Analysis of NFL Draft Winners and Losers According to Super Bowl Odds

• The New England Patriots had one of the most significant shortening of Super Bowl odds after the 2025 NFL Draft
• The Falcons were among the top droppers after their work in the draft
• See the Super Bowl odds of every team following their selections in the draft below

The NFL Draft has been closed, and it’s up to us to sort through the carnage and see who might have put themselves into a better position to win the Super Bowl.

In this particular exercise, we’re looking at the Super Bowl 60 odds before and after the 2025 draft. Who made the biggest strides, and who put a dent in their hopes?

Let’s look at the odds and share some of our winners and losers below.

Super Bowl Odds Before and After NFL Draft

Odds as of April 27th. Claim the DraftKings promo code before making any NFL futures bets.

Winner: New England Patriots

Look, we’re not saying the Patriots are contending for a Super Bowl next year. They might not even be able to contend with the Bills in the AFC East, but their Super Bowl odds got a major injection of optimism after the draft.

The Pats moved from +9786 to +8833, in large part to picking up almost everything needed on their grocery list, which consisted of giving franchise pivot Drake Maye everything he needs to succeed.

They believe they’ve landed a potential long-term left tackle in Will Campbell with the fourth pick, while also nabbing center Jared Wilson in Round 4.

New England also beefed up the skill position players, adding stud Ohio State running back in TreVeyon Henderson in Round 2 and Washington State WR Kyle Williams in Round 3.

And they didn’t forget the defense, with potential plug-and-play starters in Edge Bradyn Swinson and DT Joshua Farmer.

Loser: San Francisco 49ers

No team near the top of the Super Bowl odds did worse than ‘Frisco, who dropped from +1657 odds to +1783 after the NFL Draft.

It started with a questionable pull at the 11th pick in Georgia’s Mykel Williams, an Edge expected to replenish a defensive line that’s been decimated by releases and free agency. It’s just that Williams is more of a project than a ready-to-go star at that draft spot.

Yes, the AFC West is loaded, but the Broncos get a third-place schedule this season, something few other playoff teams can say. They also get to face the AFC South, which is by far the weakest division in football.

Taking undersized linebacker Nick Martin in Round 3 was also not considered a prime move, though the Niners did do a better job in the back half of the draft, picking up Oregon back Jordan James in Round 4 and offensive lineman Connor Colby in Round 7.

Winner: Arizona Cardinals

The Cardinals are among the teams with an A+ grade from the draft, and their SB odds reflect that, going from +6929 to +6883 odds in a weekend’s work.

Defensive lineman Walter Nolen was a win at 16, but getting corner Will Johnson at 47 might be the steal of the draft. He’s got Day 1 skills but was dinged because of a lingering knee injury he claims was years ago.

Throw in sack artist Jordan Burch in Round 3, all-around linebacker Cody Simon in Round 4, and corner Denzel Burke in Round 5, and Arizona’s defense could flip from mediocre to legit in a snap.

Winner: LA Chargers

We’ll wrap with one more winner: the LA Chargers, who now have +2667 odds, down from +2771, with a tidy draft.

It started with stud running back Omarion Hampton, who should be the centerpiece of Jim Harbaugh’s run-heavy approach.

But then giving Justin Herbert some skill help out wide in Tre Harris in Round 2 was big too, and so were wideout KeAndre Lambert-Smith and TE Oronde Gadsden in Round 5.

The NFL Draft is a crucial event for all 32 teams in the league, as it provides an opportunity to bolster their rosters with young, talented players who can make an immediate impact on the field. With the 2021 NFL Draft now in the books, analysts and fans alike are already speculating on which teams came out as winners and which ones may have missed the mark.

One way to gauge the success of a team’s draft is by looking at their updated Super Bowl odds following the event. Oddsmakers take into account a variety of factors when setting these odds, including roster strength, coaching staff, and recent performance. By analyzing how a team’s Super Bowl odds have shifted after the draft, we can get a sense of how much confidence oddsmakers have in their ability to compete for a championship.

One team that emerged as a clear winner in terms of Super Bowl odds following the draft is the Jacksonville Jaguars. The Jaguars had the first overall pick and used it to select quarterback Trevor Lawrence, widely regarded as the top prospect in this year’s draft class. With Lawrence now leading their offense, the Jaguars saw their Super Bowl odds improve significantly, signaling that oddsmakers believe they have a legitimate chance to make a deep playoff run in the near future.

On the other hand, some teams saw their Super Bowl odds take a hit after the draft. The Green Bay Packers, for example, had a controversial draft that included selecting quarterback Jordan Love in the first round last year instead of addressing their immediate needs. This decision has raised questions about the team’s long-term strategy and led to a slight decrease in their Super Bowl odds, as oddsmakers are less confident in their ability to contend for a championship with their current roster construction.

Overall, the analysis of NFL Draft winners and losers according to Super Bowl odds provides valuable insight into how teams are perceived by experts and bookmakers heading into the upcoming season. While draft picks alone are not enough to guarantee success in the NFL, they can certainly play a significant role in shaping a team’s prospects for the future. As we look ahead to the start of the 2021 season, it will be interesting to see how these draft decisions ultimately impact each team’s quest for a Super Bowl title.