Predictions for Week 11 College Football Games with Point Spreads

  • Check out our expert Week 11 college football picks against the spread for Saturday (Nov. 9)
  • We’re backing two underdogs and one favorite, including Washington (+13.5) and Army (-5.5)
  • See below for detailed Week 11 college football picks against the spread, plus key betting trends

Coming off a perfect 3-0 week with our college football spread picks, we’re back with three more selections for the jam-packed Week 11 slate. I’ve identified two compelling underdogs and one favorite that present solid betting value for Saturday’s action.

For Week 11, I’m targeting a Big-10 road dog with an explosive offense, while also backing an ACC underdog and a service academy favorite in prime spots. The numbers and matchups suggest we should see more close battles this weekend.

Here are my Week 11 college football picks against the spread, complete with detailed analysis and key trends for each selection.

Week 11 CFB ATS Picks

Matchup Pick (Odds)
Washington vs Penn State Washington +13.5 (-110)
Duke vs NC State Duke +3 (-110)
Army vs North Texas Army -5.5 (-110)

My Week 11 college football picks against the spread feature three intriguing matchups across different conferences. I’ve identified key betting value in each contest and provided analysis below.

Washington vs Penn State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Washington +13.5 (-110) +400 Over 46.5 (-110)
Penn State -13.5 (-110) -500 Under 46.5 (-110)

All odds as of November 9th at ESPN Sportsbook. Visit the top college football betting sites for CFB against the spread betting.

Pick #1: Washington +13.5 (at Penn State)

Let me tell you why I love the Huskies as nearly two-touchdown underdogs in Happy Valley. Washington has been money in big spots this season, going 9-0 straight up in November games and showing they can compete with anyone after that thrilling win over USC last week.

Sure, Penn State’s defense is legit, but they’re coming off a brutal loss to Ohio State where their offense looked completely lost, managing just 13 points. Meanwhile, Will Rogers has been lighting it up for Washington, completing over 71% of his passes and giving the Huskies a real shot to keep this one close.

The White Out atmosphere at Beaver Stadium will be electric, no doubt. But this Washington team isn’t your typical West Coast squad that wilts under pressure. They’ve covered in eight of their last eleven road games and have the offensive firepower to trade punches with anyone.

With the total sitting at just 46.5 points, this projects as the kind of tight, defensive battle where two touchdowns is way too many points to lay. Penn State might win outright, but Washington has too much talent to get blown out here.

  • Pick: Washington +13.5 (-110)

Duke vs NC State Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Duke +3 (-110) +140 Over 44.5 (-110)
NC State -3 (-110) -160 Under 44.5 (-110)

Pick #2: Duke +3 (at NC State)

Don’t sleep on the Blue Devils as short road dogs in Raleigh. Duke has been an absolute ATM machine against non-ranked opponents this season, covering seven of their last eight in these spots. Maalik Murphy might’ve had a rough outing last week, but this kid has shown he can bounce back – he’s thrown for over 2,100 yards with 20 TDs this season.

The Wolfpack have been a mess at home against the spread lately, failing to cover five of their last six at Carter-Finley. That’s not exactly inspiring confidence when laying points, even if it’s just a field goal.

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Star Thomas has been a revelation in Duke’s backfield, already over 700 yards rushing. Between him and receiving threats Jordan Moore and Eli Pancol, the Blue Devils have enough weapons to move the chains consistently.

Look, NC State’s defense has been dealing with injuries, and they’re giving up way too many chunk plays. Duke’s been battle-tested all year, and I trust them to keep this one tight – don’t be shocked if they win outright.

  • Pick: Duke +3 (-110)

Army vs North Texas Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
North Texas +5.5 (-110) +185 Over 55.5 (-110)
Army -5.5 (-110) -225 Under 55.5 (-110)

Pick #3: Army -5.5 (vs North Texas)

I’m wrapping up my Week 11 college football picks against the spread by backing Army as a favorite. Sharp money has been hammering the Black Knights, pushing this line from -2.5 to -5.5, and I completely understand why.

Army has been an absolute covering machine this season, going 5-1-1 ATS overall and 4-1-1 when favored by 5.5 or more. Their defense has been suffocating, allowing just 9.3 yards per reception – best among non-Power Five teams. When you’re facing an option attack this disciplined, that extra time to prepare is absolutely crucial.

The Mean Green can sling it with Chandler Morris (2,873 passing yards), but here’s the thing – they’re 1-6 when averaging under 5 yards per rush. Good luck establishing the run against an Army defense that’s been brick-wall solid.

Kanye Udoh has been a beast for Army, averaging nearly 100 yards per game with nine scores. Against a North Texas defense that’s been gashed on the ground, the Black Knights should control the clock and cover this number.

  • Pick: Army -5.5 (-110)

Brady’s 2024 CFB ATS Picks Record: 22-11 (Last Week: 3-0)

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Week 11 of the college football season is upon us, and with it comes a slate of exciting matchups that are sure to keep fans on the edge of their seats. As we head into the final stretch of the season, teams are jockeying for position in the College Football Playoff rankings, making each game more important than ever.

One of the most anticipated games of the week is the matchup between the Georgia Bulldogs and the Auburn Tigers. Georgia comes into this game as the top-ranked team in the country, boasting a perfect 9-0 record. Auburn, on the other hand, has had a solid season thus far, with a 7-2 record and wins over ranked opponents like Oregon and Texas A&M. The point spread for this game currently sits at Georgia -6.5, indicating that oddsmakers believe the Bulldogs are the favorites to come out on top. However, Auburn has a history of playing Georgia tough, so this game could go either way.

Another intriguing matchup to keep an eye on is the battle between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Baylor Bears. Oklahoma has been one of the most explosive offenses in the country this season, led by Heisman Trophy candidate Jalen Hurts. Baylor, on the other hand, has been one of the surprise teams of the season, with an undefeated 9-0 record. The point spread for this game currently sits at Oklahoma -10.5, suggesting that oddsmakers believe the Sooners will come out on top. However, Baylor’s stout defense could give Oklahoma some trouble, making this game closer than expected.

In addition to these marquee matchups, there are several other games on the schedule that could have implications for conference championships and bowl game berths. Teams like Alabama, LSU, Ohio State, and Clemson will all be looking to solidify their spots in the College Football Playoff rankings with convincing wins in Week 11.

As always, college football is unpredictable, and anything can happen on any given Saturday. So buckle up and get ready for another exciting week of college football action!