johnson (@Blaydez_Cardz) November 25, 2024

Sure, it doesn’t help that Dak Prescott is on IR, but only two of those losses were started by backup Cooper Rush. Speaking of Rush, he popped up on the injury report early this week with a knee issue, but is expected to play.

Rush had arguably the best game of his NFL career last Sunday, throwing for 247 yards and 2 TD, in the win over the Commanders. He showed excellent command of the offense, effectively getting the ball into Dallas’ best playmakers.

Defensively, the Cowboys did an exceptional job shutting down Jayden Daniels until the final few minutes, forcing three turnovers along they way. That side of the ball is looking more promising by the day, as their top corner is likely set to return. Trevon Diggs is back at practice this week and is trending towards playing versus the G-Men.

Tommy Boy

Diggs should see plenty of stud rookie wideout Malik Nabers, one of the lone bright spots on New York’s roster. Nabers leads the team in every significant receiving category, but has been very critical of the Giants play calling and decision making.

New York cut Daniel Jones, and instead of turning to backup Drew Lock, they opted for Tommy DeVito instead. DeVito didn’t provide much of a spark in the Giants 30-7 Week 12 loss to Tampa Bay, absorbing a ton of hard hits instead.

That beating landed him on the injury report, and now there’s talk he may not be healthy enough to start versus Dallas. If DeVito can’t go, Lock would make his first start as a Giant, but expectations should be kept low.

This is a team that ranks last in scoring, and 24^th in total offense. They haven’t cleared 22 points since Week 5, and have been outscored 109 to 32 in their last three meetings with the Cowboys.

Giants vs Cowboys 2024 Offensive Ranks

New York is especially bad along the offensive line, which is music to the ears of Micah Parson and the rest of the Dallas pass rushers. DeVito absorbed four sacks last week, and was pressured on 17 of his 39 drop backs.

Parsons and Co. got to Daniels four times themselves last week, racking up 14 pressures along the way. If you’re thinking the Giants would be better off to attack the Cowboys rush defense, that didn’t exactly work out in their previous meeting.

Giants vs Cowboys Prediction

Dallas held New York to 26 rushing yards on 24 attempts back in their Week 5 win. The Cowboys limited Washington running backs to 2.9 yards per carry last week, which should give bettors confidence they can handle Tyrone Tracy and an aging Devin Singletary.

This game profiles as an excellent under candidate, but rather than playing the game total, let’s target New York’s team total instead. They’re one of the worst offenses in football and whether it’s DeVito or Lock under center, they’ll struggle to move the ball.

The Giants team total currently sits at 16.5, a number they’ve failed to clear in back-to-back games, and six times overall this season.

• Giants vs Cowboys Pick: Giants Under 16.5 Points (-104)

The Thanksgiving matchup between the New York Giants and the Dallas Cowboys is always a highly anticipated game for football fans. Both teams have a rich history and a fierce rivalry that adds an extra level of excitement to this annual showdown. As we look ahead to this year’s matchup, let’s take a closer look at the odds, spread, and predictions for the game.

The odds for the Giants vs Cowboys game are currently favoring the Cowboys, with most sportsbooks listing them as the favorites to win. This is not surprising given the Cowboys’ strong performance so far this season, with a record of 7-3 and sitting at the top of the NFC East division. The Giants, on the other hand, have had a more challenging season with a record of 3-7 and sitting at the bottom of the division.

In terms of the spread, most sportsbooks have the Cowboys favored by around 7 points. This means that in order to win a bet on the Cowboys, they would need to win by more than 7 points. On the other hand, if you were to bet on the Giants, they would need to either win the game or lose by less than 7 points in order for you to win your bet.

When it comes to predicting the outcome of the game, it’s always a bit of a gamble. However, based on their performances so far this season, it seems likely that the Cowboys will come out on top in this matchup. Their offense, led by star quarterback Dak Prescott and running back Ezekiel Elliott, has been firing on all cylinders and should be able to put up some big numbers against the Giants’ defense.

That being said, divisional matchups are always unpredictable and anything can happen on any given Sunday. The Giants will be looking to play spoiler and pull off an upset against their division rivals. Quarterback Daniel Jones has shown flashes of brilliance this season and could potentially lead his team to victory if he can put together a solid performance.

In conclusion, while the odds and spread may favor the Cowboys in this Thanksgiving matchup, anything can happen in football. It’s sure to be an exciting game between two historic rivals and should make for some great holiday entertainment for football fans everywhere.