- NFL touchdown props are now available for all 16 games of Week 8 in the NFL
- I have gone through each player’s odds to score a TD to find the bets with the best value
- See the 10 players I am betting to score a touchdown in Week 8 below
Sportsbooks have made NFL touchdown props available for all 16 games of Week 8 in the 2024-25 NFL season. While NFL TD props are by far the most popular prop among the public, according to any sportsbook you ask, doing the work of researching every line is near impossible for someone who doesn’t do this for a living. The good news is I do in fact do this for a living, and have gone through all the odds and relevant stats applicable to betting touchdowns in Week 8. You’ll find the ten players I feel present the best value to score a TD below.
But first, I do want to mention that I suffered through some bad luck last week, as Demario Douglas left the Patriots game very early with an illness (after looking good on the first drive), and Chris Godwin had his TD called back due to a penalty. I still managed to go 4-6 on my TD picks, losing 1.03 units.
As usual, I’m sticking with anytime TD scorer props, avoiding first TD scorer. Here’s to hoping all ten of the players below at least play their entire games!
Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 8
Player | Anytime TD Odds |
---|---|
Justin Jefferson | -115 (FanDuel) |
David Montgomery | -110 (DraftKings) |
David Njoku | +290 (Caesars) |
Anthony Richardson | +190 (DraftKings) |
Breece Hall | -138 (bet365) |
AJ Brown | +150 (bet365) |
Drake London | +125 (bet365) |
Kareem Hunt | -125 (bet365) |
Javonte Williams | +100 (Caesars) |
D’Andre Swift | +130 (DraftKings) |
I am risking a half-unit on each of the NFL TD picks above, except for Kareem Hunt, who I have risked a full unit on.
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I have not yet offered a pick for the SNF or MNF games yet, as I’m waiting to see which San Francisco receivers will be playing, and am not in love with any Steelers or Giants yet, as I agree with the sportsbooks setting that total at a low 36.5. I will certainly be adding a play for SNF, and might for MNF too when we get closer. Be sure to follow me on Twitter/X so you don’t miss either of them!
If you wanted to bet more than just NFL TD props for Week 8, you’ll want to check in with our NFL props page. You’ll find all the passing, rushing, and receiving over/unders there, and it does the work of shopping for the best price on each side of the line for you!
Keep reading below if you’d like to see my analysis for each NFL TD pick in Week 8!
Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson has scored a touchdown in five of Minnesota’s six games this season, which includes finding the endzone in the Vikings’ loss to the Lions last week. The star receiver now sees the Rams on TNF of Week 8, and this feels like an opportunity for Jefferson to explode.
The Rams are 25th in points allowed and 26th in yards allowed. While some may hone in on how bad they have been against the run (30th in rushing yards allowed), they might be worse against the pass. LA actually ranks 25th in yards allowed per rush attempt, but they have also had the third-most rushing attempts against them. The Rams rank 29th in net yards allowed per pass attempt, and have given up ten touchdowns through the air. This isn’t discussed as much because they have faced the ninth-fewest pass attempts with them having played from behind often this season.
After a frustrating loss last week, I like the Vikings to focus on getting their best player the ball early and often on a short week.
- Pick: Justin Jefferson Anytime TD (-115 at FanDuel)
David Montgomery
David Montgomery’s 2024 touchdown streak came to an end last week, when he failed to score a TD for the first time this season. Part of that was a good Vikings defense, but Montgomery also missed some of the game with a knee injury.
The Lions RB prepares for another good defense this week, as Detroit will host the Titans. Tennessee has allowed the fewest total yards this season, and are fourth in YPC allowed (3.9). This is why we’re seeing a very reliable touchdown-scorer in Montgomery getting odds as long as -110. (He’s as short as -188 to score a TD at bet365.)
However, I don’t think Tennessee’s defense is as good as their stats suggest. I think they have had a pretty light schedule to this point. They got the Bears in Week 1, well before the Bears (Caleb Williams) started to put things together; they played the Jets in Week 2, and Aaron Rodgers still hasn’t looked very good yet; they played the Dolphins in Week 4, which marked Tyler Huntley’s first start for Miami; and they got the Colts without Jonathan Taylor or Anthony Richardson (adds rushing yards, but takes away from the passing) in Week 6. The other two games came against the Packers in Week 3, where a Malik Willis-led offense rushed for 188 yards and added another 190 through the air, and the Bills last week, where Buffalo torched them for 315 yards through the air.
I would argue Detroit’s offense will be the best Tennessee will have seen, and I don’t think the Titans will be able to match the Lions’ physicality.
