- Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic will decide the #7 seed in the East tonight
- The Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors battle for the #7 seed in the West in the late game
- See the NBA Play-In Tournament public betting trends and money percentages on April 15
Starkly different prizes are on the line in the East and West Play-In Tournaments. The winner of the 7-vs-8 game in the Western Conference between Memphis and Golden State will face the overachieving #2 Houston Rockets in the first round. The winner of the 7-vs-8 game in the East between Atlanta and Orlando will have to contend with the reigning champion Boston Celtics.
The Play-In Tournament matchups were set on Sunday night, meaning the public has had nearly 48 hours to take sides and move Tuesday’s NBA odds. The tables below set out the Play-In Tournament public-betting trends and money percentages for Hawks vs Magic and Grizzlies vs Warriors.
Play-In Tournament Public-Betting Trends
Odds and percentages from SBD’s NBA public betting splits page as of 2:41 pm ET, April 15.
Hawks vs Magic Public-Betting Splits
The Atlanta vs Orlando public-betting splits show an interesting divide. The public, as it often does, is favoring the home favorite on the moneyline, putting 57% of ML handle and 74% of ML bets on Orlando to win straight-up. But when it comes to the ATS trends, it’s the Hawks who are getting 56% of handle and 55% of wagers as 5.5-point road underdogs.
The teams had nearly identical ATS records during the regular season, with Atlanta batting exactly .500 (41-41 ATS) and Orlando half a game behind (40-41-1 ATS).
When it comes to the game total splits, the public is all over the over. Indeed, over 218.5 is the public’s favorite side in this game both in terms of handle (91%) and tickets (91%), meaning just 9% of game-total money and 9% of game-total wagers are on the under roughly four hours before tip-off.
Atlanta, which plays at the third-fastest pace in the NBA, had the second-best over record in the NBA this season (50-31-1 O/U). Only the Cavs hit the over at a higher rate (51-31 O/U). Orlando, though, was one of just six teams in the NBA this season which hit more unders than overs (35-47 O/U) and only Charlotte (33-49) hit the under at a higher rate than the Magic.
Check out SBD’s Hawks vs Magic picks:
Grizzlies vs Warriors Public-Betting Splits
The Grizzlies vs Warriors betting splits show similar trends as Hawks/Magic when it comes to the moneyline and spread. The public loves the home favorite to win outright, putting 62% of moneyline handle and a massive 86% of moneyline bets on Golden State. But, against the spread, the splits are almost even. Currently, the Warriors are getting 51% of ATS handle on exactly 50% of the ATS tickets, leaving Memphis with 49% of ATS handle on the other 50% of wagers.
Golden State covered 51.9% of its games this season against the spread (41-38-3 ATS), slightly better than Memphis at 50.6% (41-40 ATS).
Where the two games differ drastically is on the total. While the public loves the over in Hawks/Magic, the under is getting all the attention in Grizzlies/Warriors. So far, 86% of game-total handle and 89% of game-total tickets are on under 228.0.
Grizzlies vs Warriors was dead-even with a 41-41 O/U record. Memphis hit the over a profitable 56.1%, going 46-35 O/U.
Check out SBD’s Grizzlies vs Warriors picks:
The NBA Play-In Tournament has brought a new level of excitement to the league, with teams fighting for their playoff lives in a winner-take-all format. As the tournament progresses, public-betting trends and money percentages have become a key factor in analyzing the matchups and predicting potential outcomes.
In the upcoming Play-In games between the Atlanta Hawks and Orlando Magic, as well as the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors, public-betting trends have shown interesting patterns that could provide valuable insights for bettors.
In the Hawks vs Magic matchup, the public seems to be leaning heavily towards the Hawks. According to recent data, around 70% of bets have been placed on Atlanta to win the game. This could be attributed to the Hawks’ strong finish to the regular season, as well as their star player Trae Young’s impressive performances. On the other hand, the Magic have struggled with injuries and inconsistency throughout the season, which may explain why they are not getting as much support from bettors.
In terms of money percentages, the Hawks are also receiving a majority of the money wagered on the game. Around 65% of the total money bet on this matchup is on Atlanta, indicating that bettors are confident in their ability to cover the spread or win outright.
Moving on to the Grizzlies vs Warriors game, the betting trends are a bit more evenly split. While the Grizzlies have a slight edge in terms of public support, with around 55% of bets placed on them, the Warriors are not far behind. This could be due to the star power of Stephen Curry and the Warriors’ playoff experience, which makes them a formidable opponent despite finishing lower in the standings.
Interestingly, the money percentages for this game are almost even, with both teams receiving around 50% of the total money wagered. This suggests that bettors are finding it difficult to pick a clear favorite in this matchup, as both teams have their own strengths and weaknesses that could impact the outcome of the game.
Overall, analyzing public-betting trends and money percentages can provide valuable insights for bettors looking to make informed decisions on NBA Play-In Tournament games. While these trends are not always indicative of actual outcomes, they can help bettors gauge public sentiment and make more strategic bets based on the data available. As always, it’s important to do thorough research and consider all factors before placing any bets on these highly anticipated matchups.
