Expert and Computer Predictions for Upsets in Week 8 of the NFL

• Looking for some help in betting the remaining 15 games in Week 8 of the 2024-25 NFL season?
• My SBD formula and I are predicting four total upsets in Week 8
• See our Week 8 NFL picks below

Week 8 of the 2024-25 NFL season is off to a pretty exciting, yet controversial, start, and we are getting another 15 games across Sunday and Monday, as no teams are on bye this week. If you are looking for some help in betting the rest of Week 8 in the NFL, I have shared my NFL picks alongside my SBD formula’s picks.

As is always the case with this article, my NFL picks consist of the underdogs I believe will not only cover their respective spread, but win outright. So, the picks below are moneyline bets with plus-odds. I went 1-0 on my upset picks last week, winning 1.08 units. My SBD formula went 2-1, winning 1.18 units. Tailing us both would have won you 2.26 units. If you didn’t tail its Jets pick until closer to kickoff, though, you could have profited 1.43 units.

Here’s who we are betting in Week 8!

Week 8 NFL Picks

For a second straight week, I am only on one upset pick in Week 8 right now, and it happens to be an upset my SBD formula also likes. My SBD score predicting formula has three more upsets it’s calling for, totaling four picks on its end.

The odds I have included for each pick above were the best at the time of writing this article. Before locking in any of your bets, be sure you check for the best price using our NFL odds page.

If you were hoping to see moneyline picks for all 16 games of Week 8, you technically got them. My SBD formula is saying the favorite will win in the 12 games not listed in the table above. For extra transparency, the four upsets it is predicting above all have margins of victory of 3.8 points or less. It also only has the Texans winning their game against the Colts by 3.7 points.

It has all the other favorites winning their respective games by at least six points. If you wanted even more info into my formula’s NFL predictions for Week 8, follow me on Twitter/X. Also, I know what you’re thinking about my formula’s Commanders pick. It’s viewing Marcus Mariota, after a nice showing last week, as similar to a banged up Jayden Daniels. So, it has the Commanders regardless of which QB plays.

If you wanted more than just moneyline NFL picks for this Sunday (and beyond), you can check out Zach Reger’s Week 8 NFL Picks Against the Spread, and John Hyslop’s favorite Week 8 NFL Player Props to bet. Otherwise, you can keep reading below for some analysis on my Cardinals pick.

Cardinals over Dolphins

As has been the case many times this season, this pick is more about fading the Dolphins than it is backing the Cardinals. Though Arizona really surprised me last week with their win over the Chargers, I’m not really buying into any sort of turnaround in the desert. I think they’ll remain average, but believe that average performance will be enough for the Cardinals to get a win in Week 8.

I’m fading the Dolphins for two reasons: (1) I don’t see how Tua Tagovailoa comes in sharp after missing the previous 4.5 games, and (2) the Dolphins weren’t very good in the six quarters Tua has played this season.

More on the first point above, Tua actually has not played a football game since Week 2, and it will be six full weeks away when Tagovailoa takes his first snap against the Cardinals. I don’t believe he’ll be able to step back in Sunday and have the chemistry, timing, and rhythm needed to success in Mike McDaniel’s passing offense.

On the second point, the Dolphins barely beat a bad Jaguars team (20-17) at home in Week 1, and were down 24-7 when Tua left late in the second quarter of their Week 2 game (also at home) against the Bills. So, if you want to go ahead and blame those two games on the offense not being in rhythm yet, then I would go ahead and emphasize my previous point – why will they all of a sudden be in rhythm in Tua’s first game back after a lengthy absence?

I’m expecting Miami to look similar to the way they did in those first six quarters of the season, and while I don’t believe the Cardinals are on par with the Bills, I don’t believe they’re as bad as the Jags played in Week 1.

I also do not buy into Miami’s defense being what their stats suggest. The Dolphins have allowed the fourth-fewest yards in the league and rank 14th in points allowed. That’s the result of their schedule to this point. Half of their games have come against teams whose respective offenses rank in the bottom-third of the league, then had the Colts in Anthony Richardson’s first game back from injury, and were shown mercy by the Bills for nearly the entire second half.

I don’t believe Kyler Murray will be shown much resistance, and will do just enough to get a win in Week 8.

• Pick: Cardinals moneyline (+178 at Caesars)

As we head into Week 8 of the NFL season, experts and computer algorithms are buzzing with predictions for potential upsets. With several teams facing tough matchups and others looking to make a statement, there are plenty of opportunities for underdogs to come out on top.

One game that experts are keeping a close eye on is the matchup between the Green Bay Packers and the Arizona Cardinals. The Cardinals have been dominant so far this season, boasting an undefeated record and a high-powered offense led by quarterback Kyler Murray. However, the Packers have shown flashes of brilliance themselves, with quarterback Aaron Rodgers leading the charge. Some experts believe that the Packers could pull off an upset in this game, especially if their defense can contain Murray and force turnovers.

Another game to watch is the showdown between the Tennessee Titans and the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans have been on a hot streak lately, winning their last three games in convincing fashion. However, the Colts have a strong defense and an offense that can put up points when needed. Some experts believe that the Colts could surprise the Titans and hand them their first loss of the season.

In addition to expert opinions, computer algorithms are also weighing in on potential upsets in Week 8. These algorithms analyze a variety of factors, such as team performance, injuries, and historical data, to make predictions about which teams are most likely to come out on top. While they may not always be accurate, computer predictions can provide valuable insight into which games could be ripe for upsets.

Overall, Week 8 of the NFL season is shaping up to be an exciting one, with plenty of opportunities for underdogs to make a statement. Whether it’s the Packers taking down the Cardinals or the Colts surprising the Titans, there are sure to be some surprises in store for football fans this weekend. Keep an eye on these potential upsets and see if the experts and computer algorithms are on the money.