Wednesday, Oct. 23 Liberty vs Kennesaw State Game: Odds, Spread, and Prediction

• The Liberty vs Kennesaw State odds favor the road team by a wide margin
• Our Liberty vs Kennesaw St prediction focuses on the game total
• Read below for Liberty vs Kennesaw St prediction, odds and picks for Wednesday

The Liberty Flames (5-0) are set to take on the Kennesaw State Owls (0-6) at Fifth Third Bank Stadium in Kennesaw, Georgia on Wednesday, October 23, 2024. The kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET, and the game will be televised on CBS Sports Network.

Liberty enters as a hefty 25.5-point favorite with the over/under set at 46 points. A win here would make the Flames bowl-eligible for the sixth straight season. Jamey Chadwell’s team remains undefeated and in the hunt for a spot in the CFP playoff bracket.

Let’s dive into the Liberty vs Kennesaw State odds, as we provide our Wednesday night CFB prediction.

Liberty vs Kennesaw State Odds

The Flames are substantial favorites in this Wednesday night Conference USA clash. The -25.5 point spread implies Liberty has an 81.6% chance of winning by more than 25 points. On the moneyline, Liberty’s -3000 odds translate to a 96.8% implied probability of victory, while Kennesaw State’s +1300 equates to just a 7.1% chance of an upset.

The odds are heavily skewed towards Liberty due to their unbeaten record and Kennesaw State’s winless campaign thus far. The Owls have lost by an average of 19 points per game against a tougher schedule compared to Liberty.

The game’s over/under is set relatively low at 46 points, likely due to Kennesaw State’s offensive struggles (just 13 points per game) and Liberty’s solid defense allowing only 21.2 points per contest.

Flames Betting Analysis

Liberty has raced out to a 5-0 start behind the dual-threat abilities of junior QB Kaidon Salter. He’s passed for 1,074 yards and 7 TDs while adding 191 rushing yards and two scores on the ground.

In the backfield, RB Quinton Cooley has been dominant with 545 yards and 6 TDs, topping 100 yards in 4 of 5 games. Through the air, WRs Treon Sibley (17 rec, 370 yds, TD) and Reese Smith (13 rec, 199 yds, 3 TDs) lead a talented receiving corps.

QUINTON COOLEY FOR THE LEAD 🔥

📺- ESPN2#NoLimitsOnUs | @LibertyFootball pic.twitter.com/7bwvQ3hc5V

— Conference USA (@ConferenceUSA) September 8, 2024

The Flames’ defense has been equally impressive, ranking 29th nationally with 21.2 points allowed per game. TJ Bush Jr has wreaked havoc with 4.5 sacks and three passes defended, while Dexter Ricks Jr has snagged two interceptions. Overall, the unit has forced eight turnovers and recorded ten sacks.

While Liberty is undefeated, they are just 1-4 against the spread, often facing inflated lines. They needed overtime to survive a scare from FIU last time out. Cleaning up their nine penalties per game (133rd in FBS) will be key to avoiding an upset. Still, Liberty’s balanced offense (33 ppg) and stingy defense matches up well with the struggling Owls.

Owls Betting Analysis

It’s been a rough first season in the FBS for Kennesaw State, losing all six games by an average of 19 points. Offensively, the Owls average a meager 13 points and 256 total yards per game, both ranking in the bottom-5 nationally.

QB Davis Bryson has struggled mightily, completing just 51.4% of his passes with a 2:6 TD to INT ratio. RBs Michael Benefield (242 rush yds, TD) and Qua Ashely (200 rush yds; 11 rec, 139 yds) have been the few bright spots. TE Carson Kent (9 rec, 111 yds, 2 TDs) has been Bryson’s top target.

Embrace the Challenge.#GoldStandard | #SeeUs pic.twitter.com/fpbURg57u7

— Kennesaw State Football (@kennesawstfb) October 22, 2024

Defensively, KSU allows 32.3 points per game (114th) and 443 total yards per contest (107th). LBs Garland Benyard (21 tackles, 3 sacks) and Donelius Johnson (24 tackles, 2 sacks) lead the way. The Owls have forced just six turnovers while recording seven sacks in six games. They did show improvement last week, holding MTSU to 14 points.

For Kennesaw St to keep this one close, they’ll need to lean heavily on Benefield and Ashley in the run game to slow the pace and keep Liberty’s offense off the field. Forcing a couple of turnovers would greatly aid a massive upset bid. However, the Owls’ anemic offense (especially passing) makes it difficult to envision them mounting a comeback if they fall behind early.

Liberty vs Kennesaw St Prediction

I’m predicting this game to finish UNDER the total of 46 points. The total has seen some movement towards the under throughout the week, and Kennesaw State’s team’s total of 11 points is extremely low.

The Owls have only hit the over in one of their last six games, averaging a paltry 13 points per contest. Their offense, especially the passing game, has shown no ability to score enough to push this over the total against even an average Liberty defense.

On the flip side, while Liberty is putting up 33 points per game, they’ve faced mostly weak defenses. Kennesaw’s defense, while not great, is better than the raw numbers indicate. The Flames have gone under in two of their last three games, and I expect a comfortable win where they take their foot off the gas late.

Pick:

• Under 46 Points (-110)

In what is sure to be an exciting matchup, Liberty University will face off against Kennesaw State on Wednesday, Oct. 23. Both teams have had strong seasons so far, making this game a highly anticipated one for fans and bettors alike.

As of now, the odds for the game are in favor of Liberty, with many sportsbooks giving them a slight edge over Kennesaw State. The spread for the game is also in favor of Liberty, with most sportsbooks predicting that they will win by a margin of around 7-10 points.

When it comes to making a prediction for this game, it’s important to consider a few key factors. Liberty has a strong offense led by quarterback Stephen Calvert, who has been putting up impressive numbers all season. Their defense has also been solid, making them a tough team to beat. On the other hand, Kennesaw State has a strong running game and a solid defense, which could give them an edge in this matchup.

Ultimately, this game could go either way, but based on the odds and the strengths of each team, it seems like Liberty has the slight advantage. However, anything can happen in college football, so fans and bettors should be prepared for an exciting and unpredictable game. Be sure to tune in on Wednesday, Oct. 23 to see how it all plays out.