- We’ve made our Boise State vs UNLV prediction for Friday night
- The No. 17 Broncos are 3.5-point favorites over the Rebels
- Read below for Boise State vs UNLV prediction, pick and odds
Friday night lights will shine bright on Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas as the No. 17 Boise State Broncos (5-1, 2-0 Mountain West) square off against the UNLV Rebels (6-1, 2-0) on October 25.
Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30 PM ET on CBS Sports Network. This game has all the makings of an instant classic, with both teams vying for the inside track to the Mountain West title and a potential spot in the 12-team College Football Playoff.
Boise State enters the game as 3.5-point favorites, with the total set at a lofty 64.5 points. The Broncos’ only loss came in a nail-biter against top-ranked Oregon, while UNLV’s sole defeat was an overtime heartbreaker against Syracuse.
Here is a look at our Boise State vs UNLV prediction for Friday Night Football.
Boise State vs UNLV Prediction
Boise State has been an offensive juggernaut this season, ranking third in the nation in scoring offense (46.8 points per game) and fourth in total offense (523 yards per game). The Broncos’ attack is led by Heisman Trophy frontrunner Ashton Jeanty, who has been unstoppable on the ground.
The BSU star running back has rushed for a staggering 1,248 yards and 17 touchdowns in just six games, averaging an eye-popping 9.9 yards per carry. Quarterback Maddux Madsen has also been efficient, completing 63.8% of his passes for 1,273 yards, 12 touchdowns, and only two picks.
Ashton Jeanty has a slight edge in the Heisman race, according to @TimTebow ✍️ pic.twitter.com/XWyAkxK8Eb
— ESPN College Football (@ESPNCFB) October 24, 2024
UNLV’s offense has been equally impressive, ranking fifth in the country in both scoring (43.6 points per game) and rushing (251.4 yards per game). The Rebels have found new life under QB Hajj-Malik Williams, who has thrown for 838 yards, 10 TDs, and two interceptions since taking over the starting role.
Williams has also been a threat on the ground, rushing for 390 yards and four scores. Wide receiver Ricky White III, meanwhile, has been a game-breaker, hauling in 46 catches for 614 yards and nine touchdowns.
Ricky White is one of the best WRs in the country and has blocked TWO punts tonight
— PFF College (@PFF_College) October 5, 2024
Defensively, both teams have shown some cracks in the armor. Boise allows 26.2 points per game, while UNLV has struggled mightily in recent weeks, surrendering an average of 41 points and 478 yards in their last three contests. With the way these offenses are clicking, this game has the ingredients of a shootout.
Prediction 1: Boise State -3.5. Sharp money has been all over the Broncos, moving the line from -2.5 to -3.5. Boise State’s balanced attack and Jeanty’s Heisman-caliber campaign should be too much for UNLV’s vulnerable defense to handle. Lay the points with the Broncos.
Prediction 2: Over 64.5 Points. Despite the total dropping by two points, the over still looks like the play here. Boise State has gone over the total in five of their six games this season. UNLV, meanwhile, has hit the over in four of their seven contests. In a game with this much offensive firepower, don’t be surprised if we see a good old-fashioned Mountain West shootout.
Boise State-UNLV Picks
- Broncos -3.5 (-110)
- Over 64.5 Points (-110)
Boise State vs UNLV Odds
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
---|---|---|---|
Boise State | -3.5 (-110) | -166 | Over 64.5 (-110) |
UNLV | +3.5 (-110) | +140 | Under 64.5 (-110) |
Odds as of Oct. 24, at ESPN Bet. Check out ESPN Bet review or browse other top sports betting sites.
Boise State is currently a 3.5-point favorite, with a moneyline of -166. This implies a 62.4% win probability for the Broncos. UNLV, meanwhile, is a +140 underdog, suggesting a 41.7% chance of pulling off the upset.
The total for the game is set at a robust 64.5 points, which comes as no surprise given the offensive talent of both teams. Boise State has gone over the total in eight of their last nine games, while UNLV has surpassed the total in seven of their last 10 contests.
As kickoff approaches, keep an eye on the odds for any significant line movements. The Broncos’ close loss to Oregon and UNLV’s narrow defeat against Syracuse have showed the potential of both teams, which could lead to further adjustments based on public perception and CFB betting trends.
Boise State vs UNLV Head-to-Head
Boise State has had UNLV’s number, winning all six meetings between the two programs. Most recently, the Broncos defeated the Rebels 44-20 in the 2023 Mountain West Championship game.
Date | Result | Spread |
---|---|---|
12/3/2023 | Boise State 44, UNLV 20 | Boise State -2.5 |
10/5/2019 | Boise State 38, UNLV 13 | Push +25.0 |
11/18/2016 | Boise State 42, UNLV 25 | UNLV +28.5 |
10/31/2015 | Boise State 55, UNLV 27 | Boise State -21.0 |
10/20/2012 | Boise State 32, UNLV 7 | UNLV +28.0 |
11/5/2011 | Boise State 48, UNLV 21 | UNLV +42.0 |
In their head-to-head matchups, Boise State has been heavily favored, with spreads typically in the 20-point range. UNLV has managed to cover in three of the games, showing they are capable of keeping it competitive.
While UNLV is yet to beat Boise State, the 2024 Rebels team is built differently under head coach Barry Odom. UNLV are 6-1 and have already notched impressive wins over Kansas, Fresno State, Houston, and Oregon State.
If UNLV can find a way to slow down Jeanty and the Broncos’ offense, they might just have a chance to pull off the upset in front of a rowdy home crowd at Allegiant Stadium.
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The Boise State Broncos will face off against the UNLV Rebels on October 25th in what is sure to be an exciting matchup. Both teams have had their fair share of ups and downs this season, making it difficult to predict the outcome of this game. However, with the help of betting lines and expert analysis, we can make some educated guesses about how this game might play out.
Boise State comes into this game with a record of 4-2, while UNLV sits at 2-4. The Broncos have been a strong team this season, with wins over teams like Florida State and Air Force. They are led by quarterback Hank Bachmeier, who has thrown for over 1,200 yards and 6 touchdowns so far this season. On the other hand, UNLV has struggled to find consistency, with losses to teams like Wyoming and San Diego State.
According to betting lines, Boise State is favored to win this game by a significant margin. The Broncos are currently listed as 14-point favorites, indicating that oddsmakers believe they have a strong chance of coming out on top. However, it’s important to remember that anything can happen in college football, and upsets are always a possibility.
In terms of key matchups to watch, keep an eye on Boise State’s offense against UNLV’s defense. The Broncos have a potent passing attack, while the Rebels have struggled at times to stop opposing quarterbacks. If Boise State can exploit this weakness, they should be able to put up some points on the board.
Overall, this game has the potential to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams capable of putting up big numbers. While Boise State is favored to win, UNLV shouldn’t be counted out just yet. It will be interesting to see how this game unfolds on October 25th, and whether the betting lines hold true or if we see an upset in the making.