- There are hundreds of NFL TD props available for Week 12 of the 2024-25 NFL season
- I have gone through all the NFL touchdown odds and relevant stats to pull together what I believe are the best TD picks for Week 12
- See the 11 players I am betting to score a touchdown in Week 12 below
Sportsbooks have released NFL touchdown props for all 13 games in Week 12 of the 2024-25 NFL season. This is the least amount of games we have seen in any week of the season thus far, but there are still hundreds of TD props available. Trying to research all of these lines and the corresponding stats is quite the task! Thanks to working in the industry, I get paid to do it! So, I’m here to share the players I believe are the best bets to score a touchdown in Week 12.
I went 5-5 on my TD picks last week, winning 1 unit. I have 11 players I am betting to find the endzone this week, with each one being an anytime TD scorer – I avoid the very unpredictable first TD scorer market. Check out my 11 TD picks below!
Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 12
Player | Anytime TD Odds |
---|---|
George Pickens | +225 (BetMGM) |
Jameson Williams | +210 (BetMGM) |
Mike Evans | +160 (DraftKings) |
Rhamondre Stevenson | +130 (bet365) |
Nico Collins | +120 (bet365) |
Brian Robinson | -138 (bet365) |
Javonte Williams | +160 (bet365) |
George Kittle | +220 (FanDuel) |
James Conner | -120 (bet365) |
Jalen Hurts | -110 (bet365) |
Quentin Johnston | +200 (DraftKings) |
I am betting 11 players to score a touchdown in Week 12. Each player listed in the table above is a half-unit bet, except for Brian Robinson Jr and Jalen Hurts, who are both full-unit bets.
If Isiah Pacheco does not make his return, there is a decent chance I add Kareem Hunt to my TD picks as well. Follow me on Twitter/X to get that update immediately!
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This article is solely focused on NFL TD picks for Week 12, but SBD does have plenty of other NFL player props coverage. Check out our NFL props page for all the latest passing, rushing, and receiving lines for all players – it even does the line shopping for you!
You’ll find my analysis on each of the 11 picks below!
George Pickens
I’m really not sure why BetMGM is offering +225 odds on George Pickens to score a touchdown on Thursday Night Football, but I’m going to take advantage of it. For perspective, bet365 has his odds at +150 and Caesars is offering +160. That’s not to suggest those two books are sharper than the rest, rather to provide an idea of how far apart some sportsbooks are on Pickens’ likelihood of scoring a TD.
Pickens has scored a touchdown in two of the four games he has played with Russell Wilson now. He did not find the endzone last week against the Ravens, but he did see 12 targets that he turned into eight receptions for 89 yards. The Steeler with the next-most targets last week was Najee Harris with five. Pickens is without a doubt the go-to receiver in Pittsburgh, and his size makes him a real red zone threat.
The third-year WR is tied for fifth in the NFL with 14 red zone targets, but has the fewest TDs among the top five players in that category. I think the TDs start pouring in for Pickens, starting with Week 12 when he takes on a Browns defense that allows the ninth-most net yards per pass attempt.
Cleveland just gave up 35 points to the Saints last week and I think are a demoralized team who knows their season is over.
- Pick: George Pickens Anytime TD (+225 at BetMGM)
Jameson Williams
Jameson Williams is a big play waiting to happen. Three of his four touchdowns on the year – in just eight games – have been 40+ yards, tying him for the second-most big-play (40+ yards) TDs. He is also tied for second in touchdowns of 20+ yards, as all four of his TDs fall into that category.
What has been really encouraging for me is the targets he is seeing since returning from his suspension. Williams has seen five and six targets, respectively, over the last two games, and seems to have a significant role in the Lions offense. If he sees those same targets again, I like him to score another touchdown against Indianapolis in Week 12.
The Colts have given up the fourth-most big plays (40+ yards) with nine on the season, and allow the seventh-most net yards per pass attempt.
- Pick: Jameson Williams Anytime TD (+210 at BetMGM)
Mike Evans
Tampa Bay’s passing game was still pretty good in their first game without Mike Evans and Chris Godwin (Week 8), but it took a major step back in their next two games. Baker Mayfield only managed 200 and 116 (season-low) passing yards, respectively, in those games.
But now riding a four-game losing streak and coming out of the bye with a healthy Mike Evans, I like the Bucs pass attack to get back on track. Evans has at least one touchdown in four of seven games, and has scored six total TDs. That was while playing with Chris Godwin as well, who scored five touchdowns of his own in seven games. Without Godwin, I like Evans and Cade Otton to dominate the targets the rest of the season.
I appreciate how bad the Giants, Tampa Bay’s Week 12 opponent, have been against the run this season, but they seem to tighten up at the goal line, as they have only allowed eight touchdowns on the ground. Also, I simply cannot pass up the +160 odds with Evans.