- Pick: David Montgomery Anytime TD (-110 at DraftKings)
David Njoku
With Deshaun Watson out, I’m willing to bet a Cleveland Brown to score a touchdown again. I think we are going to see a serviceable offense led by Jameis Winston in Week 8 against the Ravens, who have allowed the most passing yards in the league and are 28th in net yards allowed per pass attempt.
The Brown I like to find the endzone is tight end David Njoku. In Cleveland’s first game without Amari Cooper, Njoku saw 14 targets last week, turning them into ten catches for 76 yards and a touchdown. He led all Browns in targets and receptions, falling a handful of yards shy of Cedric Tillman for the lead in yards. What’s even more encouraging is that Njoku was targeted on three of Winston’s 11 pass attempts last week, catching two of them – one of which was the touchdown he scored.
Whether this game is competitive or Cleveland finds themselves playing from behind, I like the Browns to throw the ball, especially with Ken Dorsey calling the plays now. Baltimore is too good against the run (1st in yards allowed and YPC) and don’t have the offensive line to push forward.
- Pick: David Njoku Anytime TD (+290 at Caesars)
Anthony Richardson
In Anthony Richardson’s return from a hip injury last week, I thought we might see Shane Steichen ease his young QB back into running the football. I was very wrong, though, as Richardson carried the rock a season-high 14 times (eight is the next-most) against Miami.
Richardson now prepares to face the Texans for the second time this season, and I like him to find the endzone, just as he did in the first matchup.
Richardson’s anytime TD odds moved from +160 to +190 with the news of Jonathan Taylor getting a full practice in today. But I actually look at Taylor’s presence as a positive for Richardson’s touchdown probability. Houston keyed in on slowing Taylor down in their Week 1 matchup, holding him to 48 yards on his 16 carries. I suspect they’ll do that again after seeing Richardson’s struggles to attack a defense with his arm this season.
I foresee the result being some extra rushing attempts for Richardson, especially when the Colts enter the red zone, which I suspect they will at least a couple of times.
- Pick: Anthony Richardson Anytime TD (+190 at DraftKings)
Breece Hall
One of the very few positives that came out of the Jets loss to the Steelers last week was Breece Hall. In spite of only rushing for 38 yards on 12 carries, he did add six receptions on nine targets, tied for team-high with Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams, for 103 receiving yards.
Hall will be dealing with a much more favorable matchup on the ground in Week 8, as the Jets take on the Patriots. New England has allowed 171, 192, 193, 148, and 133 rushing yards in their last five games, respectively. The last number in there (133) was the Jets in Week 3.
While I’m sure the Jets want to make Aaron Rodgers and his friend Davante Adams happy in their reunion, they need to start winning football games. They should beat the Patriots without trouble if they run the damn ball.
Hall has scored a touchdown in four of seven games this season and the Patriots have allowed nine TDs on the ground. I expected these odds to be much closer to -200.
- Pick: Breece Hall Anytime TD (-138 at bet365)
AJ Brown
The Philadelphia Eagles have scored seven touchdowns through the air this season, and three of those have gone to AJ Brown. That stat looks much more impressive when you consider Brown has only played in three games this year, and he has a touchdown in each of them. Brown has been fantastic when on the field, hauling in at least five receptions in each game, and has at least one reception of 40+ yards in each.
Brown and the Eagles will take on the Bengals leaky defense, which ranks 22nd in yards allowed and 20th in points allowed. I don’t think Cam Taylor-Britt, Mike Hilton, or DJ Turner II have much chance of covering the Eagles star wide receiver, especially considering they’re not very good at getting after the passer.
I can’t believe sportsbooks are offering +150 odds on Brown to score a touchdown in this one.
- Pick: AJ Brown Anytime TD (+150 at bet365)
Drake London
I keep betting Drake London to score touchdowns, and he continues to deliver for me. London has scored a touchdown in each of his last three games, as well as five of his last six. I’m betting him to make it four straight with a TD!
In Week 8, London will take on the Buccaneers for the second time this season. In their first meeting, which came just three weeks ago, London caught 12 of his 13 targets for 154 yards and a touchdown. Kirk Cousins threw for 509 yards and four touchdowns in that game. Tampa Bay’s defense hasn’t been a whole lot better since then either, as they just gave up 41 points, with all five touchdowns coming through the air, and 508 total yards to the Ravens last week.
London is Cousins’ go-to target and I expect they’ll be connecting early and often again in this one.
- Pick: Drake London Anytime TD (+125 at bet365)
Kareem Hunt
The Kansas City Chiefs offense has leaned on the ground game a lot this season. They have attempted the sixth-most rushes in the league. Kareem Hunt has been the guy in the Chiefs’ backfield the past two weeks, carrying the ball 49 times and seeing 62 total touches. Hunt has turned all those touches into three TDs in the past two games.
