Dec 2, 2023; Atlanta, GA, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide quarterback Jalen Milroe (4) runs against the Georgia Bulldogs in the first quarter of the SEC Championship at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports
- Alabama’s win total sits at 9.5 in year one under Kalen DeBoer
- The Crimson Tide face a daunting schedule that includes Georgia, LSU and Oklahoma
- Read below for Alabama Crimson Tide win total, SEC odds, and season prediction for 2024
Heading into the 2024 college football season, all eyes are on the Alabama Crimson Tide as they embark on a new era without legendary head coach Nick Saban at the helm.
Kalen DeBoer, fresh off a national championship appearance with Washington, takes over a program that has consistently been a national title contender. However, oddsmakers have set Alabama’s regular season win total at just 9.5 games, the lowest preseason mark for the Tide since 2015.
How many wins will Alabama finish with in 2024? Here is our season prediction for the Crimson Tide, along with their win total and SEC odds.
Alabama Football 2024 Win Total Odds
| Wins | Odds |
|---|---|
| Over 9.5 | +120 |
| Under 9.5 | -140 |
Alabama’s win total is set at 9.5, with -140 odds favoring the “under”. This implies a 58.3% chance the Tide will fail to reach nine wins in DeBoer’s debut season.
Odds as of July 24, 2024, at DraftKings Sportsbook. Take advantage of the DraftKings promo code to bet on Alabama’s win total for 2024.
Alabama 2024 Win Total Prediction
There are several factors working against Alabama in its quest for double-digit wins. The Crimson Tide suffered significant losses to the transfer portal this offseason, with key players like star safety Caleb Downs departing on both sides of the ball.
The schedule is also brutal, featuring road trips to Wisconsin, Tennessee, LSU, and Oklahoma, as well as a home tilt against Georgia. Even the Iron Bowl against Auburn can never be taken for granted.
DeBoer certainly has the pedigree to succeed at the highest level, but there are question marks surrounding the roster. The offensive line struggled last season, allowing 39 sacks, and will need to gel quickly to give new starting QB Jalen Milroe time to operate. The receiving corps and defensive secondary also face an overhaul.
While there’s never a shortage of blue-chip recruits in Tuscaloosa, the lack of experience could be costly against the high-powered offenses they’ll face in the SEC. There are six other teams in this conference with win totals of at least 8.5 in 2024.
Given the uncertainty and the gauntlet that is the SEC, I’m leaning towards the under on Alabama’s 9.5-win total. While it’s never wise to completely write off the Crimson Tide, a 9-3 or even 8-4 regular season feels more likely than reaching the 10-win threshold that has become the standard in Tuscaloosa.
Pick:
- Alabama Under 9.5 Wins (-140)
SEC Odds 2024
| Team | Odds to Win SEC |
|---|---|
| Georgia | +200 |
| Texas | +450 |
| Alabama | +650 |
| Tennessee | +900 |
| LSU | +1200 |
| Ole Miss | +1400 |
| Texas A&M | +1600 |
| Missouri | +1800 |
| Oklahoma | +2500 |
| Auburn | +3000 |
Alabama is the third betting choice to win the SEC at +650 odds, which is just a 13.3% implied probability.
Odds as of July 24, 2024. Browse the best sports betting sites for conference title odds.
Will Alabama Win the SEC?
Considering we are fading the Crimson Tide in the college football win totals, we also won’t be looking to hammer them to win the SEC in the college football conference title odds. Alabama currently sits at +650 to win the conference title, well behind favorites Georgia (+200) and Texas (+450)
Looking at the bigger picture in the SEC, Georgia remains the team to beat. The Bulldogs have the most talented roster in the conference and the stability that comes with head coach Kirby Smart and returning starting QB Carson Beck. After that, it gets interesting.
Nick Saban picks Georgia in the SEC Championship but against Texas, not Alabama. pic.twitter.com/KFNTCisIYi
— The Bulldawg Report (@ReportBulldawg) July 15, 2024
Texas looks poised to make noise in its first season in the SEC, with oddsmakers setting the Longhorns’ win total at a lofty 10.5 games. On the flip side, usual contenders like LSU and Texas A&M face question marks and tough schedules of their own.
One sleeper team to keep an eye on is Missouri. The Tigers are coming off an impressive 11-win season and return many of their key playmakers. With a win total of 9.5 and a favorable schedule that avoids Georgia, Texas, Ole Miss, and LSU, Mizzou could be a surprise contender in the SEC title race at +1800 odds.
Of course, betting against Nick Saban was always a foolish proposition. Only time will tell if that same wisdom applies to DeBoer and the new-look Crimson Tide. But in a conference as unforgiving as the SEC, the margin for error is as slim as ever.
Brady is the lead NHL and College Football editor at Sports Betting Dime, where he specializes in betting odds and data-driven analysis. Brady has over 10 years experience working in sports media, with work published by outlets such as ESPN, CBS Sports, Yahoo! Sports and Fox Sports.
As the college football season approaches, fans and analysts are already speculating about the potential success of the Alabama Crimson Tide in 2024. With a storied history of success and a talented roster, many are predicting another strong season for the Tide.
One key factor in predicting Alabama’s win total for the upcoming season is their schedule. The Tide will face tough competition in the SEC, including perennial powerhouses like Georgia, LSU, and Auburn. However, Alabama has proven time and time again that they have what it takes to compete at the highest level, and many believe they will once again be a force to be reckoned with in the conference.
In terms of win total, many experts are predicting that Alabama will once again be in contention for a spot in the College Football Playoff. With a strong offense led by quarterback Bryce Young and a stout defense anchored by players like Will Anderson Jr., the Tide have the talent and experience to compete with any team in the country.
When it comes to SEC odds, Alabama is once again expected to be one of the frontrunners for the conference title. The Tide have dominated the SEC in recent years, winning multiple conference championships under head coach Nick Saban. While teams like Georgia and Texas A&M will provide stiff competition, Alabama’s track record of success makes them a favorite to come out on top once again.
In terms of predictions for the 2024 season, many believe that Alabama will once again be in contention for a national championship. With a talented roster, experienced coaching staff, and a winning culture, the Tide have all the ingredients for another successful season. While there are sure to be challenges along the way, Alabama’s history of success suggests that they will be a team to watch in 2024.
Overall, the outlook for the Alabama Crimson Tide in 2024 is bright. With a talented roster, experienced coaching staff, and a winning tradition, many are predicting another successful season for one of college football’s most storied programs. Fans can look forward to an exciting season ahead as the Tide look to add to their impressive legacy of success.