Predictions and Picks for Men’s 100 Meter Final Gold Medal at Paris 2024: Analyzing the Odds

Predictions and Picks for Men's 100 Meter Final Gold Medal at Paris 2024: Analyzing the Odds
Noah Lyles on the track at the 2024 Paris Olympics

Aug 3, 2024; Paris, FRANCE; Noah Lyles (USA) after a men’s 100m round 1 heat during the Paris 2024 Olympic Summer Games at Stade de France. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

  • The men’s 100 meter final takes place on Sunday at 3:50 pm ET at Stade de Paris
  • American Noah Lyles is currently the second-favorite to Jamaica’s Kishane Johnson
  • See the Paris 2024 men’s 100 meter odds, picks, and predictions

The men’s 100 meter semifinals and finals at the 2024 Paris Olympics both take place on Sunday, August 4. The semifinal heats commence at 2:05 pm ET with the final shortly thereafter at 3:50 pm ET at the Stade de Paris.

Reigning world champion Noah Lyles didn’t impress in yesterday’s heats and finds himself the second-favorite heading into the final day of the competition, behind up-and-coming 23-year-old Jamaican Kishane Johnson.

Men’s 100 Meter Odds – Paris 2024

Runner (Country) Odds to Win
Kishane Johnson (Jamaica) -155
Noah Lyles (USA) +130
Oblique Seville (Jamaica) +1200
Fred Kerley (USA) +1200
Kenneth Bednarek (USA) +2000
Letsile Tebogo (Botswana) +2500
Lamont Marcell Jacobs (Italy) +4000
Louie Hinchliffe (Great Britain) +4000
Ferdinand Omanyala (Kenya) +5000
Akani Simbine (South Africa) +7000
Ackeem Blake (Jamaica) +8000
Zharnel Hughes (Great Britain) +10000
Emmanuel Eseme (Cameroon) +10000
Andre De Grasse (Canada) +10000

Johnson enters Sunday as the -155 favorite to win gold with Lyles at +130. No other runner is shorter than +1200. The table and odds will be updated after Sunday’s semifinals when the lineup for the 100 meter final is solidified.

Odds as of August 4 at DraftKings. See the full list of DraftKings states where you can bet on the 2024 Olympics. 

Johnson has the fastest time in the world this year, winning the Jamaican Olympic trials in a time of 9.77 less than six weeks ago. The only other runner who’s posted a time under 9.80 is Kenyan Ferdinand Omanyala, who ran 9.79 in mid-June. Lyles has the third-fastest time this year at 9.81 while Oblique Seville (9.82) is fourth and Akani Simbine (9.86) is tied for fifth.

Lyles Struggles in 100M Qualification

Lyles looked a little out of sorts in his qualification heat on Saturday, finishing second behind Great Britain’s Louie Hinchliffe (9.98) in a time of 10.04 seconds. Only five runners finished with a sub-10-second time in Saturday’s heats. Johnson won his heat in a time of ten flat.

American’s Kenneth Bednarek and Fred Kerley tied for the fastest qualifying times at 9.97. Kerley won silver at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics (which took place in 2021 due to COVID).

Lyles is the reigning world champion after winning the men’s 100 meters in Budapest in 2023 in a time of 9.83 seconds. Letsile Tebogo, Zharnel Hughes, and Oblique Seville all clocked times of 9.88 in  a near dead-heat for second-place.

YouTube video

Reigning Champion Jacobs Not in Top Form

Italian Lamont Marcell Jacobs stunned the world when he captured gold in Tokyo three years ago in a personal-best time of 9.80, four-tenths ahead of silver-medalist Kerley.

YouTube video

Still among the top runners in Europe, Jacobs really hasn’t made any noise on the world stage since his run to glory in Tokyo. At last year’s world championships in Budapest, Jacobs thoroughly disappointed by failing to reach the final. He had to withdraw from the 2022 edition in Oregon after the preliminary heats due to injury.

Men’s 100 Meter Final Predictions & Best Value Picks

The rising star that is Kishane Johnson is hard to bet against – he may be the dominant talent in the sport for years to come – but I see very little value on the untested 23-year-old at -155, which amounts to a 60.78% implied win probability. I also have no interest in Lyles at +130 (43.48%) and the vig on the odds at DraftKings is astronomical at this point. (It should decrease once the field is narrowed down.)

My favorite bet on the board is currently at FanDuel, where Fred Kerley is priced at +2400 (4% implied win probability). Kerley has consistently brought his best in the biggest moments and is only two years removed from a world championship gold. I was very hesitant to back the reigning silver medalist heading into the Olympics, but his meet-leading time of 9.97 yesterday is a good indication that he’s regained his form.

PICK: Fred Kerley (+2400 at FanDuel)

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The Men’s 100 Meter Final at the Paris 2024 Olympics is shaping up to be one of the most highly anticipated events of the games. With some of the fastest sprinters in the world set to compete for the gold medal, fans are eagerly awaiting to see who will come out on top.

One of the top contenders for the gold medal is American sprinter Trayvon Bromell. Bromell has been on fire in recent years, setting personal best times and consistently finishing at the top of major competitions. His speed and explosiveness make him a formidable opponent on the track, and many are predicting that he will be a strong contender for the gold in Paris.

Another sprinter to watch out for is Canadian Andre De Grasse. De Grasse has been a consistent performer on the international stage, winning multiple medals at the Olympics and World Championships. His ability to perform under pressure and his strong finishing kick make him a threat to win the gold in the 100 meter final.

Jamaican sprinter Yohan Blake is also expected to be a strong contender for the gold in Paris. Blake, who won silver in the 100 meters at the 2012 Olympics, has continued to be a dominant force in sprinting and is known for his explosive starts and powerful running style.

Other sprinters to keep an eye on include South African Akani Simbine, British sprinter Zharnel Hughes, and American Ronnie Baker. All of these athletes have shown impressive speed and consistency in their performances, and could potentially upset the favorites to win the gold medal.

When analyzing the odds for the Men’s 100 Meter Final at Paris 2024, it is clear that there are several strong contenders vying for the gold medal. While Trayvon Bromell, Andre De Grasse, and Yohan Blake are among the favorites, anything can happen on race day and it will ultimately come down to who can perform at their best when it matters most.

As fans eagerly await the Men’s 100 Meter Final at the Paris 2024 Olympics, one thing is for certain – it is sure to be an exciting and closely contested race that will keep spectators on the edge of their seats until the very end.