- The Dallas Mavericks host the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday night
- The Mavericks are 12.5-point home favorites and -700 on the moneyline in the NBA odds
- See below for Spurs vs Mavericks predictions, player props and latest odds for Nov. 16
The San Antonio Spurs (6-7) head north to face the Dallas Mavericks (5-7) at the American Airlines Center on Saturday night at 8:30 pm ET. It’s an intrastate showdown between two teams looking to get back on track in the competitive Western Conference.
The Spurs aim to bounce back after a tough 120-115 loss to the Lakers on Friday, while the Mavericks hope to end a frustrating four-game slide. Oddsmakers heavily favor Luka Doncic and company on their home floor.
Here is a look at our Spurs vs Mavericks prediction for Saturday night hoops.
Spurs vs Mavericks Predictions
- Best Bet: Mavericks -12.5 (-110) at BetMGM
- Lean: Over 228.5 (-110) at BetMGM
The Spurs enter this contest on the second night of a back-to-back after a hard-fought battle with the Lakers. 20-year-old phenom Victor Wembanyama continued his stellar play with 28 points, but it wasn’t enough to overcome LeBron James and Anthony Davis.
Wembanyama will need another big performance against a Mavericks squad desperate for a win. Dallas has dropped four straight despite Luka Doncic’s heroics, most recently falling 115-113 to the Jazz on Thursday. Doncic put up 37 points in the loss.
The Mavericks have some injury concerns, with key role players PJ Washington (knee) doubtful and Naji Marshall (knee) questionable. However, they still have the starpower edge with Doncic and Kyrie Irving leading the charge against a young Spurs team playing their third game in four nights.
I’m laying the big number with Dallas at home. The Mavs have the NBA’s 7th-best offense and should take advantage of a Spurs defense allowing the 6th-most fastbreak points. The NBA betting trends also favor Dallas, who has covered in 40 of its last 67 games overall.
I’m also leaning toward the over on a total that could prove too low if both teams get hot from deep. The Spurs actually shoot threes at a higher frequency and volume than Dallas this year. Bet on a high-scoring affair.
SAS vs DAL Player Props
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic (DAL) | Over 28.5 (-140) | Under 28.5 (+105) | Over 8.5 (-115) | Under 8.5 (-115) | Over 9.5 (+100) | Under 9.5 (-135) | Over 2.5 (-225) | Under 2.5 (+160) |
| Kyrie Irving (DAL) | Over 22.5 (-115) | Under 22.5 (-120) | Over 3.5 (-155) | Under 3.5 (+120) | Over 5.5 (+120) | Under 5.5 (-155) | Over 2.5 (+110) | Under 2.5 (-150) |
| Victor Wembanyama (SAS) | Over 24.5 (-120) | Under 24.5 (-110) | Over 11.5 (-120) | Under 11.5 (-110) | Over 3.5 (+105) | Under 3.5 (-145) | Over 2.5 (-130) | Under 2.5 (+100) |
| Klay Thompson (DAL) | Over 15.5 (-110) | Under 15.5 (-120) | Over 3.5 (+100) | Under 3.5 (-135) | Over 1.5 (-125) | Under 1.5 (-105) | Over 3.5 (+105) | Under 3.5 (-140) |
| P.J. Washington (DAL) | Over 10.5 (-115) | Under 10.5 (-120) | Over 5.5 (-155) | Under 5.5 (+115) | Over 1.5 (+155) | Under 1.5 (-210) | Over 1.5 (+110) | Under 1.5 (-145) |
NBA player props from BetMGM Sportsbook on Nov. 16.
Doncic leads the way with a hefty points + rebounds + assists combo prop of 47.5, highlighting his ability to fill the stat sheet. Wembanyama has the highest rebounding prop on the board at 11.5 as he looks to dominate the glass.
Here are a few additional props that stand out:
- Luka Doncic over 28.5 points (-140) at BetMGM: Doncic has scored 30+ in two straight and should keep rolling against a Spurs defense ranked 23rd in efficiency.
- Victor Wembanyama over 2.5 threes (-13) at BetMGM: The rookie big man is not afraid to let it fly from deep, drilling 2+ threes in four consecutive games.
San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | +12.5 (-110) | +500 | Over 228.5 (-110) at BetMGM |
| Dallas Mavericks | -12.5 (-110) | -700 | Under 228.5 (-110) at BetMGM |
The Spurs enter Saturday’s matchup as 12.5-point road underdogs, with their +500 moneyline odds suggesting just a 16.7% chance of pulling off the upset in Dallas. The hefty spread isn’t too surprising given the Mavs’ significant advantages in both home court and star power.
Several factors explain the wide point spread, including San Antonio’s so-so 6-7 record, their tired legs from recent games, and ongoing defensive issues. Dallas sits at -700 on the moneyline, translating to an implied win probability of 87.5% as they look to protect home court.
The oddsmakers have set the total at 228.5 points. While that’s a bit higher than we’ve seen in recent Spurs-Mavs contests, it makes sense given all the scoring talent on both sides. Keep an eye on those public betting percentages as we get closer to tipoff.
The San Antonio Spurs will face off against the Dallas Mavericks on Saturday, November 16th in what promises to be an exciting matchup between two Western Conference rivals. Both teams have had solid starts to the season, with the Spurs currently sitting at 6-5 and the Mavericks at 6-4.
When it comes to predictions for this game, it’s always tough to say for sure how things will play out. Both teams have talented rosters and capable coaches, so it could really go either way. However, the Mavericks have been playing particularly well as of late, winning four of their last five games. They also have the advantage of playing at home, which could give them a slight edge in this matchup.
In terms of player props, there are a few key players to keep an eye on in this game. For the Spurs, DeMar DeRozan has been leading the team in scoring, averaging 20.9 points per game. He will likely be a focal point of the offense and could put up some big numbers against the Mavericks. On the Mavericks side, Luka Doncic has been playing at an MVP level this season, averaging 28.3 points, 10.3 rebounds, and 9.1 assists per game. He will be a handful for the Spurs defense and could have a big game.
As for the odds, the Mavericks are currently listed as 4.5-point favorites in this game. This means that they are expected to win by at least five points according to oddsmakers. The over/under for total points scored in the game is set at 223.5, indicating that it could be a high-scoring affair.
Overall, this game has all the makings of a competitive and entertaining matchup between two evenly matched teams. It will be interesting to see how things play out on Saturday night and which players will step up and make an impact for their respective teams. Fans of both teams should be in for a treat as they watch these two talented squads battle it out on the court.