- The Miami Dolphins bring a three-game losing streak into MNF against the LA Rams, who have won three in a row
- Tyreek Hill (wrist) is a game-time decision for Miami
- Below, see a three-leg, +446 Dolphins vs Rams same-game parlay
The Miami Dolphins (2-6, 1-3 away, 2-6 ATS) visit the Los Angeles Rams (4-4, 3-1 home, 3-5 ATS) on Monday Night Football in Week 11 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, at 8:15 pm ET. The Dolphins, who have lost three straight one-score games, will be all but eliminated from playoff contention with another loss, while the Rams, who have won three in a row, need a W to avoid falling 1.5 games behind Arizona in the NFC West. With a ton at stake for both teams, I have crafted a three-leg, +446 Dolphins vs Bills same-game parlay.
Dolphins vs Rams Same-Game Parlay
Pick | Odds |
---|---|
Tua Tagovailoa over 32.5 pass attempts | +100 |
Raheem Mostert over 27.5 rush yards | -110 |
Dolphins moneyline | +120 |
MIA vs LAR SGP Odds | +446 (using FanDuel’s 30% SGP boost) |
I don’t usually make uncorrelated SGPs but I’m making an exception tonight by backing both the over on Tua Tagovailoa’s pass attempts and the over on Raheem Mostert’s rush yards, in addition to the Miami moneyline.
Odds as of Nov. 11 at FanDuel. Check out SBD’s FanDuel review to find the latest new-user bonus.
Dolphins vs Rams SGP Pick #1: Tua Tagovailoa Over 32.5 Pass Attempts (+100)
The first bet tonight is on Tua to throw at least 33 pass attempts. Tua has gone well over this number in two of his three full games this season, averaging 34.3 attempts in games he’s started and finished. He only had 28 attempts last time out in a 30-27 loss at Buffalo, and head coach Mike McDaniel will realize that wasn’t nearly enough when he watches the tape. Tua was excellent in his second game back from injury, completing 89.3% of his passes for 231 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions.
Los Angeles has the third-worst coverage unit in the league, according to PFF, grading out at just 50.2. It remains to be seen whether Tyreek Hill is going to play, but that’s part of the reason why I’m betting on Tua’s attempts and not his total yards. They might not be able to stretch the field the way they do at full strength, but McDaniel will still want to pick on this terrible LA secondary.
I’m not the only one expecting Tua and company to find success through the air: John Hyslop likes another pair of overs from the Miami passing game in his Dolphins vs Rams player props.
MIA vs LAR Same-Game Parlay Pick #2: Raheem Mostert Over 27.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
The second leg of today’s MIA/LAR SGP is Miami RB2 Raheem Mostert to go over 27.5 rushing yards. Mostert has missed time due to injury but has 214 yards in five games (42.8 YPG) and is coming off his first 1,000-yard season just last year. Last week, he had 56 yards on the ground on ten carries, just two fewer rushing attempts than ostensible RB1 De’Von Achane (12 carries for 63 yards).
The Rams’ defense is better against the run than it is against the pass, but it’s still not great, sitting T16th in rush defense at PFF.
Dolphins vs Rams SGP Pick #3: Dolphins Moneyline (+120)
Implicit in both of my first two picks for this game is that I expect Miami to have a lot of success on offense. It makes sense, then, to add the Miami moneyline into the mix. (The Dolphins vs Rams odds currently list Miami as a +120 underdog.) Yes, these teams are heading in opposite directions, record-wise. The visitors have lost three in a row while the home team has won three straight (and is 3-1 on their own turf this season). But there really isn’t much of a gap between the two when they’re both healthy. Miami was a playoff team last year and is basically the same group this season if Tua is healthy.
I am not saying Miami should be favored, only that I like the value on the Dolphins at +120, and it makes a ton of sense to pair with the overs I already have in today’s SGP while also providing a healthy boost in the price.
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As the Miami Dolphins take on the Los Angeles Rams in Week 10 of Monday Night Football, fans and bettors alike are looking for the top same-game parlay pick to make their viewing experience even more exciting. Both teams are coming off strong performances in their previous games, making this matchup one to watch.
One key factor to consider when making a same-game parlay pick for this game is the Dolphins’ defense. Miami has been playing solid defense all season, ranking in the top 10 in points allowed per game. The Dolphins have also been effective at creating turnovers, which could be a factor against a Rams offense that has struggled at times this season.
On the offensive side of the ball, the Rams have been led by quarterback Jared Goff and wide receiver Cooper Kupp. Goff has been efficient in the passing game, while Kupp has been a reliable target for him. The Dolphins will need to find a way to slow down this duo if they want to come out on top.
When making a same-game parlay pick for this matchup, it may be wise to consider a combination of factors such as the Dolphins’ defense creating turnovers, the Rams’ passing game being effective, and the potential for a close, low-scoring game. This could lead to a parlay pick that includes bets on the under for total points scored, the Rams winning by a small margin, and the Dolphins forcing at least one turnover.
Ultimately, making a same-game parlay pick for Monday Night Football between the Dolphins and Rams will require careful consideration of each team’s strengths and weaknesses. By analyzing key factors such as defense, turnovers, and offensive production, bettors can make an informed decision on which bets to include in their parlay. With both teams looking to secure a win in Week 10, this matchup is sure to be an exciting one for fans and bettors alike.