Analysis of Serbia vs Germany: Odds, Picks & Props for the Bronze Medal Game

Analysis of Serbia vs Germany: Odds, Picks & Props for the Bronze Medal Game
Nikola Jokic celebrating with his team in the semifinals of the Paris 2024 men's basketball tournament

Aug 8, 2024; Paris, France; Serbia power forward Nikola Jokic (15) celebrates with shooting guard Marko Guduric (23) and centre Nikola Milutinov (33) during the first half against the United States in a men’s basketball semifinal game during the Paris 2024 Olympic Summer Games at Accor Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

  • Serbia and Germany meet in the bronze medal game in the Paris 2024 men’s basketball tournament
  • After blowing their lead to Team USA late in the semifinals, Serbia is a slight favorite to Germany in the third place game
  • See below for Serbia vs Germany odds, picks, and player props for Saturday, August 10

We have a rematch of the 2023 FIBA World Cup final in the third place game in the Paris 2024 men’s basketball tournament. In that matchup, Germany beat Serbia 83-77. Tip-off for this bronze medal game is scheduled for 5:00 am ET.

Both teams suffered collapses in their semifinal matchups. Germany started off strong, but only put up eight points in the second quarter. They continued to struggle in the second half and gave up their lead to France as favorites. Serbia played great through three quarters against Team USA and were leading by 17 at one point. They only scored 15 in the fourth quarter though as LeBron James and Steph Curry took over the game and won late 95-91.

Serbia vs Germany Odds – Bronze Medal Game

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Serbia -2.5 (-108) -120 O 171 (-108)
Germany +2.5  (-112) +100 U 171 (-112)

The odds suggest that this should be a close game as Serbia is a slight 2.5-point favorite in the bronze medal game. Serbia is -120 on the moneyline, meaning that sportsbooks are giving them a 54.55% implied win probability. The total in this one is set at 171.

Odds as of Aug. 9 at DraftKings. See the available DraftKings deposit methods to fund your account at DK. 

Serbia vs Germany Picks

This should be a close and exciting third place game. Serbia lost a close one in the 2023 FIBA World Cup and are seeking revenge on Saturday. They will do their best to forget about the fourth quarter collapse against Team USA and rally behind Nikola Jokic and Bogdan Bogdanovic. Jokic is averaging over 18 points a game in the Paris games and has four double-doubles. Bogdanovic is also averaging over 18 points per game and is fresh off a 20-point game against Team USA.

Germany is led by Franz Wagner and Dennis Schroder. Both playmakers are averaging over 18 points per game in these games, and they will need to play well to stay in this game. Schroder put up 18 in Germany’s semifinal matchup against France, and Wagner put up 10. Wagner also had eight assists and eight rebounds against France. While Germany has plenty of scorers and a strong defense, Serbia has the edge with Nikola Jokic and his ability to score inside. It will be a close game, but between Jokic and Bogdanovic, Serbia can keep up with Germany’s up tempo playing style.

When these two teams played in the FIBA World Cup Final, 160 total points were scored. I believe we will see a similar type of game on Saturday. This will be a hard-fought game that will end up in the 150-160 range when it is all said and done. 171 is too many points in the bronze medal game.

SRB vs GER Picks:

Serbia ML (-120)

Under 171 (-112)

SRB vs GER Player Props

Player Points Rebounds Assists Three-Pointers Made
Aleksa Avramovic 8.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) OFF 2.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) OFF
Andreas Obst 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) OFF OFF OFF
Bogdan Bogdanovic 17.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 3.5 (Ov -160 | Un +124) 3.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 2.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110)
Daniel Theis 7.5 (Ov -130 | Un +100) 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF OFF
Dennis Schroder 20.5 (Ov +120 | Un -154) OFF 7.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 2.5 (Ov -145 | Un +115)
Filip Petrusev 8.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 4.5 (Ov -145 | Un +114) OFF OFF
Franz Wagner 19.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 5.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 2.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) 1.5 (Ov -140 | Un +110)
Isaac Bonga 7.5 (Ov +100 | Un -130) OFF OFF 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100)
Johannes Voigtmann 5.5 (Ov -115 | Un -125) 4.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) OFF OFF
Marko Guduric 6.5 (Ov -105 | Un -125) OFF OFF OFF
Moritz Wagner 7.5 (Ov -125 | Un -105) 4.5 (Ov +135 | Un -175) OFF OFF
Nikola Jokic 20.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) 11.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 8.5 (Ov -110 | Un -120) 1.5 (Ov +150 | Un -190)
Vasilije Micic 10.5 (Ov -115 | Un -115) OFF 4.5 (Ov +105 | Un -135) 1.5 (Ov -125 | Un +100)

Player prop odds as of Aug. 9 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

My favorite player prop in this bronze medal game between Serbia and Germany is:

Franz Wagner Over 1.5 Three Pointers Made (-140)

Wagner is the leading scorer for Germany, and in his last game, he shot 2 for 6 from three. He only scored 10 against France, so I expect him to get closer to the 20-point mark which is right where his points prop is at against Serbia. He will continue to shoot plenty of three-pointers, and we only need two to go in for us to cash this prop. Give me Franz Wagner Over 1.5 Three Pointers in a bounce-back game for Wagner in the points column.

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In the upcoming bronze medal game between Serbia and Germany at the Tokyo Olympics, both teams will be looking to finish their tournament on a high note. While they may have fallen short of their ultimate goal of winning gold, there is still plenty at stake in this match.

When it comes to the odds, Serbia will likely be the favorite in this matchup. They have been one of the top teams in the world for years and have a roster filled with talented players. Germany, on the other hand, may be seen as the underdog in this game. However, they have shown throughout the tournament that they are a team to be reckoned with and should not be underestimated.

In terms of picks, Serbia’s experience and depth will likely give them the edge in this game. Players like Nikola Jokic and Bogdan Bogdanovic have been playing at a high level throughout the tournament and will be key factors in Serbia’s success. Germany will need to rely on players like Dennis Schroder and Moritz Wagner to step up and provide scoring and leadership if they hope to pull off the upset.

As for props, there are a few things to keep an eye on in this game. Look for Serbia to dominate on the boards, as they have a size advantage over Germany. Additionally, pay attention to the three-point shooting of both teams, as outside shooting could be a deciding factor in this matchup.

Overall, this bronze medal game between Serbia and Germany promises to be an exciting and competitive contest. Both teams will be looking to end their Olympic run on a high note and secure a spot on the podium. Keep an eye on the odds, picks, and props for this game as it unfolds, as there is sure to be plenty of action and drama on the court.