- The Los Angeles Dodgers host the San Diego Padres in a winner-take-all Game 5 of the NLDS on Friday night
- Yu Darvish starts for the Padres against Yoshinobu Yamamoto for the Dodgers
- Below, see the Padres vs Dodgers Game 5 predictions, picks, and best odds on Oct. 11
The Los Angeles Dodgers (98-64, 52-29 home) managed to stave off elimination with a resounding 8-0 win over the San Diego Padres (93-69, 48-33 away) on Wednesday and now the NL West rivals meet in a decisive Game 5 of the National League Division Series on Friday at Chavez Ravine (5:08 pm PT/8:08 pm ET). The Dodgers are listed as home favorites, ranging from -142 to -150 in Friday’s MLB odds.
San Diego Padres vs LA Dodgers Predictions & Picks
- Padres moneyline (+125) at ESPN Bet
- Tatis Jr over 0.5 RBI (+150) at FanDuel
Sascha Paruk’s 2024 MLB playoff betting record: 17-15 (+2.03 units)
The 26-year-old Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been mostly solid in his injury-shortened rookie season, posting a 3.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 90.0 innings. His last three starts have been anything but, though. He’s managed just 11.0 innings across the three starts, allowing 11 earned runs on 14 hits and five walks with 11 Ks. The worst of the bunch was his Game 1 start against the Padres, when he was tagged for five runs on five hits over just 3.0 innings with a single strikeout.
In the regular season, the Padres got to Yamamoto for eight runs on eight hits over 6.0 innings across two starts. San Diego won both games (15-11 in the season opener in Korea, and 8-7 in extra innings in San Diego in April).
The Padres’ lineup is now mashing a .371 average against Yamamoto and 1.107 OPS. Manny Machado has taken him deep twice, while Fernando Tatis Jr is 3-for-3 with a double and a walk.
I backed Darvish and the Padres in Game 2 on Sunday largely because of his excellent history against the Dodger hitters, and the 38-year-old delivered. Darvish went seven strong while allowing just three hits, two walks, and one run. The only concerning part was the he only managed three Ks. San Diego ran away with a 10-2 victory.
Even though Yamamoto logged more innings during his time in Japan, he looks out of gas two months since returning from a shoulder injury.
SDP vs LAD Game 5 Starting Pitchers: Darvish vs Yamamoto
| Yu Darvish | vs | Yoshinobu Yamamoto |
|---|---|---|
| 7-3 | Record | 7-2 |
| 3.31 | ERA | 3.00 |
| 3.64 | xERA | 3.44 |
| 1.07 | WHIP | 1.11 |
| 23.6% | K% | 28.5% |
Best Padres vs Dodgers Game 5 Odds
| Teams | Moneyline | Runline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | +125 at ESPN Bet |
+1.5 (-172) at FanDuel | O 7.5 (-125) at ESPN Bet |
| Los Angeles Dodgers | -140 at Caesars | -1.5 (+150) at bet365 | U 8.0 (-110) at DraftKings |
There isn’t a ton of variations in the Padres vs Dodgers odds at this point but there is a little. The best odds on a Dodger victory can currently be found at Caesars, where LAD is a -140 favorite to win straight-up. The best price on the Padres advancing is +125 at ESPN Bet.
ESPN Bet also has the best over price, listing over 7.5 at -125. All other sportsbooks have the line at 8.0. Only DraftKings has the O/U at -110 both ways, so that’s the best place to bet the under at the moment.
Runline bettors will want to hit up bet365 to wager on the Dodgers -1.5 at +150, or FanDuel to bet the Padres +1.5 at -172.
The MLB public betting splits for Friday show the public hammering the over in Game 5 between the Padres and Dodgers. As of 11:55 am ET, a massive 79% of handle and 80% of wagers was on over 8.0 runs. The first four games in the series have all featured at least eight runs, and have averaged 10.75 RPG.
The Dodgers head into Friday as the +350 second-favorite in the World Series odds, trailing only the Yankees who punched their ticket to the ALCS last night. The Padres are +550 fourth-favorites.
The highly anticipated Game 5 of the NLDS between the San Diego Padres and the Los Angeles Dodgers is set to take place on October 11th. With the series tied at 2-2, both teams will be looking to secure a victory and advance to the next round of the playoffs.
The Padres have had an impressive showing in this series, with their young core of talent stepping up in a big way. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been a standout player for San Diego, hitting .364 with two home runs and five RBIs in the series. Manny Machado has also been a force to be reckoned with, hitting .400 with two home runs and four RBIs. The Padres will be looking to continue their offensive production in Game 5 and put pressure on the Dodgers’ pitching staff.
On the other side, the Dodgers will be looking to rely on their experienced roster to come out on top in Game 5. Mookie Betts has been a key player for Los Angeles, hitting .353 with two home runs and three RBIs in the series. Clayton Kershaw will likely get the start for the Dodgers in Game 5, and he will need to deliver a strong performance on the mound to shut down the Padres’ potent lineup.
In terms of predictions, this game is shaping up to be a close and competitive matchup. Both teams have shown that they are capable of putting up runs and playing solid defense. However, the Dodgers may have a slight edge in terms of pitching depth and overall experience. If Kershaw can deliver a quality start and the Dodgers’ offense can continue to produce, they may have the upper hand in Game 5.
As for picks, it’s always tough to predict the outcome of a single baseball game. However, based on the performances of both teams in this series, the Dodgers may have a slight advantage heading into Game 5. With their strong pitching staff and potent lineup, they could potentially come out on top in a close contest.
In terms of best odds, sportsbooks are likely to have the Dodgers as slight favorites in Game 5. Bettors may want to consider taking the Dodgers on the moneyline or looking at over/under bets for total runs scored in the game.
Overall, Game 5 between the Padres and Dodgers is sure to be an exciting and intense matchup. Both teams have shown that they have what it takes to win, and it will come down to which team can execute better on both sides of the ball. Fans can expect a thrilling game with plenty of twists and turns as these two talented teams battle it out for a spot in the NLCS.
