Tuesday, November 12: Ball State vs Buffalo Betting Odds, Spread, and Prediction

  • Ball State (3-6) makes its first trip to Buffalo (5-4) and UB Stadium since 2016 in a Tuesday Night MAC contest.
  • The Bulls feature the nation’s leading tackle on defense in linebacker Shaun Dolac.
  • Check out our full preview and prediction, including insights on the betting line and best pick for Tuesday Night college football.

Clear skies and temperatures in the upper 30s will greet both Buffalo (5-4, 5-4 ATS) and Ball State (3-6, 6-3 ATS) Tuesday when they square off Tuesday for a 7 p.m. ET kickoff.

The Bulls are 3-2 in the MAC, a win away from becoming bowl-eligible for just the eighth time in program history. There are four teams that are 4-1 in the MAC. Ball State is 2-3 in the MAC. The Cardinals started the season 1-4, but have won two of their last four games.

We’ve got everything you need to know for this midweek MACtion, including our prediction and game analysis.

Ball State vs Buffalo odds

Teams Spread Moneyline Total
Ball State +5.0 (-110) +162 O  53.5 (-110)
Buffalo -5.0 (1110) -196 U 53.5 (-110)

Odds as of 8 pm. ET November 11 at Caesars Sportsbook. Be sure to check out the top Caesars Sportsbook promos before making a bet on any Week 11 CFB matchup.

When you factor in the sportsbooks, Ball State is one of the most unique FBS teams this season. The Cardinals are 6-3 against the spread, and 7-1-1 over/under. The Cardinals have been underdogs in their last three games, and won all three against the spread.

Buffalo is 5-3-1 over/under, and their last five games have hit the over. In fact, its last three games haven’t just gone over; they’ve gone way over. The Bulls’ last three have gone over the posted total by 23, 17 and 40 points.

The Bulls are 4.5-point favorites at most sportsbooks, but you can get five points at Caesars. The total at DraftKings is 54, but 53.5 most everywhere else. The top moneyline bet on Ball State is at Caesars at +162, and for Buffalo, it’s FanDuel at -188.

The Tackling Machine

Buffalo has the leading tackler in the country in senior linebacker Shaun Dolac. That almost seems hard to believe, but Dolac has 120 tackles this season. And the story gets better. He was a walk-on at Buffalo after playing at nearby East Seneca High School.

And wait, it gets even better: his fellow linebacker, Red Murdock (yes, make the A-Team jokes) is third in the country with 107 tackles. Nothing gets by these two.

Offensively, Buffalo is fair. Quarterback C.J. Ogbonna has played well, with 10 TDs and two picks. He’s a game-manager type. Bulls running back Al-Jay Henderson has averaged 6.9 yards per carry in the Bulls’ last four games.

Hey, I Know You

Ball State coach Mike Neu is in his ninth year at the helm with the Cardinals. He replaced Pete Lembo in 2016. Lembo is now the coach at Buffalo.

The Cardinals are coming off a 27-21 loss to MAC favorite Miami (Ohio). Freshman quarterback Kadin Semonza has thrown for 2,029 yards, which is second most in the conference, and his top target is tight end Tanner Koziol, who averages eight catches a game. He has 137 catches in his career.

Defensively, though, the Cardinals have been poor. They rank second in the MAC, allowing almost 39 points a game, and are dead last in the league against the pass.

Ball State vs Buffalo Prediction

  • Buffalo -4.5 at DraftKings
  • Over 53.5 at DraftKings

The Bulls still have a lot to play for, with a shot at making a bowl game this season with a win. Ball State would need to win out, and it doesn’t look likely for them.

The issue is the Cardinals’ defense has really struggled this season, while the Bulls’ defense is, well, average, but average still beats bad.

Traditionally, Ball State has dominated this series and leads it 11-2, but this sets up as one team with some momentum playing at home, with another team that hasn’t been able to find a way to win. We like the Bulls at home to cover the spread, and we can’t ignore all the signs pointing to the over.

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On Tuesday, November 12th, college football fans will be treated to an exciting matchup between Ball State and Buffalo. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs this season, making this game a must-watch for any sports bettor.

As of now, the betting odds for this game have Buffalo listed as the favorite, with a spread of -7.5 points. This means that if you bet on Buffalo to win, they would need to win by at least 8 points in order for your bet to pay out. On the other hand, if you bet on Ball State, they would need to either win the game outright or lose by less than 8 points for your bet to be successful.

When looking at the matchup between these two teams, it’s important to consider their recent performances. Buffalo has been on a hot streak as of late, winning their last three games in a row. Their offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging over 30 points per game during this stretch. On the other hand, Ball State has struggled in recent weeks, losing their last two games and scoring just 17 points combined in those losses.

In terms of predictions for this game, it’s safe to say that Buffalo has the upper hand. Their high-powered offense should be able to exploit Ball State’s struggling defense and put up enough points to cover the spread. However, college football is known for its unpredictability, so anything can happen on game day.

Overall, if you’re looking to place a bet on this game, it might be wise to take Buffalo and the -7.5 point spread. They have been playing well as of late and should be able to come out on top against Ball State. But as always, make sure to do your own research and consider all factors before placing any bets. Good luck!