Prediction, Odds, and Viewing Information for the Canelo Alvarez vs William Scull Fight on May 3rd

  • Canelo Alvarez and William Scull meet in a Super Middleweight clash on Saturday night
  • The current Canelo vs Scull odds have Canelo as an overwhelming favorite over Scull
  • Check out our full Canelo vs Scull prediction, odds, and how to watch below

Canelo Alvarez will fight Terrance Crawford in September, but first, the Super Middleweight champion will take on William Scull this Saturday, May 3rd, when they fight at The Venue Riyadh Season. Riyadh has become quite a hotbed for professional boxing, and tens of thousands will pack the arena for this card.

The updated Canelo Alvarez vs William Scull odds install Canelo as an immense betting favorite with his edge in experience, size, and punching power. Now, the undefeated Scull is a big underdog because of his age (32) and caliber of competition.

Will Canelo dance his way to an easy win, or can Scull pull off the upset of the decade? We broke down the matchup, analyzed more odds, and are primed to make our Canelo vs Scull prediction and best bets.

Canelo vs Scull Odds

The Canelo vs Scull odds at FanDuel Sportsbook have Canelo Alvarez as a -3000 favorite, giving him a 96.77% implied probability of victory. William Scull rumbles in at +1360, or a 6.85% implied probability.

Odds as of May 2, 2025, at FanDuel Sportsbook. Be sure to check out FanDuel promos to wager on Canelo vs Scull.

Some Canelo vs Scull Props

Besides of the moneyline, we list a few props for this fight. Here are a few to keep an eye on:

I like Canelo at -210 for the KO/TKO. It’s a reasonable value play. His size, skill and power at 168 pounds will likely wear Scull’s defense down. The “Fight Doesn’t Go Distance” prop at -215 also looks like a smart bet given that Canelo wants to prove that Scull was not worth his time the first time around. 

For knockdowns, the number for Canelo to knock down Scull slid to -270. Instead, maybe looking toward the knockout coming in the second half of the fight is a plan. This wager remains at plus money (+140).

Fight Details + How to Watch

The event will be streaming live around the globe on DAZN pay-per-view for $59.99. If you’re already a subscriber, you can grab the PPV straight from the DAZN app. New users will need to sign up for a subscription first before they can buy the event.

[/crosspost]

Canelo Alvarez Boxing Analysis

At age 34, Canelo Alvarez (62-2-2, 39 KOs) finally fights the mandated IBF Super Middleweight (now champion) in William Scull. Dropping back to 168 pounds after the Dmitry Bivol loss was probably for the best.

YouTube video

In the last few fights, Alvarez has been faster and more able to throw combinations that have impact. More importantly, he holds massive advantages in fight quantity and opponents faced. Canelo controls the ring and the pace. If he wants to take Scull out to make a statement, he will have his chances.

William Scull Boxing Analysis

William Scull is unbeaten (23-0, 9 KOs) and the IBF Super Middleweight champion. Remember, this is the belt that Canelo walked away from in 2024. Scull goes up the ladder in a big way for this bout. The 32-year-old Cuban has won five straight decisions with a combination of defense and evasiveness.

YouTube video

But again, does Scull get caught up in the moment. His path to a victory is getting a decision. However, a defensive style like this could be great food for Canelo. Scull knows he has to be active against a champion with something to prove.

While a knockout or knockdown feels out of the question, some are going to be surprised that Scull will throw more punches than usual. If he does not, the Cuban likely does not make it the distance even with his 2.5 inch reach advantage.

Canelo vs Scull Tale of the Tape

Canelo Alvarez vs William Scull Prediction

William Scull is an able fighter that has done well in achieving what so few fighters have. But facing Canelo Alvarez is not like facing fighters like Sean Hemphill and Vladimir Shishkin. Alvarez is in his 20th year as a professional fighter and looks to have recaptured some of that old zip on his punches and counter combinations.

My expectation is for Canelo to wear down on that Scull defense and get the Cuban to try his hand at offense more. Scull may get a few shots in early, which will only inspire Canelo to try and knock out Scull earlier. However, this may take a while. After all, the IBF champion has parlayed his defensive abilities almost to a fault. It will be what lengthens this fight but ends it before 12 rounds as well.

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS

  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE SBD365!

  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    BET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN BONUS BETS!

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!

  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS!

  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD2DYW & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 10 BETS!

  • Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

On May 3rd, boxing fans around the world will be treated to an exciting matchup between two talented fighters, Canelo Alvarez and William Scull. Alvarez, a Mexican superstar, will be looking to defend his title against the tough challenger Scull in what promises to be a thrilling bout.

Alvarez, also known as “Canelo,” is widely regarded as one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the world. With an impressive record of 55 wins, 1 loss, and 2 draws, he has proven himself to be a force to be reckoned with in the ring. His last fight against Callum Smith ended in a dominant victory for Alvarez, further solidifying his status as a top-tier fighter.

On the other hand, William Scull is a relatively unknown fighter who will be looking to make a name for himself by taking on Alvarez. With a record of 24 wins and 5 losses, Scull is considered an underdog in this matchup. However, he has shown flashes of brilliance in his previous fights and should not be underestimated.

In terms of odds, Alvarez is the clear favorite to win this fight. Most sportsbooks have him listed as a heavy favorite, with odds of around -5000. This means that a bet of $5000 on Alvarez would only yield a profit of $100 if he were to win. On the other hand, Scull is a significant underdog, with odds of around +2500. This means that a bet of $100 on Scull would yield a profit of $2500 if he were to pull off the upset.

For fans looking to watch the fight, it will be available on pay-per-view through various cable and streaming services. The fight is scheduled to take place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the main event likely to start around 9:00 PM EST.

Overall, the Canelo Alvarez vs William Scull fight promises to be an exciting matchup between two talented fighters. While Alvarez is the clear favorite, anything can happen in boxing, and fans should be prepared for an entertaining and unpredictable bout.