Predictions for MLB Home Runs on Dinger Tuesday (April 15)

  • It’s Tuesday, and that means another chance to swing for the fences with Dinger Tuesday
  • FanDuel’s got a home run bonus ready for today’s MLB action
  • Check out three players I’m targeting for Dinger Tuesday on April 15th, plus how I’m playing the promo

Tuesday baseball is here, and it’s a prime opportunity to bet on some hitters to go deep. With a full 15-game slate on tap, let’s see where the value is for a long ball.

FanDuel is bringing back Dinger Tuesday, offering all customers a 50% profit boost token to use on any “To Hit a Home Run” wager today, April 15th. Just remember there’s a maximum wager associated with the token, so log in and check the details when you claim it.

Here are my three home run picks for Dinger Tuesday today and how I’m eyeing that FanDuel boost.

Dinger Tuesday Pick: Trevor Story (+600 at FanDuel)

I’m locking in the FanDuel 50% boost on Trevor Story tonight. He gets Rays’ righty Ryan Pepiot again, and they’re playing at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa. It’s a minor league park, but it’s one of the most hitter-friendly parks in the national, especially with the wind potentially being a factor.

Pepiot has had trouble keeping the ball in the park this season, giving up four home runs already, including three in his last outing. Right-handed hitters have done most of that damage, tagging him for three of those homers and a hefty .351 isolated power (ISO). Story, swinging a hot bat with three homers and a .304 average, fits the profile. He’s also taken Pepiot deep once before in their limited matchups, and his numbers against Pepiot’s main pitches (four-seam, changeup) look encouraging.

Trevor Story Stats vs Pepiot

Story’s recent play has been nothing short of impressive, hitting .379 over the last week with a .517 slugging percentage. Even more encouraging is his 14-day stretch where he’s batting .352 with a .556 slugging percentage and all three of his 2025 home runs. After injury-plagued seasons, his six stolen bases and improved slash line (.304/.324/.464) show he’s fully healthy again.

What makes Story particularly appealing today is his recent power surge, with all three homers in just 11 games. His 34% hard-hit rate provides enough pop for the ball to carry in Steinbrenner Field, creating ideal conditions against a pitcher who struggles with right-handed power.

Getting Story at +600 feels like a good number, and boosting those odds with the FanDuel promo makes it even more appealing.

Dinger Tuesday Prediction: Adolis Garcia (+460 at FanDuel)

Next up is Adolis García facing lefty Yusei Kikuchi at Globe Life Field. That park has ranked near the top in home runs allowed to right-handed hitters since 2023, playing right into García’s power. Kikuchi, meanwhile, has served up four homers this year – all to right-handed batters.

García actually has 2 home runs through 16 games this season, but the underlying metrics suggest more big flies are coming. His 94.3 mph exit velocity and impressive 13.6% barrel rate show he’s making quality contact, while his extreme 65.1% fly ball rate creates the perfect recipe for home runs. The Rangers slugger has been heating up lately, going 5-for-17 (.294) over the last week after snapping an 0-for-17 slump.

Adolis Garcia Advanced Stats

Globe Life Field has been kind to García this season, where he boasts a .918 OPS, and both of his homers have come. His expected slugging percentage of .581 suggests he’s been unlucky so far – positive regression could be imminent. Plus, he’s historically dominated Kikuchi, going 3-for-9 with two home runs in their previous matchups. Since the start of last season, García leads the Rangers with seven homers against southpaws.

With his recent improvement, strong home numbers, and completely reworked swing aimed at a 50-homer season, this feels like a prime spot for García to leave the yard tonight.

Dinger Tuesday Bet: Bryan Reynolds (+630 at FanDuel)

Rounding out my Dinger Tuesday predictions, I like the value on Bryan Reynolds tonight. While his season-long stats aren’t jumping off the page (.206 with just two homers), his recent form and tonight’s matchup at PNC Park make him a fantastic longshot home run bet.

Reynolds is riding a 4-game hitting streak, including a productive outing yesterday with 2 hits and 2 RBIs against these same Nationals. Over the past week, he’s batting .304 with a .522 slugging percentage and an .892 OPS, including one homer – signs that his power stroke is returning. His 91.9 mph exit velocity and expected slugging (.493) being much higher than his actual slugging (.373) suggest positive regression is due.

The home/away split is particularly intriguing for Reynolds in 2025. He’s been 86% more productive at PNC Park with a stellar .928 OPS at home versus just .500 on the road. Both of his homers this season have come in Pittsburgh, and tonight he’ll be in his comfort zone against Nationals starter Jake Irvin.

Irvin has already surrendered four homers in just three starts, with concerning Statcast numbers that rank near the bottom of the league in barrel percentage and exit velocity allowed. Reynolds’ switch-hitting ability gives him an advantage against any pitcher, and at +630 odds, he offers excellent value for tonight’s Dinger Tuesday promotion.

Considering Irvin’s issues keeping the ball in the park, getting one of the Pirates’ best hitters at +630 odds offers some nice potential upside, whether you use the boost on him or play it straight.

As Dinger Tuesday approaches on April 15th, baseball fans are eagerly anticipating some big home run performances from their favorite players. With the season just getting started, it’s still early to make concrete predictions, but there are a few players who have been showing some serious power at the plate.

One player to keep an eye on is Mike Trout of the Los Angeles Angels. Trout is known for his ability to hit the long ball, and he has already hit a couple of home runs in the early part of the season. With his power and consistency, Trout is always a threat to go deep on any given day.

Another player to watch is Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees. Judge is coming off a strong season in which he hit 39 home runs, and he has already hit a few more in the first few games of the season. Judge has the size and strength to hit the ball out of any ballpark, so don’t be surprised if he adds to his home run total on Dinger Tuesday.

One dark horse candidate for a big home run day is Pete Alonso of the New York Mets. Alonso burst onto the scene last season with 53 home runs, and he has already shown that he has not lost his power stroke in the early part of this season. Alonso has the ability to hit the ball a mile, so don’t be surprised if he puts on a show on Dinger Tuesday.

Of course, baseball is a game of unpredictability, and anything can happen on any given day. There are plenty of other players who have the potential to hit multiple home runs on Dinger Tuesday, so be sure to tune in and see who comes out on top. Whether it’s Trout, Judge, Alonso, or someone else entirely, one thing is for certain – there will be plenty of long balls hit on Dinger Tuesday.

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