2025 Super Bowl Player Prop Picks and Line Movement for Chiefs vs Eagles

• The Chiefs vs Eagles player props for Super Bowl 59 have been on the move over the last two weeks
• Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards has dropped from 117.5 to 112.5, while Dallas Goedert’s receiving yards has grown from 45.5 to 52.5
• See all the latest Chiefs vs Eagles player prop over/unders plus predictions

Super Bowl 59 between the Kansas City Chiefs (17-2, 8-10-1 ATS) and Philadelphia Eagles (17-3, 13-7 ATS) is just 24 hours away. The majority of the Super Bowl 59 odds have been open for nearly two weeks at this point, meaning the public and sharps alike have already wagered millions on the final NFL game of the season. As always, the Super Bowl player props are one of the most-bet markets, and the over/unders for all the QBs, running backs, and receivers have been on the move. The table below lists the current Chiefs vs Eagles player props (passing, rushing, receiving) in bold juxtaposed with the opening lines in italics. Under the table, find my favorite Super Bowl player-prop picks.

Updated Super Bowl 59 Player Props

The notable line movement in the KC/PHI player props over the last 13 days includes Eagles running back Saquon Barkley’s rushing prop dropping from 117.5 all the way to 112.5. Eagles dual-threat quarterback Jalen Hurts, on the other hand, has seen his rushing prop increase from 36.5 to 39.5. On the KC side, DeAndre Hopkins’ receiving total has dropped from an already-low 16.5 yards to just 11.5 yards.

NFL player props as of Feb. 8 at DraftKings. Claim the best Super Bowl betting promos to get a bonus to use on any Chiefs/Eagles wager.

KC vs PHI Prop Pick #1: Saquon Barkley Over 21.5 Rushing Attempts

Barkley’s rushing total wasn’t the only number of his to drop steeply over the last two weeks. The All-Pro’s rushing attempts also fell from 23.5 to 21.5 with the over now slightly favored at -127. I am betting the over and recent history is on my side. Barkley has rushed the ball at least 25 times in four of the last five games, and the only time he didn’t reach that number was in Philly’s 55-23 rout of the Commanders in the NFC title game. But remember that the Eagles were in full control of that game from about the midway mark and backup Will Shipley played most of the fourth quarter.

Barkley is the Eagles’ bread-and-butter on offense. Sure, we can expect KC defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo to scheme up ways to stop him. But Spags’ creativity and brilliance is more on the blitzing side of things. The Chiefs finished the regular season rated a solid-but-not-spectacular 10th in rush defense at PFF, compared to fifth in pass rush, fifth in coverage, and second in overall defense.

If the Chiefs’ D has a weak point, it’s the ground game, and I expect Barkley to be the focal point of Philly’s gameplan once again.

Pick: Barkley over 21.5 rush attempts (-127)

KC vs PHI Prop Pick #1: DeVonta Smith Under 52.5 Receiving Yards

The other prop I’m targeting is Philly wideout DeVonta Smith to stay under 52.5 receiving yards. As noted in the final Chiefs vs Eagles injury reports, Smith has been battling a hamstring injury and was limited at practice all week.

Even at full speed, he’s only gone over 52.5 yards in three of his last nine games. The Eagles are running the ball at almost every opportunity and, as touched on above, it would make sense that they would continue that trend in the Super Bowl, targeting KC’s relatively weak rush defense.

On top of that, it’s clear that Smith has become Jalen Hurts’ third-favorite target now that tight end Dallas Goedert is back and fully healthy. Goedert and AJ Brown have both been targeted 18 times in the postseason, while Smith has only been targeted 12.

In light of KC’s cornerback strength on the outside and the amount of pressure they generate on deep drops, it’s unlikely Smith breaks an explosive play downfield. That would be the case if he was fully healthy, and the fact that he’s clearly less than full speed due to his hamstring issue makes it all the more true.

Check out all of SBD’s Super Bowl 59 coverage, including:

As the 2025 Super Bowl approaches, football fans and bettors alike are eagerly anticipating the matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles. With both teams boasting strong rosters and talented players, there are plenty of player prop bets to consider for this highly anticipated game.

One player prop bet that has garnered a lot of attention is the over/under on the number of passing yards for Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes, known for his strong arm and ability to make big plays, is expected to put up big numbers in the Super Bowl. The line movement for this prop bet has been fluctuating as bettors try to gauge just how many yards Mahomes will throw for in the game.

Another player prop bet to consider is the over/under on the number of receiving yards for Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith. Smith, the 2023 Heisman Trophy winner, has been a standout player for the Eagles and is expected to be a key target for quarterback Jalen Hurts in the Super Bowl. The line movement for this prop bet has also been shifting as bettors try to predict just how many yards Smith will rack up in the big game.

In addition to individual player prop bets, there are also team prop bets to consider for the Super Bowl. One popular team prop bet is the over/under on the total number of points scored by both teams combined. With two high-powered offenses facing off, this prop bet is sure to be a popular choice among bettors.

As the 2025 Super Bowl draws closer, be sure to keep an eye on the latest line movements and player prop picks to make informed betting decisions. Whether you’re rooting for the Chiefs or the Eagles, there are plenty of exciting prop bets to consider for this highly anticipated matchup.