- Pick: Mike Evans Anytime TD (+160 at DraftKings)
Rhamondre Stevenson
After a little stint in Jerod Mayo’s doghouse, Rhamondre Stevenson appears to be back in the Patriots’ good books. Stevenson has seen at least 21 touches in three of the last four games, with 15 touches being the one outlier. He has scored four total touchdowns in that period, though they all came in two games.
Stevenson has scored at least one touchdown in five of ten games this season, and is fourth in the league in red zone looks per game with 3.90. One of those games with a touchdown was New England’s Week 5 matchup with the same Dolphins team they’ll meet in Week 12.
Miami’s defense ranks 14th in yards allowed per rush attempt and have surrendered ten rushing TDs this season. With Drake Maye under center, I think the Patriots offense moves the ball well enough to trust Stevenson in a game that doesn’t come against a terrible defense.
- Pick: Rhamondre Stevenson Anytime TD (+130 at bet365)
Nico Collins
As you know, I’m a man who believes in second chances. Nico Collins let me down last week in his return from a five-game absence, as he was not able to get in the endzone. But it did appear Houston was easing him back into action. Collins only played 47% of the Texans’ offensive snaps last week. Outside of the game he got injured in, his previous low this season was 80% of their snaps.
With no known setbacks in last week’s game, or at this point during practice, I like the training wheels to come off against the Titans in Week 12. Tennessee has allowed the second-fewest yards in the NFL, but I think that’s a misleading stat. Part of that is the three games they played against bad offenses (Bears in Week 1, Jets, and Dolphins without Tua), and another factor is offenses taking their foot off the gas early because of massive leads – the Lions only totaled 225 yards but won 52-14 back in Week 8. But my point here is that their defense is good, not great, meaning the Texans offense won’t be able to just lean on Joe Mixon as much as they did last week.
Collins has a touchdown in three of six games this season and has double-digit targets in three of six as well. I like him to add his fourth TD of the season on Sunday.
- Pick: Nico Collins Anytime TD (+120 bet365)
Brian Robinson Jr
In a Week 12 matchup with the Dallas Cowboys, who just gave up three TDs on the ground last week and have allowed 18 rushing touchdowns this season, I did not expect to see Brian Robinson Jr listed as long as -138 to score a touchdown. I suspected we would see odds much closer to -200.
Robinson has scored a touchdown in six of eight games played this season, and has seen the sixth-most red zone looks per game (3.75). After being humbled by the Eagles last week, I think we see a very motivated Commanders offense in Week 12, which should have no problem taking advantage of a Dallas defense that has given up the second-most points and sixth-most yards.
I’m taking Robinson to score a TD and laying a full unit on this one.
- Pick: Brian Robinson Jr Anytime TD (-138 at bet365)
Javonte Williams
Javonte Williams has operated as the Broncos’ unquestioned lead back for the majority of the season. Two weeks ago, after Williams averaged just under three yards per carry over the previous two weeks, we saw Sean Payton opt to give rookie Audric Estime more opportunities. The result was just three total touches for Williams in Week 10.
However, Estime wasn’t that impressive with the extra touches, and it seems Payton may have gotten a positive response from Williams to the “benching.” Williams out-touched Estime 13-9 last week and was much more effective than the rookie with the ball in his hands, averaging a season-high 6.6 yards per carry versus Estime’s 2.7.
What an amazing story it would be if a washed-up running back like Javonte Williams could revive his career at 24 years oldpic.twitter.com/xGLEIN5ZJy
— Scott Spratt (@Scott_Spratt) November 17, 2024
I think this remains Williams’ backfield, and I like him to find the endzone for a second straight game. Denver gets the Raiders again in Week 12. The Broncos put up 34 points when the two met back in Week 5, while Williams totaled 111 yards from scrimmage in that game. With the Broncos offense moving the ball much better over the last month, I like them to continue scoring against a Raiders defense that has allowed the fourth-most points in the league.
- Pick: Javonte Williams Anytime TD (+160 at bet365)
George Kittle
If George Kittle says he is suiting up for San Francisco’s Week 12 matchup with the Packers, I not only believe him, but also believe the 49ers will not hold him back while their season is spiraling.
The 31-year-old tight end has been a massive part of San Francisco’s offense this season. He has scored a touchdown in six of eight games, and has seven total TDs to his name. Kittle is tied for seventh in the NFL in red zone targets, but has played two to three fewer games than everyone above him on the list.
