- The Guardians try to even their best-of-seven ALCS with the Yankees on Tuesday night
- Reigning AL Cy Young-winner Gerrit Cole starts for NYY opposite Tanner Bibee for CLE
- See the Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees odds, picks, and predictions on Oct. 15
After falling 5-2 in the series opener last night, the Cleveland Guardians (92-69, 42-39 away) face a difficult road as they try to even their best-of-seven ALCS with the New York Yankees (94-68, 44-37 home) on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium (7:38 pm ET). The Yankees send ace Gerrit Cole, the 2023 AL Cy Young-winner, to the mound, coming one off his best start of the year. The Guardians counter with their #1 starter, Tanner Bibee, but the Guardians vs Yankees odds are an extension of the fact that not all aces are created equal.
Guardians vs Yankees Game 2 Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians | +145 | +1.5 (-155) | O 7.5 (+115) |
| New York Yankees | -175 | -1.5 (+130) | U 7.5 (-135) |
The Yankees are priced as -175 moneyline favorites, giving them a 63.64% implied win probability. The Guardians come back as +145 road underdogs (40.82%) in Tuesday’s MLB odds. Most sportsbooks have the run total at 7.0 but ESPN Bet, which refused to post whole numbers for MLB games, has it at 7.5 with the under favored at -135.
Odds as of Oct. 15 at ESPN Bet. Check out SBD’s ESPN Bet app review to find the current promo code.
The Yankees moved back to the top of the 2024 World Series odds last night following their Game 1 victory (and LAD’s Game 2 loss to the Mets). New York is currently priced as short as +125 to win their first championship since 2009.
CLE vs NYY Game 2 Starting Pitchers: Bibee vs Cole
| Tanner Bibee | vs | Gerrit Cole |
|---|---|---|
| 12-8 | Record | 5-0 |
| 3.47 | ERA | 3.41 |
| 3.80 | xERA | 3.59 |
| 1.12 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 26.3% | K% | 25.4% |
Bibee has made two starts in the postseason to date, both against the Tigers. He went 4.2 scoreless in the first, allowing just four hits and a walk with six strikeouts. The second was less impressive: two runs on four hits and two walks over 4.0 innings with just three Ks. Cleveland won both games.
His history against the Yankees is limited, but also concerning. In just 17 ABs, the Yankee lineup has a .353 average and 1.038 OPS against Bibee with three walks and only two strikeouts. Anthony Volpe is the only Yankee hitter to have a home run against Bibee. Aaron Judge has never faced the 25-year-old righty.
Cole’s track record against the Guardian hitters is stronger, and the sample size is big. In 127 ABs, the Guardian bats have a .236 average and .759 OPS off of the Yankee ace.
Optimistically for the Guardians, Jose Ramirez is 12-for-34 (.353 average) with a 1.129 OPS, including two homers and three doubles. Josh Naylor is only 6-for-25 (.240 average) but has a team-high three long balls off of Cole.
CLE vs NYY Public Betting Splits
| Team | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% | Runline | RL Handle% | RL Bet% | Run Total | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | +140 | 7% | 8% | +1.5 (-155) | 21% | 23% | O 7.0 | 65% | 66% |
| Yankees | -167 | 93% | 92% | -1.5 (+130) | 79% | 77% | U 7.0 | 35% | 34% |
Roughly five hours before first pitch, the MLB public betting splits were all over the Yankees. The public had placed 93% of moneyline handle on New York to win, and 79% of runline handle on the Yankees to win by multiple runs at plus-money.
With respect to the run total, the public favored the over, but not so emphatically. As of 11:45 am ET, 65% of run-total handle and 66% of tickets were on over 7.0.
Guardians vs Yankees Predictions for Game 2
Cole isn’t on the same level that he was last season (yet) but it also doesn’t take perfection to contain this Cleveland lineup. They managed the sixth-best record in all of baseball while sitting below the median in slugging percentage (.395, 16th), wOBA (.306, 17th), and wRC+ (100, 17th). And the situation hasn’t improved in the postseason, where Cleveland is averaging just 3.5 runs per game and has already been shutout twice.
At the same time, I don’t have a lot of faith that the Yankees are going to rough up Bibee or the Guardians’ MLB-best bullpen. New York’s stats against Bibee are eye-popping, but he didn’t start against them at all in the regular season. They won’t be facing the same pitcher they saw in early 2023 when Bibee was making just his second career MLB appearance.
CLE vs NYY Game 2 picks:
- Under 7.5 runs (-135) at ESPN Bet
- Bibee over 12.5 outs recorded (-140) at DraftKings
After a thrilling Game 1 of the American League Championship Series between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees, all eyes are now on Game 2 set to take place on October 15th. The Guardians managed to pull off a surprising upset in Game 1, defeating the Yankees 6-3. Now, both teams are gearing up for what is sure to be another intense matchup.
As we look ahead to Game 2, let’s take a closer look at the odds, picks, and predictions for this highly anticipated game.
Odds:
The odds for Game 2 currently favor the New York Yankees, with many sportsbooks listing them as the favorites to win. The Yankees have a strong lineup and home-field advantage, which could give them the edge in this matchup. However, the Guardians have proven themselves to be a formidable opponent, so anything can happen in this game.
Picks:
When it comes to picks for Game 2, it’s important to consider a few key factors. The Guardians will likely be looking to build off their momentum from Game 1 and continue their strong play. Their pitching staff has been solid throughout the postseason, and if they can keep the Yankees’ powerful lineup in check, they have a good chance of coming out on top.
On the other hand, the Yankees have a potent offense led by sluggers like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton. If their bats come alive in Game 2, they could easily take control of the game early on. Additionally, with Gerrit Cole set to take the mound for the Yankees, their pitching staff is in good hands.
Predictions:
In terms of predictions for Game 2, it’s shaping up to be a close and competitive matchup. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, and it could come down to which team executes better on both sides of the ball.
Ultimately, I predict that the New York Yankees will come out on top in Game 2. With their strong lineup and home-field advantage, they have the edge in this matchup. However, the Guardians have shown that they are not to be underestimated, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see them put up a fight until the very end.
Overall, Game 2 is sure to be an exciting and intense showdown between two talented teams. Fans can expect plenty of drama and excitement as these two teams battle it out for a crucial win in the ALCS. Be sure to tune in on October 15th to see how it all unfolds.
