Who is the public siding with on TNF? See the latest Bills vs Dolphins betting splits ahead of kickoff tonight.
- The Bills and Dolphins public-betting splits show large wagers on the Bills moneyline on Thursday Night Football
- Buffalo has won three straight against Miami dating back to 2022
- Below, see all the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins public-betting splits and money percentages for Week 2 TNF
Two AFC East heavyweights meet on Thursday Night Football in Week 2 with top spot in the division on the line, at least for the time being. At 8:15 pm ET tonight at Hard Rock Stadium, the Buffalo Bills (1-0, 0-0 away, 0-1 ATS) visit the Miami Dolphins (1-0, 1-0 home, 0-1 ATS).
The Bills vs Dolphins public-betting splits for Thursday Night Football show the public hammering the Buffalo moneyline while also favoring the under.
Bills vs Dolphins Public-Betting Splits & Percentages
| Team | Spread | ATS Handle% | ATS Bet% | Total Points | O/U Handle% | O/U Bet% | Moneyline | ML Handle% | ML Bet% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bills | +2.5 | 58% | 68% | 48.5 | 38% | 72% | +108 | 93% | 18% |
| Miami Dolphins | -2.5 | 42% | 32% | 48.5 | 62% | 28% | -136 | 7% | 82% |
Bills vs Dolphins NFL public betting splits as of 3:00 pm ET.
BUF vs MIA Moneyline Splits Show BIG Bets on the Bills
In my Bills vs Dolphins prediction, I took the Buffalo moneyline, which was as long as +120 earlier in the week, and it seems some deep-pocketed members of the public agree.
Despite getting only 18% of the moneyline wagers for Thursday Night Football, a ludicrous 93% of moneyline handle is on the BIlls to win straight-up. In other words, those 18% of bets on Buffalo dwarf, in terms of monetary value, the 82% of tickets that are on Miami to win.
At the moment, this is the only Week 2 game where the team getting the majority of the moneyline handle isn’t also getting the majority of the moneyline tickets.
Bills vs Dolphins Game Total Splits Heavily Skew to the Under
A similar dynamic is at play when it comes to the game total, though to a much lesser degree. Only 28% of tickets are currently on the under (48.5) but 62% of the over/under handle has been wagered on under 48.5.
My colleague Ian Jones’ Buffalo vs Miami same-game parlay is banking on the under hitting, and he explained why the NFL over under trends support that pick.
Under plays are also part of the Bills vs Dolphins player props tonight, with the under on Tyreek Hill’s receiving-yards of 96.5 among Eric Rosales’ best bets for TNF, despite the speedster’s 80-yard TD last week.
Public Slightly Leaning Towards Miami in Bills vs Dolphins ATS Splits
The Bills vs Dolphins ATS splits are where we see the most division among the public. The public has a slight lean to Buffalo +2.5 with 58% of the handle and 68% of the tickets on the Bills to cover, which leaves 42% of handle and 32% of bets on Miami -2.5.
Note, though, that this line has moved a full point from the opening Week 2 NFL odds, when Miami was just a 1.5-point home favorite. So that’s a good indication that, back when the line was at 1.5, either large sums of money or bets from respected players came in on the Dolphins, motivating the odds movement in the interim.
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Sascha has been working in the sports-betting industry since 2014, and quickly paired his strong writing skills with a burgeoning knowledge of probability and statistics. He holds an undergraduate degree in linguistics and a Juris Doctor from the University of British Columbia.
As the Buffalo Bills prepare to take on the Miami Dolphins in Thursday Night Football, many fans and bettors are eagerly analyzing the public-betting splits to gain insight into how the game may play out.
Public-betting splits refer to the percentage of bets placed on each team by the general public. This information can be valuable for bettors looking to make informed decisions on where to place their money. By analyzing these splits, bettors can get a sense of which team is receiving more support from the betting public and adjust their own wagers accordingly.
In the case of the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins matchup, the public-betting splits may provide some interesting insights. The Bills are coming off a strong season and are considered one of the top teams in the AFC. On the other hand, the Dolphins have been rebuilding in recent years but have shown signs of improvement.
As of now, the public-betting splits for this game are showing a slight edge towards the Buffalo Bills. This could be due to their strong performance last season and the high expectations placed on them this year. However, it’s important to note that public-betting splits are just one factor to consider when making a bet. Other factors such as injuries, weather conditions, and recent performance should also be taken into account.
For bettors looking to make a wager on this game, it’s important to do thorough research and consider all factors before placing a bet. While public-betting splits can provide some insight into which team is receiving more support from the betting public, they should not be the sole basis for making a decision.
In conclusion, analyzing public-betting splits for the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Thursday Night Football game can be a helpful tool for bettors looking to gain insight into how the game may play out. However, it’s important to consider all factors and do thorough research before making a bet. Good luck to all those placing wagers on this exciting matchup!