I do think part of why he was receiving so many red zone targets can be attributed to two things: (1) Brandon Aiyuk’s slow start the season, and (2) Jordan Mason’s ineffectiveness in the red zone. The former remains an issue as Aiyuk’s season is over, but the latter should be alleviated with Christian McCaffrey back healthy. However, I don’t think McCaffrey is fully healthy yet – or is just still finding his groove after being away from football for so long.
But even if McCaffrey does shake off the rust this Sunday, I still like Kittle to be a major factor in this game, especially in the red zone.
- Pick: George Kittle Anytime TD (+220 at FanDuel)
James Conner
Though we may be seeing Trey Benson finally starting to carve out a meaningful role for himself in the Cardinals offense, it is still James Conner’s backfield. I also think his more powerful approach to carrying the rock will bode well for Arizona in Week 12 as they take on the Seahawks.
Seattle allows 4.8 yards per carry (25th) and have watched a few RBs have monster games against them over the last handful of weeks. I’m not here to bet Conner to rush for 150+ yards, but I do believe he will find the endzone at least once.
Conner is averaging 3.1 red zone looks per game, which is good for 17th in the NFL. He hasn’t converted a ton of those opportunities, though, as he only has five touchdowns to his name this season. Against a weak Seahawks run defense, I think he scores his sixth.
- Pick: James Conner Anytime TD (-120 at bet365)
Jalen Hurts
Jalen Hurts has now scored a touchdown in five straight games, and six of his last seven. He has totaled nine rushing TDs in those last five games, and has three more red zone rushing attempts than Saquon Barkley.
Hurts will take on a Rams defense that has been pretty good against the run in Week 12, only allowing 4.3 yards per carry and has only give up seven touchdowns on the ground. However, LA has given up the 11th-most points in the league and 10th-most yards.
I have no problem with the Eagles throwing the ball to get down to the red zone, though, as long as Hurts continues to see his large share of Philadelphia’s red zone touches. But why wouldn’t he? Hurts has only thrown 33 passes in the red zone this season, which is 20th in the league. They get even more conservative inside the ten-yard-line, as Hurts has only attempted 13 passes from that part of the field, which is 23rd.
If sportsbooks keep offering near-even odds on Hurts to score a touchdown, I’m going to have to keep taking it.
- Pick: Jalen Hurts Anytime TD (-110 at bet365)
Quentin Johnston
We have now seen Quentin Johnston score a touchdown in each of his last three games, and has scored in five of eight games this season. He’s tied for second in the league with four TDs of 20+ yards. While Ladd McConkey has been the Chargers’ safety blanket, Johnston has been their big-play threat.
Heading into a matchup with a Ravens defense that allows the sixth-most net yards per pass attempt, but also the fewest yards per rushing attempt, I like the big-play threat to see some opportunities. Johnston is also coming off a season-high eight targets in last week’s game, though he only caught two of them. That game last week may be a tell for what to expect in terms of volume for Johnston this week, as the Ravens offense will likely be able to match what the Bengals did to the Chargers defense last week.
- Pick: Quentin Johnston Antyime TD (+200 at DraftKings)
Week 12 of the NFL season is shaping up to be an exciting one, with several key matchups on the schedule that could have a big impact on the playoff picture. One popular way for fans to get in on the action is by placing bets on anytime touchdown scorers, where they pick a player they think will score a touchdown at any point during the game.
When it comes to making predictions for anytime touchdown scorer bets in Week 12, there are a few key factors to consider. One of the most important things to look at is the matchup itself – some teams have strong defenses that make it difficult for opposing players to find the end zone, while others have high-powered offenses that give their players plenty of scoring opportunities.
Another factor to consider is the player’s recent performance – are they on a hot streak and finding the end zone regularly, or have they been struggling to score touchdowns in recent games? Injuries can also play a role in a player’s likelihood of scoring, so it’s important to check the injury reports before making a bet.
With all of that in mind, here are a few predictions for anytime touchdown scorer bets in Week 12:
1. Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans – Henry has been one of the most dominant running backs in the league this season, leading the NFL in rushing yards and touchdowns. He faces a tough matchup against the New England Patriots in Week 12, but Henry has shown time and time again that he can find the end zone against even the best defenses.
2. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers – Adams is one of the top wide receivers in the league and has been a favorite target of quarterback Aaron Rodgers all season. The Packers face off against the Los Angeles Rams in Week 12, and Adams should have plenty of opportunities to score against a Rams defense that has struggled at times this season.
3. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints – Kamara is a versatile playmaker who can score touchdowns both on the ground and through the air. The Saints take on the Denver Broncos in Week 12, and Kamara should have a big game against a Broncos defense that has been inconsistent this season.
Of course, these are just a few predictions for anytime touchdown scorer bets in Week 12, and anything can happen on any given Sunday in the NFL. It’s always important to do your own research and consider all of the factors before placing a bet. Good luck!