Hunt is preparing to take on the Raiders in Week 8, who have allowed 4.8 yards per carry (26th). I can appreciate that people are remembering Las Vegas beating the Chiefs on Christmas Day last season, in what was their previous meeting. The Raiders defense gave Patrick Mahomes a lot of trouble and forced two turnovers on the day.
However, that Raiders defense ranked ninth in points allowed. They rank 29th in that same category through seven games this season. While they may rank 11th in total yards allowed this season, I think they’re being helped by the fact that their offense has turned the ball over a league-worst 16 times, setting opponents up with short fields often.
Whether this game is close or not, I like Kareem Hunt to get his touches, especially in goal line situations. I love Hunt to score a touchdown at -125 odds, and suspect we’ll see his odds listed at -150 or shorter consistently after this week.
- Pick: Kareem Hunt Anytime TD (-125 at bet365)
Javonte Williams
It took seven games for Javonte Williams to score his first touchdown of the 2024-25 NFL season, but his second one followed pretty closely behind, as he tallied two TDs against the Saints last week. I’m not here to say we should get used to seeing Williams scoring touchdowns each week, as the Saints defense he played last week has been atrocious against the run.
However, the Panthers defense he will play in Week 8 isn’t much better against the run. Carolina is giving up 4.7 yards per carry (23rd) and have surrendered a league-high 13 touchdowns on the ground. No defense has allowed more points than the Panthers.
What makes this even more appealing is the fact that Carolina will be starting Bryce Young at QB again – Andy Dalton is recovering from a car crash suffered earlier this week. The Panthers offense hasn’t been anything to write home about with Dalton under center, but they were horrible with Young for the first two games of the season.
Denver’s defense will likely help them jump out to a good lead, and we’ll see Williams fed some extra touches in a positive game script. He’s taking at least one of those touches to the house for a TD.
- Pick: Javonte Williams Anytime TD (+100 at Caesars)
D’Andre Swift
Few players were being criticized as heavily as D’Andre Swift early in the season, as he was averaging just 1.8 yards per carry through the first three games and did not have any touchdowns. However, Swift (and the Bears offense) has broken out a little over their past three games, averaging 4.8 yards per carry and has a touchdown in each game.
Swift will take on a Commanders defense in Week 8 that has hid their poor run defense by forcing teams into negative game scripts. Washington is allowing 4.9 YPC (27th), but their offense has scored the most points in the league, and has often forced their opponent to play from behind early. The result has been teams abandoning the run, as Washington has only seen the 16th-most rushing plays called against them, but the second-most passing plays.
The combo of Chicago’s great defense and a downgrade at QB, with Marcus Mariota stepping in for Jayden Daniels, has me believing the Bears won’t be forced to abandon the run and play catch-up. I believe the result will be Swift having another nice day on the ground, scoring at least one touchdown.
- Pick: D’Andre Swift Anytime TD (+130 at DraftKings)
Week 8 of the NFL season is shaping up to be an exciting one for anytime touchdown scorer bets. With several key matchups on the schedule, there are plenty of opportunities for players to find the end zone and cash in on their bets. Here are some predictions for who could be the top anytime touchdown scorers in Week 8:
1. Derrick Henry, RB, Tennessee Titans – Henry has been a force to be reckoned with this season, leading the league in rushing yards and touchdowns. He faces a favorable matchup against the Indianapolis Colts in Week 8, making him a strong candidate to find the end zone at least once.
2. Davante Adams, WR, Green Bay Packers – Adams is one of the top receivers in the league and has a great connection with quarterback Aaron Rodgers. He faces a tough matchup against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 8, but his talent and skill make him a solid bet to score a touchdown.
3. Alvin Kamara, RB, New Orleans Saints – Kamara is a versatile playmaker who can score in a variety of ways. He faces the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 8, a team he has had success against in the past. Look for Kamara to have a big game and find the end zone at least once.
4. Tyreek Hill, WR, Kansas City Chiefs – Hill is one of the fastest and most explosive players in the league. He faces the New York Giants in Week 8, a team that has struggled to contain top receivers this season. Hill is a prime candidate to score a touchdown and make a big impact in this game.
5. Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings – Jefferson has emerged as one of the top young receivers in the league. He faces the Dallas Cowboys in Week 8, a team that has had issues defending the pass. Jefferson has a great chance to find the end zone and help lead the Vikings to victory.
Overall, there are plenty of exciting matchups in Week 8 that could lead to some big anytime touchdown scorer bets cashing in. Keep an eye on these players and others who have a history of finding the end zone, as they could be the key to a successful week of betting on NFL games.